Colonel Badger Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 It's got light precip into SNH. It's north Now you're talking ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 One more bump like that at 0z I'll be real happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 1 inch QPF makes it into SW CT on the GFS, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Tick tock It looks to be playing catch up. Not sure exactly what it is, but maybe that scooter shtstreak trending stronger is also letting it dive down and get the heck out of the way faster. I do know that very early in this last set of runs you could tell h5 was oriented more favorably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 ULL is stronger which I think AIDS in it further north move . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Fwiw gfs has it forming 100 miles south of that point Secondary is forming around Myrtle Beach...SHOWTIME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Definitely a bump north on the GFS - would be better for places like Hartford and Providence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Fwiw gfs has it forming 100 miles south of that point I'm reading that as meaning we could see a 100 mile shift in the precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 GFS is eating dog crap but noone wants to admit it. Just my 2 cents. This is the first run it showed qpf from OES and NAM has hinted at that for multiple runs. I dont expect a blow out. Just calling it as a i see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 It now gets 3-6 almost to Mass border. We expected it would do that. Prob another at 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Fwiw gfs has it forming 100 miles south of that point i thought it was forming around charleston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 What are we thinking for BOS at this point? Models haven't been kind to us. My guess is 1-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 What in the world are you guys talking about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Pressure fall map ftl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 GFS has QPF jumping from about .3" at 12Z to about .8" at 18Z for northern Middlesex in CT. RH values at H850 are much more robust. The gap between the GFS and NAM is much less now for our area. Both have more than twice the QPF of the 12z Euro/RGEM, though, so who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 While it moved the heavier bands north, it didn't advance the lighter bands much further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Pressure fall map ftl They do realize that's ahead of the low and not the low itself... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Brian Dendrite lol http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=CT&stn=KGON&model=nam&time=current&field=omeg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 While it moved the heavier bands north, it didn't advance the lighter bands much further north. That's expected. The heavier bands are the one too watch. Since the heavier band is on the nrn edge, don't expect much north of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 i thought it was forming around charleston Greatest two hourly pressure drops are around that area. I'm sure the low will scurry nearby Charleston, regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Improvements north and east, sticking to the program Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 i think the northern edge is going to have a second jackpot that steals some of the spotlight from DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Dews are coming up . Think this may start earlier than some thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On radar you can see the precipitation kind of hitting a wall around Harrisburg PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 On radar you can see the precipitation kind of hitting a wall around Harrisburg PA. Is Hippy Valley a reference to PSU? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Box upped totals a bit at least down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Dews are coming up . Think this may start earlier than some thinking Everyone throws in the towel 24+ out. Meanwhile last year everyone was saying how we should'nt lock anything in even 24 hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Brian Dendrite lol http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=CT&stn=KGON&model=nam&time=current&field=omeg I've been looking for a time/temperature/height(or pressure)/omega cross section like this for a while. I mentioned in the Mid-Atlantic forum that the dendritic snow growth depth is 13000 feet (KDCA) at 18UTC. It doesn't mean much if you don't have any lift. Now, I can correlate the two. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Everyone throws in the towel 24+ out. Meanwhile last year everyone was saying how we should lock anything in even 24 hrs out. I dunno, I think at least several of us have said keep watching in the southern areas. I'm probably toast up here outside of a couple inches of arctic sand...but you never know. However, I've never thought the southern areas were ever truly out of the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Box Upped Forecast for RI/SEMA brought, might get a watch or warning in places with the WWA i would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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