Baum Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 They all trend back southeast this winter within 48 hrs. And they all trend towards elongated junk. Be shocked if low doesn't go right over Chicago when all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 They all trend back southeast this winter within 48 hrs. And they all trend towards elongated junk. Be shocked if low doesn't go right over Chicago when all is said and done. Yeah, I've mentioned that a couple of times on this thread. I'd rather a few inches of snow and then dry slot than rain though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Overreacting to the gfs with a touch of sarcasm to but I just can't have a ounce of faith the rgem will hold tonight's run in 12 more hrs even.. I think a solution the gfs could be close solution and maybe even bit more west warmer in the end Yeah pretty much how I thought 12z rgem would roll towards today. Wasn't buying what it was "sniffing" last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 I guess we can look forward to lots of lake effect snow showers scattered around the Great Lakes afterwards... hah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 They all trend back southeast this winter within 48 hrs. And they all trend towards elongated junk. Be shocked if low doesn't go right over Chicago when all is said and done. That's a possible scenario too. What I see with the NAM is somewhat significant, in that it does not have an amped up system. It's only 999mb in MO. My guess is that it would travel in line with the direction of where the snow band is pointed into S WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Yeah nam wouldn't get it done for us in east.. It's heading for southern wi to. LA crosse area is really really due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Looking forward to my rain and wind. I was rooting for the Canadian to verify for Hoosier, but it's not looking good. Congrats to those in IA, WI, southeastern MN, and Northern MI who are going to see some real winter weather. Would be nice to get a severe threat if we can't get snow but seems like we're both gonna be in no man's land...too warm for snow and too far north to really get deeper into the warm sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Seeing the 18z NAM's will be interesting this afternoon. Still a fun storm to track regardless, with all the moving parts. Just to show what kind of standard deviations we are looking at with the GFS ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 If you want to see the gfs play out the 18z nam will be interesting for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Northwoods storm. Northern Wisconsin and UP of Michigan. I'd like to see this come south a tad, so that the UP is 100% safe... BTW, this model run of the GFS is BONECHILLING cold in the medium range. Like, Feb 2015 part 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 north on dgex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 We're astounded its north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 GEFS snowfall maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 5-6 inches of snow (or should I say paste) is better than nothing. Personally, I wouldn't want a foot of paste, especially when there's wind involved. Please stop. If you don't want wintry weather, you probably shouldn't be posting in a winter storm thread. You said the same thing about potential freezing rain a few weeks ago. We get it. It makes the thread unreadable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Wouldn't it be something if the Euro came in south.... "dreaming" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Please stop. If you don't want wintry weather, you probably shouldn't be posting in a winter storm thread. You said the same thing about potential freezing rain a few weeks ago. We get it. It makes the thread unreadable. Come on, now. That's a bit dramatic, beavis. I get what you're saying...but a lot of people say the same thing about ice or strong winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Come on, now. That's a bit dramatic, beavis. I get what you're saying...but a lot of people say the same thing about ice or strong winds. Yeah. It all boils down to power outage potential (and NOBODY enjoys being without power). Of course, I do need to think before I post, which is not easy for me to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 I see this was another wasted model track. I guess I'll enjoy my slight thunder potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Slight north shift on the track of the low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Probably goes right over Chicago. In reality, this has pretty much always looked good from Des Moines to Green Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Yeah only getting 3 hrs of sleep it was actually kind of nice to wake up to the 12z nam.. Yeah it's the nam but it was a breath of fresh spring air compared to the 0z spring air storm. lol over a storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 I see this was another wasted model track. I guess I'll enjoy my slight thunder potential. winter of 15-16 continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 lol over a storm? That's usually me during the spring/summer. Lol. Again, cold rain w/ this one. Back to the fantasy GFS for me. Congrats to the guys who get covered! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 lol over a storm? Back in the day...if a storm was within 120 hours...that'd be me too. Maybe 4-5 hrs of sleep/night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 winter of 15-16 continues Looks like you've been posting on Skillings Facebook. http://chicagoweathercenter.com/blog/heres-why-run-to-run-gyrations-in-computer-model-storm-track-forecasts-are-granted-more-importance-than-should-be-the-case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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