CaryWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 wow, this isn't that far off the crusher this run (overall look wise) Bow your head when you bring up 'the crusher' I was there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Next system is digging strong as well. Light snows in TN, N MS, AL, GA at 135 (Mon morning) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 wow, this isn't that far off the crusher this run (overall look wise) The heck with a crusher replay, I didn't get a flake!!! lol Shift it west 75-100 miles I'm good with the crusher.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Awesome look for Monday....flakes flying most everywhere in the southeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Looking Good for you guys out east.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Awesome look for Monday....flakes flying most everywhere in the southeastStill looking cold Mon and rest of the week, or it back off some? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I'm fixing g to fire up the bus. Getting that tingling feeling from today's cmc, jma and now 2 straight runs of the gfs. Be interested to see what the doc is showing by this time tommorow as well be getting under the 120 benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Closed ridge over the Great Basin Monday night. More energy dropping down from MN....would love to see that drop down in Manitoba Mauler style, but doesn't look like it's going to drop sharply south....we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Our Manitoba Mauler is trying at 162....let's see where it goes...my goodness, hard to ask for much more in this pattern...highly amplified look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Closed upper low over IL/IN dropping SSE at 165 (Tues aftn)...flakes flying in TN, N Bama, MS, GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Closed low centered over E KY at 174...flakes down to Auburn and Macon....doesn't look like it's going to drop far enough south to benefit NC east of the mtns.....great skiing conditions in the mtns by late week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Here is your clown map through Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Canadian is off the coast with the coastal system for Sunday....rain in E SC and SE NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Still looking cold Mon and rest of the week, or it back off some? Temperature of 32 degrees from Waycross to southern Mississippi at 4PM on Wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 UKMet looks off the coast like the Canadian as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Canadian jumps on the tuesday train. Tell you it's gonna be harder to avid snow in the SE sun through thurs next week then it is to see it imo. I'm not saying big dog, although I wouldn't dismiss it, but alot of folks are gonna see some flakes flying. And the mtns are gonna rack up with upslope. Best part is the frigid days to follow at end of week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Canadian jumps on the tuesday train. Tell you it's gonna be harder to avid snow in the SE sun through thurs next week then it is to see it imo. I'm not saying big dog, although I wouldn't dismiss it, but alot of folks are gonna see some flakes flying. And the mtns are gonna rack up with upslope. Best part is the frigid days to follow at end of week. Wouldn't take much adjustments for you guys in central/eastern NC to get a a good'ern next week!!! The skies has finally healed around here from last storm, so we might squeeze out a flurry around here next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Way too soon to start talking about accumulations... but you can safely knock those 10:1 clown maps in half for the Super Bowl Sunday system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Way too soon to start talking about accumulations... but you can safely knock those 10:1 clown maps in half for the Super Bowl Sunday system. Wait. The clown maps aren't accurate? In that case, how is it possible for them to keep the "clown" certification? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Wait. The clown maps aren't accurate? In that case, how is it possible for them to keep the "clown" certification? I think we may have been bamboozled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Boys, this could honestly rock Columbia, SC if we can get the atmosphere to work out. Wow. I like the upper low track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 GEFS Mean is a little colder, but precip is a little farther east with the coastal, from its previous run. GFS Op looks like it's on the far NW portion of the model spread so far with Euro remaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 UKMet looks off the coast like the Canadian as well Looks NW compared to its past runs, however. Stronger (998 vs 1005 mb) and further NW of the GGEM at hr 120. Compared to: http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_120_0000.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Big phase is missed by about the state of TN on the Canadian at 150hrs. With the Sunday system, the Canadian's handling of the short wave is pretty different than the 12z run, plus a lot quicker, therefore I would be inclined to toss without seeing its ens suite yet. The GFS at least has some run to run consistency, even if it is a little NW of center in its ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Big phase is missed by about the state of TN on the Canadian at 150hrs. With the Sunday system, the Canadian's handling of the short wave is pretty different than the 12z run, plus a lot quicker, therefore I would be inclined to toss without seeing its ens suite yet. The GFS at least has some run to run consistency, even if it is a little NW of center in its ensembles. Would the higher resolution of the operational models compared to the ensembles be more likely to handle the phasing better, and result in the ensembles being too far SE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Looks NW compared to its past runs, however. Stronger (998 vs 1005 mb) and further NW of the GGEM at hr 120. Compared to: http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_120_0000.gif Yep, good point and good to see. It's also well southwest with the follow-on digging trough at 144...so, should be at least some light snows with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 So close to having a bomb for parts of GA, Many in SC and most if not all of NC. 1973, come to me. Please. Gve me a nice 1030+ high in the CAD spot.. give me the low.. give me the northern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Big phase is missed by about the state of TN on the Canadian at 150hrs. With the Sunday system, the Canadian's handling of the short wave is pretty different than the 12z run, plus a lot quicker, therefore I would be inclined to toss without seeing its ens suite yet. The GFS at least has some run to run consistency, even if it is a little NW of center in its ensembles. Yep, looking at 5h on Canadian...it misses phase like you said and is more positive tilt. Canadian ensemble follows with this same look - it's colder, but weaker and more off the coast than its 12z run - I can't see 5h with it yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Would the higher resolution of the operational models compared to the ensembles be more likely to handle the phasing better, and result in the ensembles being too far SE? Not to a large degree and we are inside 5 days for the Sunday system so I would be giving more weight to the ops as long as none are in left field within their own suite. This should be the range where the increased resolution works out those finer interactions, instead of widely changing from one run to the next as we often see beyond day 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I can see this trending NW as I mentioned earlier today, but I do wonder if the GFS is too strong with the closing off 5h wave. That needs to be strong in order to get the colder temps and to get the precip thrown back inland....being that this is a late bloomer with precip developing right on top of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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