Hitman Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Only good thoughts. With mreaves beard on our side, we are going to hit both the upcoming events out of the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 This was off-topic stuff in the thread it was in, but it prompted me to check my data set and write up some comments, and it seems good for the NNE thread: We will need to see a big final month to 6 weeks over the interior and CNE/NNE for much of the region to have a better winter than '97-'98...we can already rule out some of the really bad places like where PF is....they aren't going to have a winter as snowy as that year. You do realize that a lot of NNE can get crushed into April, right? We’re all for getting crushed right through April, but people should appreciate that Will is on the right track with his comments. Snowfall deficits like we’ve got up here this late in the season are monstrous. You can’t recover from them in one storm, or even a few storms, we’re going to have to get into a storm train and have those usual NVT daily snowfalls doing their thing as well. Using my data set, it’s not even possible to cherry pick months to get from where we are right now to a good season. It would require back to back to back record months of February, March, and April, just to reach average seasonal snowfall. And note, we’re already 10 days into February, and I’m including the February snowfall we’ve received, so that means that we don’t just have to see a record February – we have to see a record February (55”+) packed into just 20 days. Then, that needs to be followed up by 60-70” in March/April. Even if 2006-2007 (certainly setting the standard for amazing back ends of winter up here, with 95” from this point through April) was to walk through the door right now, we’d still end up well short of average. For the mountains, my valley numbers have to be doubled, so as long as the mountains can casually whip out a couple of 100” months, things should be fine. I’m sure PF can give the lowdown on the last time we’ve had back to back 100” months on Mansfield… Obviously the spring of 2007 showed us what’s possible, so if we were to somehow match or exceed that performance, it would be one hell of a snowy ride that people would be talking about for a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 The scene as snow showers rolled in. Some good sized flakes were flying earlier but no accumulation for now: What is falling now is melting and we have lost our cover from the last couple of days. It won't stick until later tonight around here unless we get a heavy burst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 This looks interesting. BTV with Heavy Snow now. KBTV 102047Z 31019G22KT 1/4SM R15/3000V5500FT +SN SCT011 OVC021 M03/M06 A2951 AO2 P0000 T10331061 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ono Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 vis under 200m here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 vis under 200m here Waterbury Center? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ono Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Waterbury Center? btv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 BTV haze cam... that's some low vis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 BTV haze cam... that's some low vis. btv.jpg Yep getting rocked right now with a solid squall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ono Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 that was a burst for sure. definitely lightened up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 This is a lousy cell shot as I am meeting with work but here is what it looks like here. Cover is coming back quickly: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Nice squall shots from BTV land. A little something approaching down here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Gray flakeless day here, though I got a dusting overnight. Some snowfall numbers thru Feb 9 compared to their avg YTD, for the eastern part of NNE: CAR 50.5" 75% BGR 33.2" 81% PWM 34.5" 90% CON 20.3" 51% MBY 32.5" 63% Looking like a 2nd year in a row where coast beats inland. Yes, CAR is certainly inland, but their snowfall variation as a proportion of avg is much lower than the other locations. A 75% winter would be their 12th lowest of 76. (And a 63% winter in Farmington would be their 9th lowest of 123.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Well that escalated quickly. Whiteout and just the heaviest snow I've seen this year by far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Crazy echos on the Spine of Mansfield there on the county line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Ripping down here as well. Huge flakes, low VIS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Over an inch of fluff so far at home. Nice and white again. This is fairly impressive. By far the heaviest snow rates of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 10, 2016 Author Share Posted February 10, 2016 Keeps trying here. Starts spitting a few flakes and then peters out again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 BTV hit 0.13 miles of vis with that...the rare 1/8sm snow observation. That's as close to a whiteout as you'll get. KBTV 102104Z 33015KT 1/8SM R15/1400V4500FT SN FZFG VV007 M04/M06 A2952 AO2 P0000 T10441061 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2016 Share Posted February 10, 2016 Flow is blocked with the low level northerly flow and relatively weak westerly flow above that... pretty cool as you can see it blossoming on the western slope because of that. Our snow has shut off here on the east side after an inch or so. We'll see if additional pulses of moisture aloft can work their way over the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 10, 2016 Author Share Posted February 10, 2016 Flow is blocked with the low level northerly flow and relatively weak westerly flow above that... pretty cool as you can see it blossoming on the western slope because of that. Our snow has shut off here on the east side after an inch or so. We'll see if additional pulses of moisture aloft can work their way over the mountains. Feb_10b.gif Feb_10bVAD.gif I figured that was the case with those on the other side getting snow and me getting flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypatia Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Big, fat flakes falling here in New Haven, VT. The video doesn't do the scene justice. It looks like I'm living in a snow globe right now. Accumulating fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 1.1" from the squalls. It would be nice to have that intensity for more than 45 minutes sometime this winter. 1.5" total since 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 A little bit finally made it over the spine. Maybe .25" but another bout of accumulating snow is better than what we've been having. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 A little bit finally made it over the spine. Maybe .25" but another bout of accumulating snow is better than what we've been having. Surprised a bit...MPV had some decent obs. How far from the airport/ASOS are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 Surprised a bit...MPV had some decent obs. How far from the airport/ASOS are you?3 or 4 miles as the crow flies. It was snowing hard for a while but it didn't last long. Big flakes that when they stuck together stand up taller than actual accumulation, if that makes any sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Streamer off Ontario making a bee-line across NY state for SVT. Hopefully it stays put for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I figured that was the case with those on the other side getting snow and me getting flurries You can come and collect all my snow if you want. I hate to see you slowly unraveling like this. Big, fat flakes falling here in New Haven, VT. The video doesn't do the scene justice. It looks like I'm living in a snow globe right now. Accumulating fast.Everybody loves yellow pixels. Welcome to NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Hmmmmmmm. Things have got to break our way at some point. I'm going to follow mreaves lead and shun shaving. Kind of like the playoffs. Hope to have some ice forming on the whiskers next week. From btv MODELS DIVERGE ON SOLUTION FOR NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM DISTURBANCES FOR NEXT WEEK. WITH HIGH UNCERTAINTY HAVE KEPT CHANCE POPS THROUGHOUT THE THE REST OF THE PERIOD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Crickets? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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