WinterWxLuvr Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Guys, enough of this sh*t. Don't you know it's 10 days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Guys, enough of this sh*t. Don't you know it's 10 days out? Nope, 1st flakes are on the 219 hour map. That's 2/14/16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Guys, enough of this sh*t. Don't you know it's 10 days out? The big ones lock in early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Nope, 1st flakes are on the 219 hour map. That's 2/14/16. Love... and snow... are in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Guys, enough of this sh*t. Don't you know it's 10 days out? 10 days out and not too hard to screw up compared to the blizzard. But it's early. I don't think we've seen the final pattern config yet and it's also probably closer to the start than the end. Do think we have legit displaced PV stuff ahead etc, so colder source seems likely for a while--only 45 days late, close enough. Keep those waves running and something will get it done. Plus I still feel like we should see more legit blocking than we're seeing but perhaps I'm wrong, and I don't know if we totally need it in this case either. Except strong Ninos are a b*tch. Definitely some increased 0z Euro watching ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Lol at that snow map. Easy way to cause panic and create rumors on Social Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Lol at that snow map. Easy way to cause panic and create rumors on Social Yep. Didn't a fireman association randomly share a Euro 240 hour snowfall map or something last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 10 days out and not too hard to screw up compared to the blizzard. But it's early. I don't think we've seen the final pattern config yet and it's also probably closer to the start than the end. Do think we have legit displaced PV stuff ahead etc, so colder source seems likely for a while--only 45 days late, close enough. Keep those waves running and something will get it done. Plus I still feel like we should see more legit blocking than we're seeing but perhaps I'm wrong, and I don't know if we totally need it in this case either. Except strong Ninos are a b*tch. Definitely some increased 0z Euro watching ahead. What about the sun angle tho? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Paq Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Not to sound like a total newb, but what is it with that goofy sh*t that the wxbell maps always do around the bay? Is it just the algorithm's way of saying "snow doesn't accumulate on water"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Interstingly, the discussion in the link I posted from 1/13 talked about the flawed setup of the blizzard modeled at that time. The models today are showing this setup as near textbook for a major storm, with no suggestion of taint on the operationals. Maybe someone who's on Twitter should tweet about the next blizzard and its likely 2-4' before someone else does it first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 But for realz tho, yall know it's not gonna be on tonight's 0z GFS, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 What about the sun angle tho?I doubt it will 'melt 'more than 12" of the 26" DCA gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Not to sound like a total newb, but what is it with that goofy sh*t that the wxbell maps always do around the bay? Is it just the algorithm's way of saying "snow doesn't accumulate on water"? Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 But for realz tho, yall know it's not gonna be on tonight's 0z GFS, right? Models are better now. And I've seen the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Not to sound like a total newb, but what is it with that goofy sh*t that the wxbell maps always do around the bay? Is it just the algorithm's way of saying "snow doesn't accumulate on water"?Snow won't accumulate in a grid space that is mostly or all water. The fast cutoff is partly just an interpolation of going to 0 quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 But for realz tho, yall know it's not gonna be on tonight's 0z GFS, right? Why do you think we're enjoying it so much now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 What about the sun angle tho? Roads are too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Roads are too warm. Temperatures are only 15-20 as the storm starts. Looks like another marginal one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Seriously, Bob won the thread when he told Billy the low would occlude and NYC would only get rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Temperatures are only 15-20 as the storm starts. Looks like another marginal one. Don't forget mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 But for realz tho, yall know it's not gonna be on tonight's 0z GFS, right? unless it is along with the Euro. Then..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Not to sound like a total newb, but what is it with that goofy sh*t that the wxbell maps always do around the bay? Is it just the algorithm's way of saying "snow doesn't accumulate on water"? Immediate shoreline ftl too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 surprised no one has put up a first call map. All the mets must be greedy and want their bread and milk with no competition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 #snowtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Don't forget mixing. GFS is further north with the coastal. MIXING/RAINING in DC to lower #Baltimore CO. Heavy snow in Philly 12z sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Don't forget mixing. It always mixes here.. except all the times it didn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 But for realz tho, yall know it's not gonna be on tonight's 0z GFS, right? then the not so much fun phrases come out like GFS says what storm, Congrats Tallahassee, Ensembles will save us, stick a fork, and she's gonna cut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 then the not so much fun phrases come out like GFS says what storm, Congrats Tallahassee, Ensembles will save us, stick a fork, and she's gonna cut I liked when the Euro dug a "storm" into Cuba. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 It always mixes here.. except all the times it didn't. It didn't mix in Dec 09, Feb '10 Part one and two, Jan 2016, PDI, probably some more. I guess it kinda mixed in 96 but I don't think that cut down on totals much... we were already on the edge of the dryslot then. Somebody said it always mixes in our big ones. I don't think thats true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.