Powerball Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 DGEX has been the only model that's been consistent and dumping on (Chicago to Detroit to Toronto corridor) , lol... It would something if it pulls a coup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Out of curiosity, how often does MSP get big dog snowstorms? Maybe my memory has been a bit fuzzy, but I feel like it's been quite a while since MSP got ploughed. Not very often... A few years back MSP had a lot of snow...the year the Metrodome collapsed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 early guesses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 The big story with this system has to be the winds. Really impressive looking. I sure hope I don't lose power again, I have lost it 3x with the past few "storm systems'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 looks like the NAM going to continue with the strong warm cutter into the lakes this weekend, better than 0z, worse than 6z EDIT: definitely moving towards the GFS with the western trough which doesn't help with south trend prospects Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Never underestimate the power of Geos. The Geos magnet is certainly powerful, but I'll argue this one has plenty to do with the date/"holiday" the storm is falling on. Sure it's all a coincidence, but It's been good to us lately around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Yeah they are pretty far apart for sure. All eyes on Sunday when the energy hits the coast. If it hits farther south and the trough is sharper than is currently modeled, you lucky bastards are money.You should move back. Southern tier Wisconsin or northern tier Illinois. j/kI love it up there but I was so ticked to be there post Christmas when that modeled MSP big dog put down a lame 4 or 5 while the epic sleeter was laying down a month's worth of icy cover down here. Woods are still holding onto that and I'm hoping it survives any weekend thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2016 Author Share Posted January 29, 2016 looks like the NAM going to continue with the strong warm cutter into the lakes this weekend, better than 0z, worse than 6z EDIT: definitely moving towards the GFS with the western trough which doesn't help with south trend prospects I thought it still looked quite better than the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 I thought it still looked quite better than the GFS Last few runs of the GEFS don't really give me hope that there is much more room to come south. So I'm going to discount the more favorable looking NAM, especially when it took a step the wrong way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 GFS going to be north...already way too deep over vegas by 6z monday any improvement with the lead wave is trashed, western trough looking very unfavorable if you're wishing this one south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 GFS going to be north...already way too deep over vegas by 6z monday any improvement with the lead wave is trashed, western trough looking very unfavorable if you're wishing this one south Moving much more east northeast this run with the trough still positively tilted. This is a good trend on this run. Unfortunately it didn't dig as much so it may be worse for Chicago but better for mid Michigan into Ontario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Yeah, it looked like it would cut hard early on, but looks more like a bowling ball storm as it crosses the Mississippi Valley and maintains an east northeast movement. Probably will luck out on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 It eventually goes negative Tuesday night as it passes through here. I wouldn't be shocked if there is a thunderstorm potential even as far north as here. This is a very dynamic system and if this were coming a month or so later we'd be talking about one hell of a severe weather outbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Yeah, SLP track doesn't look all that different from prior runs (going off memory here). Looks like to be a little weaker though which ac accounts for it not taking a really hard turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 model consistency/consensus on the western trough, closed upper level low, and a 988-990 slp to right around Chicago is excellent gonna ride with a 1.25" front end dump final call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 model consistency/consensus on the western trough, closed upper level low, and a 988-990 slp to right around Chicago is excellent gonna ride with a 1.25" front end dump final call Very col rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 The Geos magnet is certainly powerful, but I'll argue this one has plenty to do with the date/"holiday" the storm is falling on. Sure it's all a coincidence, but It's been good to us lately around here. Haha . It always seems to snow the first week of February. I can't remember the last time I saw grass on my birthday the 5th. Positive developments in the last day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Cmc has spoken! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 model consistency/consensus on the western trough, closed upper level low, and a 988-990 slp to right around Chicago is excellent gonna ride with a 1.25" front end dump final call GGEM is an ALEK jackpot. relatively lame solution overall but ALEK jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Gem is way south. Like way way south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 GGEM is an ALEK jackpot. relatively lame solution overall but ALEK jackpot bad model having a bad year the 84 hr NAM/GGEM and DGEX aren't going to pull the coup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Jackpot Wyandotte (Michigansnowfreak). LMAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Post. Now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 bad model having a bad year the 84 hr NAM/GGEM and DGEX aren't going to pull the coup I dont buy that solution low travels basically due east from oklahoma to southern illinois Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 bad model having a bad year the 84 hr NAM/GGEM and DGEX aren't going to pull the coup Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2016 Author Share Posted January 29, 2016 model consistency/consensus on the western trough, closed upper level low, and a 988-990 slp to right around Chicago is excellent gonna ride with a 1.25" front end dump final call Was really looking foward to the other south memes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 I dont buy that solution low travels basically due east from oklahoma to southern illinois the SLP jumps east around 0z Wed from right under the ull to the nose of the trough, looks like convection is playing a role, it gets pulled back into the ull later in the run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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