Wonderdog Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 GGEM is... interesting 132 -- 1008 in N FL 144 -- 1001 near (just south) ILM 156 -- 1003 100-200 miles east of HSE Then either a new low or the one listed above reappears at 168 as a 993 over ACY/SBY... so I don't know if that is a Miller B development or some kind of weird MSLP movement... there is a weakening high in Quebec at 132 and 144 and 156 so I guess we could see some snow? Maybe that is the energy left behind Highzenberg referred to. Either way, I'm hoping to see at least some agreement on the GFS for two runs in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 I took only a quick glance at the latest gfs..................it sounds like we have a bunch of models that are all over the place with respect to each other. That makes it very difficult to get any type of clear idea IMO as to what might actually happen. So the only logical thing to do is to ride the Canadian at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Maybe that is the energy left behind Highzenberg referred to. Either way, I'm hoping to see at least some agreement on the GFS for two runs in a row. You might get two runs, but good luck on getting two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 In a nutshell, GEM is yesterday's 18Z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 The GEM looks like the GFS from yesterday. The HP isnt quite as strong. But its almost an identical setup. Ninja'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Take a look now, because it will be gone tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 GEFS are all over the place per SLP... esp strength... some 970s are showing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 There's a cluster on the GEFS that sends a northern stream low south of us around d9. A nice tracking clipper can get it done around here. Always a nice cold snow too. Something to keep in the back of the mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Euro looks to miss to the SE with the GEM storm based on 132 hrs. maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Euro looks to miss to the SE with the GEM storm based on 132 hrs. maps has nice HP though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Way off the SE coast at 138 hrs. That MW vortex is a monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 Euro looks to miss to the SE with the GEM storm based on 132 hrs. maps It jumped N from 0z and h5 was a bit more randytastic but not getting the job done this run. The southern wave is just a bit too quick. Slow it down just a little and up the coast it comes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 that MW trough is soooo deep, days 7-8 may be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 that MW trough is soooo deep, days 7-8 may be interesting No doubt. Vort panels look nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Oh boy Day 7 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=namer&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=7day&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 It jumped N from 0z and h5 was a bit more randytastic but not getting the job done this run. The southern wave is just a bit too quick. Slow it down just a little and up the coast it comes. There's the biggest difference between today's 12z gfs and yesterdays. Yesterday, that same system was modeled for next Monday. Today, it's modeled for Sunday. It's a full 24 hours faster. Is there any reason to believe that the models might be erroneously too fast with this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Oh boy Day 7 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=namer&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=7day&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=namer&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=4&pl=cf&ft=7day&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Oh boy Day 7 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=namer&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=7day&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Can't see it at work. How about a little more description. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Can't see it at work. How about a little more description. bowling ball trough centered in western KY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 Can't see it at work. How about a little more description. Trough digging from the midwest is loaded with energy on the backside. It pops a low just south of us off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Trough digging from the midwest is loaded with energy on the backside. It pops a low just south of us off the coast. we might still get gypped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 we might still get gypped Nice microscopic deform band drops like 10" in central VA. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 central VA getting creamed it appears, but such a small area.....will it come NE and expand? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Nice microscopic deform band drops like 10" in central VA. lol ninja'd NE should get clobbered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Trough digging from the midwest is loaded with energy on the backside. It pops a low just south of us off the coast. does weatherbell have a good Euro 500mb vort map? cant seem to find it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 NE does....classic Miller B that almost gets us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 does weatherbell have a good Euro 500mb vort map? cant seem to find it http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2016020212/east/ecmwf_z500_vort_east_stamp.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 does weatherbell have a good Euro 500mb vort map? cant seem to find it http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2016020212/conus2/ecmwf_z500_vort_conus2_stamp.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Bob, do you believe the snow total maps? lol 8" in Central VA, skips over Fredericksburg to PHL, then expands again to the NE I'm seeing 1/22 paybacks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 If a 510 dm pv setup works out this far south, drinks on me forever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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