Brick Tamland Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 temps dont cooperate, as usual. Of course. Coldest week of the winter, and when the storm comes it gets too warm. Typical. Meanwhile, further south gets more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 It's an odd track with the wave...from Wash/Oregon to Iowa/N Missouri...with moist SW flow eventually developing across the SE. The cold high is the whole key for the wintry precip given the wave tracking more north than optimal....UKMet was farther SW (better) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Of course. Coldest week of the winter, and when the storm comes it gets too warm. Typical. Meanwhile, further south gets more snow. Fantasy snow, Brick. Long ways to go. Nobody really got anything much yesterday either. Wait and see if we can get a clearer picture before claiming it a defeat/loss for anyone's area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Could be a CAD or partial-CAD setup with that cold air mass in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I can't see it playing out as the Euro is showing it, but that's a beautiful clown map it's showing for my area. For those further east: don't worry. This will either trend better for y'all too, or worse for everybody (more likely). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Could be a CAD or partial-CAD setup with that cold air mass in here. There is deinitely some CAD on the Euro. Nice HP in great position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Fantasy snow, Brick. Long ways to go. Nobody really got anything much yesterday either. Wait and see if we can get a clearer picture before claiming it a defeat/loss for anyone's area. Actually, the overrunning part begins in west TN around 156 and the cold high is modeled well before then. I think what helps everyone here is weak blocking that occurs between 144 and 168. That seems to slow the entire eastern pattern down just enough to help really hold the cold air in place as this system gets going in the southeast. Either way, BIG time winter storm for the bulk of the southeast, mid-south, and even parts of the deep south on the 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 euro big hit for gso west. rdu with 1-2". widespread 10"+ in western carolinas. Typical. Wasn't expecting anything else from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Sorry for being too imby but how does CLT look? Euro map I saw had 5 to 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 It's an odd track with the wave...from Wash/Oregon to Iowa/N Missouri...with moist SW flow eventually developing across the SE. The cold high is the whole key for the wintry precip given the wave tracking more north than optimal....UKMet was farther SW (better) I'll take it. One way or another, the EURO wants to give us snow next week. The overrunning situation is probably better for us anyway... Let's just get everybody else on board. Still seems like chaos theory on the various models, with some showing a good hit and others not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Wow, 9" in my area on the new Euro. This wetter scenario actually fits well with the 00Z EPS, which was wetter than the 00Z Op. Of course 9" seems to be most likely a pipe dream, but the Euro has been consistent in showing some sort of snow event so I am very cautiously optimistic we will see something, maybe significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 It's always a good sign when cheez is onboard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Euro map I saw had 5 to 6. Don't be trying to jilt me out of my fantasy snow! That clown map gave CLT a good 8-12 based on where you stood, north to south Charlotte. I'm in NW CLT so I'm close to a foot. January 88 or bust baby!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 It's always a good sign when cheez is onboard! That's how i feel lol it's like a Miracle haha Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 To give an idea on the temperatures / dewpoints associated with the cold air mass in the east, here's what the Euro shows when the precip breaks out for these sites Sun night / Mon morning... Atlanta: 29 (temp) / 12 (dewpoint) Greenville, SC: 23 / 14 Charlotte: 23/ 9 Asheville: 17 / 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonysc Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Lol of course it does. griteater, on 08 Feb 2016 - 1:46 PM, said: It's essentially a system with overrunning wintry precip into an airmass that is cold and dry....then, the deep south low cranks up and tracks inside of the Carolina coast....warming central and eastern areas. I know you guys hate to hear that and I don't blame you but to be honest that seems to be when those of us in the Upstate get our best snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 It's always a good sign when cheez is onboard! Don't worry, he'll be back later to let us know that the op has zero support from the ensembles....but we love ya cheez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 It's always a good sign when cheez is onboard! Exactly. I've been on these boards for 7 years now(when it was Easternwx) and usually when Cheez was pessimistic about an event, it never occurred or failed and when he is optimistic about an event, something usually does happen. It's always good news when he's on board or at least somewhat on board. That clown map would be the storm of the decade for Atlanta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 griteater, on 08 Feb 2016 - 1:46 PM, said: I know you guys hate to hear that and I don't blame you but to be honest that seems to be when those of us in the Upstate get our best snowstorms. Meh, by the time it's off the coast, I'm simply of the opinion we are too far West for any further accumulation other than a few snow showers...Unless you get under the deformation band. I'd rather it stay weak, turn the corner and get everybody involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Don't be trying to jilt me out of my fantasy snow! That clown map gave CLT a good 8-12 based on where you stood, north to south Charlotte. I'm in NW CLT so I'm close to a foot. January 88 or bust baby!! I had just moved to clt from ohio when the queen city got 12". I went to work that morning but everything was closed As for the Euro earlier....mby needs that low further south and east, but it did give mby a flizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Don't worry, he'll be back later to let us know that the op has zero support from the ensembles....but we love ya cheezlol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I had just moved to clt from ohio when the queen city got 12". I went to work that morning but everything was closed As for the Euro earlier....mby needs that low further south and east, but it did give mby a flizzard Yes! I was in 6th grade and out of school for a week. It stayed cold that week and the roads continuously refroze. Great memories! Welcome to the south!! Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Paid EURO maps are not allowed...you can view it for free on Wunderground since it's under 180hrs for GA to western NC. Heavy accumulations. Eastern areas will see their accumulations on WU as time nears with newer EURO runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 For the RDU crowd, it all has to do w/ the track. The 12z euro was just inland bringing the warmer air to our area. A track a little further east and we're in higher totals. Still a long ways to go w/ this one so at this point we just want a storm to continue to show up on the models. We'll start worrying about track over the weekend if it's still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Those Euro snow totals are meaningless now I know, but it is nice to see the potential for areas of the southern Piedmont in South Carolina and Georgia to see accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Man, 12z Euro ensemble mean is dropping a 1044 high into the USA. Looks like precipitation showing up on the mean by day 5+. Nothing big yet, but with a strong high moving across, looks good if something can get going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Man, 12z Euro ensemble mean is dropping a 1044 high into the USA. That should lead to a suppressed track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 That should lead to a suppressed track. Looks like a weak wave develops on one member around the South Carolina coast (inland) but doesn't do much.. and it's just one member through Sunday. High situates in for us around 1036 on the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Man, 12z Euro ensemble mean is dropping a 1044 high into the USA. Looks like precipitation showing up on the mean by day 5+. Nothing big yet, but with a strong high moving across, looks good if something can get going. Modeling is trying to indicate a moist wsw overrunning flow attacking the backside of a retreating high. The high coming down is a almost a lock (maybe not the southern boundry extent). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Modeling is trying to indicate a moist wsw overrunning flow attacking the backside of a retreating high. The high coming down is a almost a lock (maybe not the southern boundry extent).it's been there for awhile and so has this wave. I just hope it works out like the Euro shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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