winterwarlock Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Mt holly has me 54 and 52 for the upcoming weekend...I thought we were cooling down heading into February? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Mt holly has me 54 and 52 for the upcoming weekend...I thought we were cooling down heading into February? I hesitate to feed the troll, however, it's the end of February for starters and we saw some of the coldest temps in years towards the middle of the month. February has featured a warm beginning and warm end with very cold temps in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockawayRowdies Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Flurries have commenced in Rockaway Boro.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Mt holly has me 54 and 52 for the upcoming weekend...I thought we were cooling down heading into February? the modeled cold snap for the weekend went poof. Looks warm through at least 3/1 or 3/2 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 GFS is cutter after cutter and fairly mild out to day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 GFS is cutter after cutter and fairly mild out to day 10 Another major rainer day 8-9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Another major rainer day 8-9. All this with awesome teleconnections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 All this with awesome teleconnections. I have a feeling I'm going to be very happy this next few months. Ton's of moisture packed miller A's that cut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Another major rainer day 8-9. GFS dumps 6 inches of rain in spots over the next 10 days All this with awesome teleconnections. verbatim it's the GFS past day 5, so have to take that for what it's worth, but with no NAO help and a strong WAR, cutters seem like the most likely option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 GFS dumps 6 inches of rain in spots over the next 10 days verbatim it's the GFS past day 5, so have to take that for what it's worth, but with no NAO help and a strong WAR, cutters seem like the most likely option. The pattern is great for storms but without blocking they are going to be cutters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 The pattern is great for storms but without blocking they are going to be cutters. I agree unless we can get the PV perfectly situated then we could get something that doesn't cut, but I agree cutter city, this looks almost like a strong nina with all the cutters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I agree unless we can get the PV perfectly situated then we could get something that doesn't cut, but I agree cutter city, this looks almost like a strong nina with all the cutters That means more cutters for next winter if nina truly arrives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 That means more cutters for next winter if nina truly arrives If the Nina comes the days of NYC/LI being the local sweet spot are over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 wasnt 95/96 a weak la nina? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Unless we get blocking winter is gone. El Ninos are not good in March for the NYC area especially if there is no blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 If the Nina comes the days of NYC/LI being the local sweet spot are over. depends. 2010-11 was awesome however 98-99 sucked big time-cutter city that winter wasnt 95/96 a weak la nina? it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Euro has also cutters. Not looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 A weak Nina isn't that bad for snow here. It's when you get a moderate-strong Nina. It's especially bad for the Mid-Atlantic/Philly crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 The Western Atlantic Ridge continues to run the table. The Arctic shot that the Euro was showing for the weekend a few days ago just vanished as stronger ridging builds in. February will finish up warmer than it was looking even a few days ago as the models continue to underestimate the WAR. Old Euro run New Euro run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Brutal 12z runs today. Looks like March will be cutter after cutter. Looks like we might torch later in March I hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 GFS is cutter after cutter and fairly mild out to day 10 Gfs had been all over. I remember saying week or so ago, look at first week of March. Snow storm after storm showing up. Then it would just show cutters. Then it showed snow chances again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Brutal 12z runs today. Looks like March will be cutter after cutter. Looks like we might torch later in March I hope might torch sooner than that if the WAR has its way. Even the past 3 days were well above guidance for highs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 Brutal 12z runs today. Looks like March will be cutter after cutter. Looks like we might torch later in March I hope NYC would have under 10 inches of snow on the season to date if it wasn't for that lucky Kara block building across the pole and tanking the AO in January. But it made the difference between a 40 degree winter with little snow and the heaviest daily snowfall pushing NYC above 30". This will probably go down as the luckiest snowfall season on record for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 NYC would have under 10 inches of snow on the season to date if it wasn't for that lucky Kara block building across the pole and tanking the AO in January. But it made the difference between a 40 degree winter with little snow and the heaviest daily snowfall pushing NYC above 30". This will probably go down as the luckiest snowfall season on record for NYC. Pulled a rabbit out of our hat! Could be a lot worse we could be well below avg like Orh in sne or parts of NNE that don't even have snow cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 with the remaining days of Feb now looking warm, we have a shot for warmest met winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 What was the coldest temp for the warmest winter ever in NYC? Would be interesting to have warmest met winter but also a record low of -1 at the park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 What was the coldest temp for the warmest winter ever in NYC? Would be interesting to have warmest met winter but also a record low of -1 at the park We beat both the snowfall and low temperature records by a wide margin for warmest winters in NYC over 40 degrees. DJF temp....year....snowfall....winter minimum temperature 41.5..........01-02.......3.5"..............19 40.5..........11-12.......7.4"..............13 40.4..........15-16......31.2".............-1....through February 22nd 40.1..........31-32.......5.3".............18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 We beat both the snowfall and low temperature records by a wide margin for warmest winters in NYC over 40 degrees. DJF temp....year....snowfall....winter minimum temperature 41.5..........01-02.......3.5"..............19 40.5..........11-12.......7.4"..............13 40.4..........15-16......31.2".............-1....through February 22nd 40.1..........31-32.......5.3".............18 I wonder if the activists, media, and masses were screaming global warming in 1931-32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 I wonder if the activists, media, and masses were screaming global warming in 1931-32 There's an enormous difference between the warmth in winter 1931-32 (regional) and that of the current winter (global). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 23, 2016 Share Posted February 23, 2016 There's an enormous difference between the warmth in winter 1931-32 (regional) and that of the current winter (global). this year was an inferno globally along with oceans well above normal. La nina will dent that for sure, but we are definitely warming globally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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