Jonesy56 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 That was me. I don't remember what I specifically said and regret it lol. But yeah drinks on me. So when's the Arooga's meet-up? You guys won't know I'm there.. I'll be the one lurking in the corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 24, 2016 Author Share Posted January 24, 2016 NAM for PresidentI'd pay good money if all WGAL forecasts were NAM verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 NAM for President It saw NYC getting the crush job also. I have to say, when the SREF runs broke into 2 distinct camps and each run they lost members from the shutout camp I figured the NAM might have been on to something. The SREF members would defect going from <.05 qpf to >1.5" and once defected never went back in future runs. Now, in retrospect, I wonder if we can piece together what exactly it was that NAM latched onto in the upper air that other models were not seeing. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I'd pay good money if all WGAL forecasts were NAM verbatim. It would turn into clownfest REAL quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 It saw NYC getting the crush job also. I have to say, when the SREF runs broke into 2 distinct camps and each run they lost members from the shutout camp I figured the NAM might have been on to something. The SREF members would defect going from <.05 qpf to >1.5" and once defected never went back in future runs. Now, in retrospect, I wonder if we can piece together what exactly it was that NAM latched onto in the upper air that other models were not seeing. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk sounds like a research paper for someone, especially since I could see a couple of papers coming out for the storm in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Sikora measured 25.5" I got 27" Another spotter reported 26.5" Killer storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 European ensembles say we do it all again next Friday. Very impressive mean Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 It would turn into clownfest REAL quick. And that would be a change, how? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I need a beer.Go home and enjoy that beer! You had some hard forecasting the last few days.Some impressive numbers out there today. Good seeing some records broke! The party is over, now it's time for cleanup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj88 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Finally just got back to elysburg from Williamsport. Measured around 15 inches not sure how accurate it really was with the drifting and blowing. Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 one of the items with this storm though that should be looked into other than the model performance is how sharp the actual gradient in snow amounts was. this storm had a much sharper gradient than most storms of this type, at least in my observation. After all, going 0.5" to 8" in 8 miles like happened in Lackawanna County? 2" to 20"+ in about a 30 mile stretch near Columbia County? 1" in Exeter to 18" down just south of Hazleton in ~30 mi? 5" in Milton to 16" in Sunbury just 10 miles away ? when does anyone hear about that dramatic a snow gradient outside of Lake-effect events? I don't remember that many with anything close, personally. But I'm sure you guys might remember a few more. http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=PNSBGM&e=201601240016 http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=PNSCTP&e=201601232308 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Have been following you guys the last couple days. Congrats to all! Enjoy every second of it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 one of the items with this storm though that should be looked into other than the model performance is how sharp the actual gradient in snow amounts was. this storm had a much sharper gradient than most storms of this type, at least in my observation. After all, going 0.5" to 8" in 8 miles like happened in Lackawanna County? 2" to 20"+ in about a 30 mile stretch near Columbia County? 1" in Exeter to 18" down just south of Hazleton in ~30 mi? 5" in Milton to 16" in Sunbury just 10 miles away ? when does anyone hear about that dramatic a snow gradient outside of Lake-effect events? I don't remember that many with anything close, personally. But I'm sure you guys might remember a few more. http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=PNSBGM&e=201601240016 http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=PNSCTP&e=201601232308 A paper on these sharp gradients in general the last several years would be something. It's amazing that these have become the norm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Tbh right about now I'm glad I'm not cleaning up. Backyard at 1.3" of snow to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 A paper on these sharp gradients in general the last several years would be something. It's amazing that these have become the norm. definitely, just found out from my friend in Hanover Section of Nanticoke, 8" of snow for a storm total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Finished with what appears to be a solid 32 inches. Not sure of the accuracy but numbers from spotters near my location have similar reports . What a great storm! My poor wife will be spending all day shoveling while I watch football. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Great storm here, ended with about 12" just north of Hazleton... however I am ready for that slow moving, crawling NJ inland runner/coastal hugger with I 95 torched and an I 81 jack pot up and down PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 definitely, just found out from my friend in Hanover Section of Nanticoke, 8" of snow for a storm total. THat seems a bit high, I am less than 2 miles away and we had less than 5. Unless they got under one of the hazleton bands. they had a lot more that we did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 What's the over under on NESIS rating? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 one of the items with this storm though that should be looked into other than the model performance is how sharp the actual gradient in snow amounts was. this storm had a much sharper gradient than most storms of this type, at least in my observation. After all, going 0.5" to 8" in 8 miles like happened in Lackawanna County? 2" to 20"+ in about a 30 mile stretch near Columbia County? 1" in Exeter to 18" down just south of Hazleton in ~30 mi? 5" in Milton to 16" in Sunbury just 10 miles away ? when does anyone hear about that dramatic a snow gradient outside of Lake-effect events? I don't remember that many with anything close, personally. But I'm sure you guys might remember a few more. http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=PNSBGM&e=201601240016 http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=PNSCTP&e=201601232308 Hey Jim, I do not remember the exact year but 10-15 years ago a similar gradient happened to the very area that was just crushed. MDT was under a Winter Storm Warning for I think 8-12" and got not a single flake while areas JUST to the east, maybe as close as Salunga, ended up with warning criteria snow. One of the largest busts in LSV weather history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Hey Jim, I do not remember the exact year but 10-15 years ago a similar gradient happened to the very area that was just crushed. MDT was under a Winter Storm Warning for I think 8-12" and got not a single flake while areas JUST to the east, maybe as close as Salunga, ended up with warning criteria snow. One of the largest busts in LSV weather history. 30 December 2000? That one was very narrow...Poconos had I think 12"+ while 81 corridor had nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 THat seems a bit high, I am less than 2 miles away and we had less than 5. Unless they got under one of the hazleton bands. they had a lot more that we did. from what I understand from her, maybe she did. that section of Nanticoke is kinda weird compared to say the difference between Honey Pot and downtown Nanticoke. from what she also said from some other friends she has that I don't, out by Ricketts Glen they literally got just a coating while interior sections of Hunlocks Creek got like 6". my former band director from HS got just a few flakes, not even a coating in Tunkhannock. I am seeing a spotter report in Sugar Notch of 6" and 4" in Shavertown. just a really unusual distribution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Well guys, I'm calling it a night. Now that the adrenaline is gone I'm toast. Officially, I recorded 0.2" additional snowfall since 6:00 giving me a final storm total of 35.0". I will come back in the morning to give the wrap-up on all the storm stats. They're nearly the same as what I gave at my 5:00 board clearing obs. Props to my son also who posted the great pics and timelapse video. He's camped out tonight again at his friend's house as neither of us is going anywhere on the roads tonight. I have no clue when the plows will come through. Until then we're all stuck. Pleasant weenie dreams to all... Stephen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 30 December 2000? That one was very narrow...Poconos had I think 12"+ while 81 corridor had nothing. 2000 sounds right now that you say it. Not only did MDT not get any snow, the sun was out the majority of the time the WSW was active over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 What's the over under on NESIS rating? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk 4 is the most likely. What may keep it from being 5 would be weekend, another cutoff, and BOS missing out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 24, 2016 Author Share Posted January 24, 2016 This storm was goddamn amazing. It looks like a lunar landscape outside. I feel honored I got to start a thread that ended up being for a record-setting storm. I just wish we could've got all our members involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 NESIS 4.17 New York got into it along with the mid Atlantic. anyway like most of my predictions here it is a guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 lol...now the winds begin to howl. Seriously though, for all the talk about how windy this storm was going to be, it was rather "tranquil" here during the event itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 24, 2016 Author Share Posted January 24, 2016 MDT broke 30"! 30.2" total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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