Jump to content

  • Member Statistics

    17,701
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Sfagewi
    Newest Member
    Sfagewi
    Joined

Meteorological Super Bowl During AFC Championship? 1/23-1/24, Part II

CapturedNature

By CapturedNature,
in New England

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 995
  • Created
  • Last Reply
JC-CT

JC-CT

Posted
Posted

The worst part will be for the sad person who gets under that 35dbz deform band on radar, only to see -SN/--SN falling as the radar is hitting those echoes at 10-15,000ft and the snow is actually falling in the town to the south.  You're going to want that band to be a few miles north of you and you're golden.

 

I'm pretty confident that will be me

Link to comment
Share on other sites
CCHurricane

CCHurricane

Posted
Posted

Nah. I think 6-10" is probable for you. A little tick either direction will make a difference though.

 

 

How much so - is the coast affected?

 

If anything, NYC and southwestern CT luck out as of now...

 

The coast is very much affected, relative to the previous runs of course. Boston comes crashing back to 2-4 inches, and the 16-24 inch projections are gone from Southeastern New England/RI.

 

6-10 as mentioned above is the most likely outcome.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

If anything, NYC and southwestern CT luck out as of now...

The coast is very much affected, relative to the previous runs of course. Boston comes crashing back to 2-4 inches, and the 16-24 inch projections are gone from Southeastern New England/RI.

6-10 as mentioned above is the most likely outcome. (21z vs. 15z below)

AWT. Hope nobody fell for the mesos. Enjoy virga.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
JC-CT

JC-CT

Posted
Posted

Snow well ahead of schedule into Philly and Monmouth Cty , NJ. NAM nailed it in Virginia. Bumps will continue tonight

 

I wouldn't be surprised if the NAM comes back to the pack tonight. We are honing in on a pretty decent consensus and we are starting to see some models hold serve for a few runs. The GFS is not one of them of course.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted

I wouldn't be surprised if the NAM comes back to the pack tonight. We are honing in on a pretty decent consensus and we are starting to see some models hold serve for a few runs. The GFS is not one of them of course.

I won't be surprised if tonight's models get better for the south coast and worse for those inland.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
JC-CT

JC-CT

Posted
Posted

I won't be surprised if tonight's models get better for the south coast and worse for those inland.

 

You can see the band starting to get resolved on the models. Looks like it just reaches the south coast, I agree, and I could quite possibly be smoking exhaust the entire time. The NAM is really the only model that continues to push it strongly through the CT/MA border.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted

You can see the band starting to get resolved on the models. Looks like it just reaches the south coast, I agree, and I could quite possibly be smoking exhaust the entire time. The NAM is really the only model that continues to push it strongly through the CT/MA border.

I don't believe there's any chance of that . Every model gets measurable to or past the border
Link to comment
Share on other sites
highways1

highways1

Posted
Posted

I won't be surprised if tonight's models get better for the south coast and worse for those inland.

 

Yes, it appears the one takeaway from today's runs is a sharpening of the gradient on the northern edge. Looks like anyone 30-50 miles or so south of the gradient is going to get hammered overnight into tomorrow morning.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Go to topic listing

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...