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Jan 22-24 blizzard obs, tracking, nowcasting #2


Ian

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  On 1/23/2016 at 2:16 PM, Bob Chill said:

Lookin real nice for dca coming up. Early signs of banded structure showing up. They need to crack 20". 130% of climo in a single storm. Haha

Yeah looks like today should be nice. Wondering when that stuff to the west starts rotating through more east. Looks like right now radar is still moving things SE-NW, so I assume the low isn't quite yet at this latitude? I imagine winds will pick up too.

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  On 1/23/2016 at 2:07 PM, BlizzardNole said:

Question about these spotter reports:  are these numbers from 6-hour measurements, or are they snow depth?

 

...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...

1 SE MONT VILL:   20.5 809 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER

GAITHERSBURG:  19.0 738 AM 1/23 COUNTY EMRG MGMT

1 ENE GARR PK    18.0 600 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER

1 ESE NORBECK   17.6 700 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER

GERMANTOWN     17.0 636 AM 1/23 PUBLIC

They are supposed to be storm totals.

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  On 1/23/2016 at 2:19 PM, Mikethemanatee said:

Looks like another 8-12" today for most people. DCA, barring something horrific, should hit 20 easily if it already has 16

I'm rooting hard for DCA to crack 20", finally, and maybe even sneak up to #2 all time. As good as this storm looked and is turning out, I never felt the Knickerbocker was really in play. That event is simply way up there.

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  On 1/23/2016 at 2:26 PM, Always in Zugzwang said:

I'm rooting hard for DCA to crack 20", finally, and maybe even sneak up to #2 all time. As good as this storm looked and is turning out, I never felt the Knickerbocker was really in play. That event is simply way up there.

i.m hoping for 20, at b15 now ,. stopped snowing

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  On 1/23/2016 at 2:26 PM, Always in Zugzwang said:

I'm rooting hard for DCA to crack 20", finally, and maybe even sneak up to #2 all time. As good as this storm looked and is turning out, I never felt the Knickerbocker was really in play. That event is simply way up there.

DCA will blow away 20"....And you speak way too soon re: Knickerbocker...DCA has a shot at 30+"...

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  On 1/23/2016 at 2:30 PM, NorthArlington101 said:

Good band about to roll through. Looking for the mythical increase in flake size at some point today.

 

 

I've realized that the dendrites actually aren't the fastest accumulating - you want small sized flakes coming down thick and fast for the real  heavy rates. 

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  On 1/23/2016 at 2:29 PM, astarck said:

Short range models did pretty well with the 14-18" by morning. I think they were slightly on the high end but not insane. Almost unfathomable to think we could do this all over again.

you heard about that too, very interesting, JB commented on it several days ago

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  On 1/23/2016 at 2:29 PM, LakeEffectKing said:

DCA will blow away 20"....And you speak way too soon re: Knickerbocker...DCA has a shot at 30+"...

Do you think they have a shot at the 30+ simply due to duration of light-mod snows throughout the day? Or do you think there will continue to be intensification of the banding type features to the south and a prolonged increase in the snow intensity again?

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