sauss06 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 On 2/15/2016 at 7:13 PM, djr5001 said: I've just seen it far too often with southeast wind and snow cover surface temps here fight the warm air intrusion. Sure we may get above freezing eventually, but I don't think it happens here at surface as quick as models have. do you have in your records the last time we saw warning criteria ice? i looked in my notes but don't have anything the last 10 years anyhow. Edit- i just saw in my notes, February 6, 2004, .5 ice. But no sure of accuracy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Campus closes at five now. I'm really, really concerned about a prolonged ice event for the Lancaster area since low level temps are much colder than what most models had progged. This could be a repeat of the last major ice event where CTP was playing catch up the entire time. Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 On 2/15/2016 at 7:20 PM, sauss06 said: do you have in your records the last time we saw warning criteria ice? i looked in my notes but don't have anything the last 10 years anyhow. Edit- i just saw in my notes, February 6, 2004, .5 ice. But no sure of accuracy Unfortunately no I don't... I think there was an event 2-3 years ago that was close to .25" but I can't recall date Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 They upped snow totals from 2-3" to 3-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Here is storm total ice map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 On 2/15/2016 at 7:29 PM, Superstorm93 said: Campus closes at five now. I'm really, really concerned about a prolonged ice event for the Lancaster area since low level temps are much colder than what most models had progged. This could be a repeat of the last major ice event where CTP was playing catch up the entire time. Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Please no. I lost power for two and a half days in that one two years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Last real ice storm down this way was Feb 2nd. 2011. There was a solid 1" accertion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 On 2/15/2016 at 7:48 PM, Cashtown_Coop said: Last real ice storm down this way was Feb 2nd. 2011. There was a solid 1" accertion. You're right. My notes show it Started as snow and sleet 1.5" on Feb. 1,'11 and ended with .50 ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 On 2/15/2016 at 7:47 PM, dcfox1 said: Please no. I lost power for two and a half days in that one two years ago.Yea that was horrible. Global models completely misplaced the boundary and low wound up further East leading to some impressive accretion. Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Even more bullish now. Have to see what things look like around 8pm Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 This would be a significant storm around the LSV. Roads in York are already starting to get tricky On 2/15/2016 at 8:00 PM, Superstorm93 said: Even more bullish now.Have to see what things look like around 8pmSent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 All I ask at this point is 0.2" snow to get AVP to 10" for the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Looks like every model is getting more and more bullish with ZR potential... seems to happen every time in these CAD setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 On 2/15/2016 at 7:53 PM, Superstorm93 said: Yea that was horrible. Global models completely misplaced the boundary and low wound up further East leading to some impressive accretion. Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk And that was the one some "met" on here said not to expect any problems but hoped for a good ice storm. He disappeared here this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Not sure the validity of this but my mother (a Saint) sent me a text just now saying it is raining in the lower end of Huntingdon County. That seems a bit odd... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 On 2/15/2016 at 8:43 PM, skiier04 said: Looks like every model is getting more and more bullish with ZR potential... seems to happen every time in these CAD setups. For some reason, we up here never seem to do well with ice forecasts. We almost always end up getting much less, with a relatively rapid changeover to plain rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 On 2/15/2016 at 8:50 PM, Atomixwx said: Not sure the validity of this but my mother (a Saint) sent me a text just now saying it is raining in the lower end of Huntingdon County. That seems a bit odd... Your mom is here with me, how'd she know the weather there? :rimshot: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 It's still 18.3 here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Light to moderate snow here, 24 degrees. Total approaching an inch for the event so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I was at 2.3" around 4pm. Mod snow currently 22F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 PennDOT has reduced speeds on all nterstates around HBG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Moderate snow. Very impressed (and a bit worried) by how tough the cold is hanging on. Only gets more interesting when the sun sets... Mix line is still in MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 On 2/15/2016 at 9:14 PM, Superstorm93 said: Moderate snow. Very impressed (and a bit worried) by how tough the cold is hanging on. Only gets more interesting when the sun sets... Mix line is still in MD Could be bad ice....very worried too. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 18.0. It's gonna ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 On 2/15/2016 at 9:14 PM, Superstorm93 said: Moderate snow. Very impressed (and a bit worried) by how tough the cold is hanging on. Only gets more interesting when the sun sets... Mix line is still in MD So am I since I just found out I have take a 1:00am load out of Hazleton down to Virginia... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Mod snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Light snow has begun here in State College. CTP radar really looks like its blossoming nicely in the last few frames. Really worried about ice later as I'm going to be driving until about 3am tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 The Low position as of 1800z looks a tad south of projected. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 On 2/15/2016 at 9:01 PM, I-83 BLIZZARD said: Light to moderate snow here, 24 degrees. Total approaching an inch for the event so far. Are you still all snow? That heavy band is all snow here and is crushing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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