UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Closer gfs map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 That second swath is what the PARA is picking up on 2nd SW . That's the leftover ULL moving through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 The GGEM tracks right up I-95 from BWI to Boston. 2-4" of rain and screaming winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 that map is useless at this stage of the game and so is the GFS overall - flip flopping from run to run ........players in all different positions run to run........ I think everyone knows that, still shows what the gfs did this run, it's a map not a forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 I think everyone knows that, still shows what the gfs did this run, it's a map not a forecast true - Euro has been most consistent with the southern stream feature middle of next week and the WPC is going mostly with that solution.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Here's your interior snowbomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 While the 12z UKMET may be too amped up, the GFS looks too progressive for the pattern. 0z OP Euro would offer a compromise between the 2. GZ_D5_PN_144_0000.gif GZ_PN_168_0000.gif I like the PARA . It takes the UKMET SW and kills it in the OHV and then it becomes a 2 part system where N and W J/Ps Been saying that for 2 days and that is what this looks like to me . Robust POS PNA should lead to height falls on the EC and push comes to shove LP will find its way close to the BM . There will be snow to the coast but N and W max out here . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 I will wait too see the 12z OP Euro since the parallel has been way too progressive with an east bias this winter. I would wait to see Sunday/mondays ops in reality Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Ggem was nearly identical to yesterday's 12z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Canadian ensembles are also offshore, well east of of last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Ggem was nearly identical to yesterday's 12z euro Wow elk mountain for the win!!! I'm really starting to feel like this is the inland elevated storm I was pushing all fall. We have to return to climo at some point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Wow elk mountain for the win!!! I'm really starting to feel like this is the inland elevated storm I was pushing all fall. We have to return to climo at some point I mean verbatim, if your looking for the "jackpot" then yes.. But even nyc gets nearly a foot on ggem lol... It's a bomb.. Everyone except extreme coastal section do well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Canadian ensembles are also offshore, well east of of last run Quite a few members track the surface low in the same spot as the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Quite a few members track the surface low in the same spot as the OP. Yea i was comparing them in relation to last night 00z... But ALOT of members are in line with op, which is oddly not the usual case with the ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 I mean verbatim, if your looking for the "jackpot" then yes.. But even nyc gets nearly a foot on ggem lol... It's a bomb.. Everyone except extreme coastal section do wellYep I'm part of those extreme costal sections. I get 2" per that run! Hey if it snows like crazy in the city and Vermont I'll take the lose at home. I'm in the city for every storm anyway It really was only a matter of time this solution occurred. I'm not saying this is set in stone of course. But with such tight model agreement around a coastal hugger I think this is looking pretty good. Rememeber the Nw trend this winter as blue wave has been saying with the WAR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 The Euro looks sharper with the trough through 120hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Here's your interior snowbomb. Nice - even the coast gets 6 plus before rain it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 First glance, euro is gonna be east of 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Large surface low taking shape near OBX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 The Euro has the system for Monday morning as well. Looks like a solid hit for the Western HV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 First glance, euro is gonna be east of 00z Later phase, allows things to develop further East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Wet snow from DC Metro up to Boston Wednesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Everything gets kicked East because the Northern stream stays mostly up into SE Canada which helps steer things NE and OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Euros nowhere near its 00z solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Colder and further east on euro. Gfs and euro look similiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Verbatim it's 1-3" for the coastal plain and 3-6" N&W on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Looks like there's some ridging in greenland as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Euro east of earlier run? And is that snow you mentioned for Monday or the second storm?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Major flip flopping with the models! What else is new? At least there's still a strong signal for a storm for mid next week. Follow ensembles for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Euro east of earlier run? Wayyyy east.. To far actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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