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Meteorological Super Bowl During AFC Championship? 1/23-1/24, Part II


CapturedNature

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Tick tock

 

It looks to be playing catch up. Not sure exactly what it is, but maybe that scooter shtstreak trending stronger is also letting it dive down and get the heck out of the way faster. I do know that very early in this last set of runs you could tell h5 was oriented more favorably.

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GFS has QPF jumping from about .3" at 12Z to about .8" at 18Z for northern Middlesex in CT.  RH values at H850 are much more robust.  The gap between the GFS and NAM is much less now for our area.  Both have more than twice the QPF of the 12z Euro/RGEM, though, so who knows.

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I've been looking for a time/temperature/height(or pressure)/omega cross section like this for a while. I mentioned in the Mid-Atlantic forum that the dendritic snow growth depth is 13000 feet (KDCA) at 18UTC. It doesn't mean much if you don't have any lift. Now, I can correlate the two. Thanks!

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Everyone throws in the towel 24+ out. Meanwhile last year everyone was saying how we should lock anything in even 24 hrs out.

 

 

I dunno, I think at least several of us have said keep watching in the southern areas.

 

I'm probably toast up here outside of a couple inches of arctic sand...but you never know. However, I've never thought the southern areas were ever truly out of the game.

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