stormtracker Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 shocker.JPG Ok, I'm good now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Oh no. Bob Chill just set off the alarms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Euro is deeper with the trough like the gfs. Southern wave a bit east. SLP popping in NC @ hr102 i see a 1002 low in Central NC/VA border. Looks good from what i see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Oh man, 104mb!!! End of world? Cat 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 This will trend better too IMO. Look at 500mb @ 108 hours, that is sick. Perfect spot for a MIller B if there ever was one....Amazing trends today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h144&cu&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 114 has low near richmnd....uh holy crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 120 abusive precip lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 8-10 up and down the corridor. CVA jack with like 11 or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 eyeballing, looks like 0.75"+ for much of NOVA and DC and 0.5"+ for most of DC/Balt metro...sfc temps scare me a little but whatever.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 This is only 4 days away... Hmm ji love the holy crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 eyeballing, looks like 0.75"+ for much of NOVA and DC and 0.5"+ for most of DC/Balt metro...sfc temps scare me a little but whatever.. Yea, surface temps will be an issue with this one, but IMO with this setup wherever the heavy precip falls they'll be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 114 has low near richmnd....uh holy crap So...wait. Reading through this, I saw Huffwx and Bob mention the low first popping in southwest NC. Does it then go up toward Richmond, I'm assuming, then toward the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Oh no. Bob Chill just set off the alarms Is that his version of an "Aleeeet?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 8-10 up and down the corridor. CVA jack with like 11 or something.I told you north trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 eyeballing, looks like 0.75"+ for much of NOVA and DC and 0.5"+ for most of DC/Balt metro...sfc temps scare me a little but whatever.. High res has us all below freezing from 6z-12z tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Is that his version of an "Aleeeet?" It's like Aleeeet x 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 I told you north trend This was a south trend with the secondary but north trend with the jackpot. Best of both worlds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Yea, surface temps will be an issue with this one, but IMO with this setup wherever the heavy precip falls they'll be fine. It's the old DC classic..47 degrees at DCA in the afternoon and we wait for the cold air to arrive...I'll post my first OB 39/27, light rain/sn while the Winchester guys post street picks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 High res has us all below freezing from 6z-12z tuesday. yes.,..even around 30 for DC proper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 There's going to be plenty of wailing and gnashing of teeth for me with this one only because it's the dreaded northern stream Miller B. I'm already way to weary and I hate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 When its all over guys, post a precip map or something. Some of us are really in the dark when it comes to the euro. Bob, thanks for the massive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 So Euro is good....i think Not according to mitch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Much colder at the surface and above than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 There's going to be plenty of wailing and gnashing of teeth for me with this one only because it's the dreaded northern stream Miller B. I'm already way to weary and I hate it. 12z was really kind to us today. And the trend has been favorable @ h5 inside of 4 days on all guidance. Heh, I kinda believe I'm getting 10 grand out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 12z was really kind to us today. And the trend has been favorable @ h5 inside of 4 days on all guidance. Heh, I kinda believe I'm getting 10 grand out of this. What was the bet again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 I still think there is a CHANCE that we trend even better and this thing closes off E of S NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 Here's the sans nom white label model's thoughts. Knock down totals on the eastern edge by 3" because of tonight's thingy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 What was the bet again? 2" @ bwi from one event before the 15th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 With the way people were going crazy, I thought we were talking about a foot or more. Sounds more like a 4-8 inch storm. Not sure that counts as crazy abundance of precip, but I guess it's a big step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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