Jonger Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 i'm really just hoping we lose all our snow and dry out a bit under full sun and stiff breezes today so that friday/saturday aren't just mud city I walked 5 miles in the city in October, all sidewalks... You're good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 The dogs will find the mud today and tomorrow. They don't stay on the sidewalks. Going to be a muddy mess around here tomorrow for sure. Up to 34° with a mix and high and mid level clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Lol∆ Rain is the worst in winter but i was hoping for a good soaker to rinse the roads of the copious amounts of salt around. At least Saturday won't be near as miserable as Fridays lame wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 performing as modeled at 42 but still a good deal of snow on surfaces...hopefully it melts with the warm overnight temps and high winds before the real torch tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 performing as modeled at 42 but still a good deal of snow on surfaces...hopefully it melts with the warm overnight temps and high winds before the real torch tomorrowWe were discussing the melt today into tonight at work a few days ago and Gino made a point that anecdotally, the most efficient melting actually seems to occur at night with a strong south wind vs. during the day. Not sure exactly why that's the case, but I've noticed the same thing and would expect all the snow to be gone by tomorrow morning except for piles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Snow is slowly melting here. There is still some good sized ice patches underneath the snow from the sleet. Does not feel warm with that wind howling off the lake. 35° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Except for sw Iowa, much of the state is a few+ degrees short of the Euro's temp forecast today. It's still only a disappointing 43. I'm sure the all-day cloudiness hasn't helped, and neither has the southeast wind. I'm hoping we can perform better tomorrow relative to the model forecast (euro says 58). It's currently 71 in Nebraska City, on the Iowa border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 melting is far more efficient than sublimation. once the dew points get above 32 tonight, any lingering snow will go in a hurry with that wind. 12Z euro still showing mid-60s on Friday and now has low 60s Saturday. may be able to tie the record at ORD tomorrow if that works out. some of our probabilistic internal guidance suggests 66-68. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 melting is far more efficient than sublimation. once the dew points get above 32 tonight, any lingering snow will go in a hurry with that wind. 12Z euro still showing mid-60s on Friday and now has low 60s Saturday. may be able to tie the record at ORD tomorrow if that works out. some of our probabilistic internal guidance suggests 66-68. Good point about the dewpoints tonight. 66-68 would be awesome tomorrow. The setup tomorrow is close to ideal for getting extreme warmth in February and I think the Euro has consistently had the best handle on it. There hasn't been a big change in its forecast since I did the extended portion of the forecast last Sunday for LOT, it's actually trended warmer past several runs. Welcome to the board by the way. Just out of curiosity, where do you work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 If it hits 60° tomorrow, it will feel like summer compared to today. Saw a few Robins yesterday eating dried berries from the bird seed. No worms for them yet. 35° for the high today - so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Good point about the dewpoints tonight. 66-68 would be awesome tomorrow. The setup tomorrow is close to ideal for getting extreme warmth in February and I think the Euro has consistently had the best handle on it. There hasn't been a big change in its forecast since I did the extended portion of the forecast last Sunday for LOT, it's actually trended warmer past several runs. Welcome to the board by the way. Just out of curiosity, where do you work? Thanks! I'm at United Airlines NOC in Willis. Technically employed by IBM now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Made it to 43 today here. Feels pretty warm, so can't wait to see how 60+ feels tomorrow. All the snow is history outside a few piles near the street/sidewalks, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Not in our sub, but in central KS at Great Bend they hit 90 degrees today lol. That's insane. Now that's a Feb torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Wow, DVN mentioning that it's not out of the question that even as far north as here we could make a run at 70 tomorrow. Gonna come down to amount of sunshine and how high we can mix. They're also not ruling out the possibility for warning criteria gradient winds. Gonna be an interesting day tomorrow.. from DVN afd.. SOME CONCERN THAT EVEN DEEPER MIXING MAY OCCURIN AREAS THAT GET INSOLATION SOONER...POSSIBLY TAPING UP CLOSE TO AH925 MB 60-65+ KT WIND FIELD AND DRIVING SFC WIND GUSTS NOT ALL THATFAR OFF OF WARNING CRITERIA/58 MPH IN SOME LOCATIONS.FOR NOW WILL ADVERTISE THE ADVISORY AT A SOLID SUSTAINED 25 TO 35MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 40-50 MPH.AS FOR THE WARM TEMPS...WILL KEEP ONGOING HIGHS WITH LITTLE CHANGEFROM PREVIOUS PACKAGE AS A NICE HAPPY MEDIUM OF THE POTENTIALS. BUTAGAIN...WITH DEEPER MIXING...SOONER CLOUD CLEAR OFF TEMPS MAY GET INTHE 70S IN THE SOUTHERN TO MIDDLE CWA LIKE WHAT IS OCCURRING INUPSTREAM AIR MASS ACRS NORTHWESTERN MO THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WOULDMEAN RECORD HIGHS FOR AT LEAST BRL AND MLI. ..12.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 We were discussing the melt today into tonight at work a few days ago and Gino made a point that anecdotally, the most efficient melting actually seems to occur at night with a strong south wind vs. during the day. Not sure exactly why that's the case, but I've noticed the same thing and would expect all the snow to be gone by tomorrow morning except for piles.Already down to just sheltered areas with light depth and piles here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Slowly but steadily, the leftover crud on the grass continues to disappear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Slowly but steadily, the leftover crud on the grass continues to disappear. Still have a solid 3 inches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Wow, DVN mentioning that it's not out of the question that even as far north as here we could make a run at 70 tomorrow. Gonna come down to amount of sunshine and how high we can mix. They're also not ruling out the possibility for warning criteria gradient winds. Gonna be an interesting day tomorrow.. from DVN afd.. SOME CONCERN THAT EVEN DEEPER MIXING MAY OCCUR IN AREAS THAT GET INSOLATION SOONER...POSSIBLY TAPING UP CLOSE TO A H925 MB 60-65+ KT WIND FIELD AND DRIVING SFC WIND GUSTS NOT ALL THAT FAR OFF OF WARNING CRITERIA/58 MPH IN SOME LOCATIONS. FOR NOW WILL ADVERTISE THE ADVISORY AT A SOLID SUSTAINED 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 40-50 MPH. AS FOR THE WARM TEMPS...WILL KEEP ONGOING HIGHS WITH LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS PACKAGE AS A NICE HAPPY MEDIUM OF THE POTENTIALS. BUT AGAIN...WITH DEEPER MIXING...SOONER CLOUD CLEAR OFF TEMPS MAY GET IN THE 70S IN THE SOUTHERN TO MIDDLE CWA LIKE WHAT IS OCCURRING IN UPSTREAM AIR MASS ACRS NORTHWESTERN MO THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WOULD MEAN RECORD HIGHS FOR AT LEAST BRL AND MLI. ..12.. What's the warmest February temp you've experienced? I think here about 64-65°. Two inches of snow still on the ground. Bare areas on south facing slopes and up next to buildings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Still have a solid 3 inches here.1-2" on average here. Some grass spots have appeared though. A few 3" spots in the most sheltered areas. Headed to traverse city this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Got 70 in the point for Saturday I'm ready :^) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 1-2" on average here. Some grass spots have appeared though. A few 3" spots in the most sheltered areas. Headed to traverse city this weekend. Oh, what for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 What's the warmest February temp you've experienced? I think here about 64-65°. Two inches of snow still on the ground. Bare areas on south facing slopes and up next to buildings. Can't remember lol. Probably somewhere around 70 I'd imagine. I do distinctly remember the warmest Jan temp though. That was back in 89 on Jan 31st when MLI hit 69. I was home sick from school that day. Been pretty windy the last hour or so. Getting consistent gusts above 35mph. 60 degree temps still lurking in far southern Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Breezy here too. At the high of the day at 38°. Dewpoint under freezing is helping the snow remain in place largely tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Temp has risen several degrees in the last few hours as winds have turned from southeasterly to southerly. Up to 44 now. The wind gusts out over the Plains tonight have been pretty extreme. Several gusts over 70mph in South Dakota, with some 60+ gusts in Nebraska. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Temp has risen several degrees in the last few hours as winds have turned from southeasterly to southerly. Up to 44 now. The wind gusts out over the Plains tonight have been pretty extreme. Several gusts over 70mph in South Dakota, with some 60+ gusts in Nebraska. Same here. 48° right now, and pretty breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Oh, what for?A getaway long weekend. Was going to be a snow trip to Marquette but they really do have subpar snow (for them). Thinking they have a foot at most in the city, up to 2 feet in Negaunee. Yes it's more snow than I've seen all winter,but I had more in my own backyard much of the last 2 winters and my snow trips to the U.P. usually entail some epic snow. No time to drive all the way to Keweenaw and the parents are going so have to have things to do lol. I figured i will try to take a longer trip next winter way up. Or rather, hope for a 2013-14 repeat and make a snow trip unecessary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 51 @ UGN...Geos is gonna bust already busting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Gorgeous out. Still holding on strong to the 4-5" snow depth. Should have it half gone by tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 winds are delivering and LOT upgraded to a warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 ORD up to 55 already, 62-63 or better should be a lock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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