Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2016 Author Share Posted January 28, 2016 18z run vs 0z run last night, big change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Weekend system stronger. Snow in eastern WI. low passed just north of LA this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2016 Author Share Posted January 28, 2016 Weekend system stronger. Snow in eastern WI. way way stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Wow, that's really something~ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Good step Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Will it be weaker though? 2mb here at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Wow...the GFS has Much of Central and Northern Lower MI getting a foot of snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Low passes over ORD pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Sent from my LGLS990 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Here I have the IW Map It's using a different algorithm than PW maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 For how deep it still is in the mid-range, models have been showing relatively good consistency with this storm. For those of us who need a substantial adjustment in the track, not a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Congrats MSP? Not going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Adjusted to the time frame of the main storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 I'll have whatever the DGEX is smoking http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/DGEXEAST_18z/dgexloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 I'll have whatever the DGEX is smoking http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/DGEXEAST_18z/dgexloop.html Just put me in a straight jacket if the DGEX ends up being right and most of this misses me to the southeast...haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 I'll have whatever the DGEX is smoking http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/DGEXEAST_18z/dgexloop.html This is a different solution, the GFS tries to shoot a low out ahead of the main system, that is what the DGEX is blowing up. In turn there ends up being no big system as the energy shears out behind this low that shoots out. It is an unlikely solution though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Just put me in a straight jacket if the DGEX ends up being right and most of this misses me to the southeast...haha Lol, I don't think that's happening. Hopefully the low won't want to go up the lake and just continue on towards Lake Huron. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Lol, I don't think that's happening. Hopefully the low won't want to go up the lake and just continue on towards Lake Huron. Hopefully Lake Erie will pull it in rather than Lake Michigan. I think having a lake stretch so far from north to south really messes with the storm track. More so than many talk about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 GEFS mean coming in southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2016 Author Share Posted January 28, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Here I have the IW Map It's using a different algorithm than PW maps. USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_150.png Picking up on the front end shot of snow in northern IL. It's a little harder to see if you just look at 6 hour precip type increments but it's there, mostly at 114-120 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Ensamble 19 has bullseye for Geos, me, and other northern Chicago suburb folk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Some of those GEF runs look pretty weak and almost DGEX like.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2016 Author Share Posted January 28, 2016 Many more decent/significant hits here on those ensembles compared to complete whiffs now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 A good chunk of the GEFS is looking good for around here, dear god please let it happen instead of just cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 I can live with a 12z GGEM-like solution... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 18z GEFs is some eye candy. I wonder if that cold bias I heard about years ago has been worked out of it. Would add more credibility to its solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 I imagine our two options are a northwest track with a strong storm of heavy snow in Iowa/northern WI,UP.....or a track southeast like the DGEX and GEFS show and a weaker system. Seeing how systems have been, if it takes the southeast route, it will probably be lame and not nearly as strong as a northern Great Lakes hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 Another look at the GEFS members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.