Meteorological Super Bowl During AFC Championship? 1/23-1/24, Part II

[Morch Madness]

Last panel of HRRR finally busts through the cement wall for the Pike region. Please be true

 

[The 4 Seasons]

Ginxy, JB just did a midnight "Raging Weather Bull" and he said the coastal is going to pass west of where the GFS has it, and DC will change to sleet. His words 30 minutes ago.

 

He also held on to a 11" snow fall call for Boston and still stands by it. Il check it out now.

[Heisy]

00z EURO...finally joined the party

[Bostonseminole]

euro precipitation shield looks further north.. at 24hr

[ma blizzard]

weenie fodder as the euro comes out 

 

[weathafella]

Euro is north with the qpf for sure.

[ORH_wxman]

Euro def came north again....south coast gets hit hard.

[Morch Madness]

FWIW CTP and BGM are scrambling to up totals along the northern edge in PA

[ORH_wxman]

Euro argues for watching for a CCB tomorrow evening over SE MA...perhaps tickling BOS area. That will have to be watched.

[Ginx snewx]

Euro def came north again....south coast gets hit hard.

RAP is 12-18 and this from Langley

METAR text: KLFI 230551Z AUTO 04031G65KT 2SM R26/3000FT UP BR SQ BKN007 BKN025 OVC049 06/05 A2939 RMK AO2 VIS 1V2

Conditions at: KLFI (LANGLEY AFB/HAMP, VA, US) observed 0551 UTC 23 January 2016

Temperature: 6.0°C (43°F)

Dewpoint: 5.0°C (41°F) [RH = 93%]

Pressure (altimeter): 29.39 inches Hg (995.3 mb)

Winds: from the NE (40 degrees) at 36 MPH (31 knots; 16.1 m/s)

gusting to 75 MPH (65 knots; 33.8 m/s)

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

lol, thanks euro for showing up to the party...but the doors are closed, go home.  

[weathafella]

Fun storm even if we miss

[Hoth]

Euro caved. Wow. How big was the move in Euro terms? I know it generally shifts little by little.

[Ginx snewx]

Euro caved. Wow. How big was the move in Euro terms? I know it generally shifts little by little.

a little more each time 25 miles? Been incremental

[WinterWolf]

NAM leads the way...got to give it its due!

[Bostonseminole]

NAM leads the way...got to give it its due!

it just went a little overboard when it went north.

[rnaude241]

NAM leads the way...got to give it its due!

Seems like it did from yesterday's runs.

[WinterWolf]

it just went a little overboard when it went north.

Exactly! But it had the right idea. The blind squirrel found the nut this time. It's been the leader with the north trend.

[ORH_wxman]

Euro qpf gets 0.5" from Kevin to Scooter

[Bostonseminole]

Euro qpf gets 0.5" from Kevin to Scooter

looks like 128 area maybe 0.3"?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Euro a fair amount north.... Warning snows probably get close to Scott in Weymouth.

Congrats King James too on that run

[ORH_wxman]

looks like 128 area maybe 0.3"?

 

Yeah seems about right for the 128/3 intersection.

[WintersComing]

Howdy all.....been away all night.  Whats the lastest estimates for totals for central CT?

[Hoth]

Wow, hurricane force gust at Langley. Guess that wind component is legit after all.

[WinterWolf]

Howdy all.....been away all night.  Whats the lastest estimates for totals for central CT?

Winter storm warning..6-12 inches.

[WintersComing]

Winter storm warning..6-12 inches.

Thank you......I guess things bumped up a bit

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

well technically, the srefs were the first north solutions then nam followed. think they run off each other or something so they prob have the same cooky bullish results. but still, even though we laugh at them....they showed in big miller A ULL with active el nino S Jet and warm SSTs...they might have a leg to stand on. It's prob going to be the first and last time they are used until it happens again lol. 

[ryanjn]

I had a feeling there would be a big bump in local max totals in Plymouth County, MA, looks like Euro wants to do that. 

[78Blizzard]

The low right now is about 50 miles west of where the Euro has it at hr 24.  Is it just going to sit there for the next 18 hours?

[WinterWolf]

I'd say so glad as can be. Blizzard warnings just south of you and I at the shore...10-15 inches there, with locally higher amounts according to NWS.