Hitman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Unnerving. Sb reporting 9" summit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The Euro overnight suddenly gets very interesting for next week on Tue and again Thu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Picked up 4.8" from last night/over night. Woke up at 3am and it was ripping, actually went outside for a bit. 5.5" in last 24 hours. 4.8" marks biggest single event total so far this year. Hope that mark is broken next week.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Unnerving. Sb reporting 9" summit. 2-3" in the base area here and "at least 4 inches on the upper mountain". Gotta go out and check the board at 3,000ft. Regarding Sugarbush they had good squalls it looked like and same with MRG. That area was the little jackpot. I want to see what the Co-Op reports show from the west side there. Someone like Lincoln or Starksboro on the west slope could've gotten 8" last night. I also actually just looked it up and I think my "upper mountain" snowboard at 3,000ft is the same elevation as their mid-mountain reports from the top of Super Bravo for comparison. I never really thought about it but if they are at the top of Heavens Gate measuring its like almost 1,000ft higher, no? May need to throw another board in the woods at 3,700ft to even it out. We had a lot of media folks here on Tuesday and I skied with one yesterday and they were curious as to why the snow board is only 2/3rds of the way up the hill for upper mountain snow. And I explained I wanted something to simulate what you'd be skiing on, not necessary just at the top of the lift and they looked at me like I had three heads. We had a good chuckle. Looked like Jay was 6-8", Smuggs said 6" (but now updated to 3-6"), Sugarbush 4-9", MRG 6-8", Killington 1". Man Killington can't catch a break at all. They are at 35" of snowfall and the next mountain north is Sugarbush with 92" of snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Event totals: 4.9” Snow/0.17” L.E. The snowfall has been ramping up to something much more typical of a decent pattern around here over the past day; evening and morning observations reports are below. Details from the 8:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 1.8 inches New Liquid: 0.10 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 18.0 Snow Density: 5.6% H2O Temperature: 24.3 F Sky: Light Snow (1-5 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 3.0 inches Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 1.9 inches New Liquid: 0.06 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 31.7 Snow Density: 3.2% H2O Temperature: 20.3 F Sky: Light Snow (1-2 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 4.5 inches Our forecast here at the house continues to looks snowy through the rest of the week, with projected accumulations in the 3-6” range: There certainly wasn’t any trouble hitting the 3-6” that the BTV NWS called for in their point forecast from earlier this week, and it’s only Thursday. There’s actually another 3-5” in the point forecast here through Saturday with the persistence of this upper level trough and then a more defined Alberta Clipper on Friday night. The BTV NWS hasn’t really been breaking out many specific shortwave details from the upper level trough over the past few days, and for the most part it’s just been continuously snowing, so I’ve been logging this as one event. If the anticipated Friday night Alberta Clipper system and associated arctic front is defined enough I’ll be able to isolate it in my records as its own storm. FXUS61 KBTV 110951 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 451 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016 .SYNOPSIS... UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN THE FOCUS FOR OUR WEATHER FROM TODAY STRAIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW AND FLURRIES CONTINUE AND WILL BE MOST PERSISTENT IN THE MOUNTAINS TODAY AND THE LAKE EFFECT PRONE AREAS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK ON FRIDAY. AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SQUALLS FRIDAY EVENING, FOLLOWED BY THE COLDEST AIR OF THE WINTER SEASON THUS FAR FOR THE WEEKEND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The scene as snow showers rolled in. Some good sized flakes were flying earlier but no accumulation for now: Cool Intervale area shots eyewall – I really like that first one and made it my current desktop – thanks for posting with plenty of resolution! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 2-3" in the base area here and "at least 4 inches on the upper mountain". Gotta go out and check the board at 3,000ft. Regarding Sugarbush they had good squalls it looked like and same with MRG. That area was the little jackpot. I also actually just looked it up and I think my "upper mountain" snowboard at 3,000ft is the same elevation as their mid-mountain reports from the top of Super Bravo. I never really thought about it but if they are at the top of Heavens Gate measuring its like almost 1,000ft higher, no? May need to throw another board in the woods at 3,700ft to even it out. We had a lot of media folks here on Tuesday and I skied with one yesterday and they were curious as to why the snow board is only 2/3rds of the way up the hill for upper mountain snow. And I explained I wanted something to simulate what you'd be skiing on, not necessary just at the top of the lift and they looked at me like I had three heads. We had a good chuckle. I think the SB higher report lines up with what the WRF was showing and what radar showed. Clearly a higher pulse of moisture and energy down that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 Hmmmmmmm. Things have got to break our way at some point. I'm going to follow mreaves lead and shun shaving. Kind of like the playoffs. Hope to have some ice forming on the whiskers next week. From btv MODELS DIVERGE ON SOLUTION FOR NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM DISTURBANCES FOR NEXT WEEK. WITH HIGH UNCERTAINTY HAVE KEPT CHANCE POPS THROUGHOUT THE THE REST OF THE PERIOD. It can only help. I think the power of the beard (or pseudo-beard in my case) is self evident. It's finally starting to act like Vermont out there. I ended up picking up about 1.5" when all was said and done overnight. Maybe with a little more growth we can turn next week's system into a shellacking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Crickets? I approve of the GFS 06 though the 0Z was even more fun (if this were to verify you could cancel winter after that 15 days and I would be content) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 2-3" in the base area here and "at least 4 inches on the upper mountain". Gotta go out and check the board at 3,000ft. Regarding Sugarbush they had good squalls it looked like and same with MRG. That area was the little jackpot. I want to see what the Co-Op reports show from the west side there. Someone like Lincoln or Starksboro on the west slope could've gotten 8" last night. I also actually just looked it up and I think my "upper mountain" snowboard at 3,000ft is the same elevation as their mid-mountain reports from the top of Super Bravo for comparison. I never really thought about it but if they are at the top of Heavens Gate measuring its like almost 1,000ft higher, no? May need to throw another board in the woods at 3,700ft to even it out. We had a lot of media folks here on Tuesday and I skied with one yesterday and they were curious as to why the snow board is only 2/3rds of the way up the hill for upper mountain snow. And I explained I wanted something to simulate what you'd be skiing on, not necessary just at the top of the lift and they looked at me like I had three heads. We had a good chuckle. Looked like Jay was 6-8", Smuggs said 6" (but now updated to 3-6"), Sugarbush 4-9", MRG 6-8", Killington 1". Man Killington can't catch a break at all. They are at 35" of snowfall and the next mountain north is Sugarbush with 92" of snowfall. I kind of had a feeling we were in a good spot when the btv discussion mentioned lake effect streamers off Lake Ontario. We seem to do well with that. Assuming the natural snow trails will reopen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The run didn't look that good to me. The snow maps look pretty generous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 2-3" in the base area here and "at least 4 inches on the upper mountain". Gotta go out and check the board at 3,000ft. Regarding Sugarbush they had good squalls it looked like and same with MRG. That area was the little jackpot. I want to see what the Co-Op reports show from the west side there. Someone like Lincoln or Starksboro on the west slope could've gotten 8" last night. I also actually just looked it up and I think my "upper mountain" snowboard at 3,000ft is the same elevation as their mid-mountain reports from the top of Super Bravo for comparison. I never really thought about it but if they are at the top of Heavens Gate measuring its like almost 1,000ft higher, no? May need to throw another board in the woods at 3,700ft to even it out. We had a lot of media folks here on Tuesday and I skied with one yesterday and they were curious as to why the snow board is only 2/3rds of the way up the hill for upper mountain snow. And I explained I wanted something to simulate what you'd be skiing on, not necessary just at the top of the lift and they looked at me like I had three heads. We had a good chuckle. Looked like Jay was 6-8", Smuggs said 6" (but now updated to 3-6"), Sugarbush 4-9", MRG 6-8", Killington 1". Man Killington can't catch a break at all. They are at 35" of snowfall and the next mountain north is Sugarbush with 92" of snowfall. I think they do the mid mtn from the base of the heavens gate lift which would be about 3000'. Gadd peak where the super bravo lets off is 3150'. Lincoln peak is 3975' and the top of heavens gate is slightly below that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The run didn't look that good to me. The snow maps look pretty generous. Huh? anything thats not a cutter looks good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Huh? anything thats not a cutter looks good to me. It's a thread the needle system. H7 cuts west of VT on the 6z GFS...H85 over the state. I'm not saying it's putrid...it's one of the better solutions out there if you want snow. I just thought that snow map looked too generous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Looked like Jay was 6-8", Smuggs said 6" (but now updated to 3-6"), Sugarbush 4-9", MRG 6-8", Killington 1". Thanks for the updates PF. I’ve put together the usual north to south listing of available snowfall totals from the Vermont ski areas – these totals are what I could assemble for this week’s ongoing event with the general upper level low. It’s a really interesting pattern with this event, with that huge spike in the Mad River Valley areas of North-Central Vermont as people have noted, then there’s a tier of snowfall below that in Northern Vermont and Southern Vermont. Amazingly, as PF noted above, there was a huge hole in Central Vermont as seen from Suicide Six down to Okemo: Jay Peak: 9” Burke: 5” Smuggler’s Notch: 9” Stowe: 9” Bolton Valley: 6” Mad River Glen: 17” Sugarbush: 13” Middlebury: 8” Suicide Six: 2” Pico: 1” Killington: 1” Okemo: 4” Bromley: 11” Stratton: 10” Mount Snow: 9” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 My current squall registers 3dbz on radarscope but it looks more like a solid 17 in person. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Huh? anything thats not a cutter looks good to me. 06 gfs drowns everybody east of the NH-Maine line, taking the initial 2-5" SN with it. Forecast winds at 850 are south at 100+ for all but the farthest west in Maine, even 75+ at RUM. Doubt my CAD kingdom can withstand that. If all that were to verify, it might look like a repeat of 2/2/1976, when gusts to 115 mph were clocked along Penobscot Bay, and so much water got blown up the estuary that it flooded downtown BGR. (Mostly just parking lots, fortunately, though the 200+ car owners weren't too pleased.) Water rose 15 feet in 15 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Mid to upper elevation of killington definitely got more than the 1" they reported. More like 3-6. I think they only report from the very base which is deceiving, yet even my hotel parking lot had to be plowed with like 3-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 It can only help. I think the power of the beard (or pseudo-beard in my case) is self evident. It's finally starting to act like Vermont out there. I ended up picking up about 1.5" when all was said and done overnight. Maybe with a little more growth we can turn next week's system into a shellacking. I take it back hitman! The power of two shaving strikes has the GFS flooding us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Lock in the rain. You know when models show a drencher days in advance, more than likely that's what we'll get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Lock in the rain. You know when models show a drencher days in advance, more than likely that's what we'll get. Dumps disappear, but cutters gonna cut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Thanks for the updates PF. I’ve put together the usual north to south listing of available snowfall totals from the Vermont ski areas – these totals are what I could assemble for this week’s ongoing event with the general upper level low. It’s a really interesting pattern with this event, with that huge spike in the Mad River Valley areas of North-Central Vermont as people have noted, then there’s a tier of snowfall below that in Northern Vermont and Southern Vermont. Amazingly, as PF noted above, there was a huge hole in Central Vermont as seen from Suicide Six down to Okemo: Jay Peak: 9” Burke: 5” Smuggler’s Notch: 9” Stowe: 9” Bolton Valley: 6” Mad River Glen: 17” Sugarbush: 13” Middlebury: 8” Suicide Six: 2” Pico: 1” Killington: 1” Okemo: 4” Bromley: 11” Stratton: 10” Mount Snow: 9” Holy crap at MRG! 13" in the last 24 hours at the summit and still snowing. This was last night's accums at 3,000ft on Mansfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Dumps disappear, but cutters gonna cut.I'll enjoy the two days of vodka cold while it lasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I'll enjoy the two days of vodka cold while it lasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I'll enjoy the two days of vodka cold while it lasts. Line em up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Beautiful winter scenes this morning on the way to Smuggs. I am feeling better now lol. Sent from my VS986 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Just got to Sunday river. Was going to go snowshoeing before skiing tomorrow, but there's not enough snow to snowshoe. Hiking boots are all that is needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Holy crap at MRG! 13" in the last 24 hours at the summit and still snowing. This was last night's accums at 3,000ft on Mansfield. IMG_1065.JPG its still dumping on the webcams. time for me to get of the office and hit the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Nice mood squalls off and on all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sgottmann Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 its still dumping on the webcams. time for me to get of the office and hit the road. From the Mad River Glen website -- Localized Lake Effect Storm Re-opens MRG! 10-20" (SERIOUSLY) of fluffy "Champlain Powder" has been delivered overnight and throughout the day and MRG is back in business on Friday! Oh and by the way… still DUMPING and doesn’t seem to be letting up! We have received upwards of 20" of new snow this week so far and not a moment too soon! It’s absolutely blower, the kind of “Champlain Powder” we sometimes get when the lake is unfrozen and the wind hits just right. Weird thing is that there is very little new snow just a few hundred feet in elevation down from the base area – very localized storm – very cool indeed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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