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January 22-24th Blizzard Observation and Snow Reports


The Iceman

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Looks like a great band is over Center City right now. Northern burbs should see this stuff shortly, probably 2"/hour stuff in there.

 

A little NW of Philly in the burbs...things have picked recently especially the wind w/gusts. Heavier bands moving in the next couple hours.

 

21.6F  Steady mod snow....around 3".

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Eyeballing 2-3" on the ground in Hockessein. Good stuff incoming.

Looking at latest trends...suspect heaviest banding to set up just to north here. You guys in the W Philly Burbs looking get buried.

Feeling pretty good with my location.

Ah hell! We are all getting slammed regardless! WOOHOO!

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Just got back from the local pub in Metuchen (Hailey's).  Snow started around 8:40 pm and was very light for a few hours and then started picking up around 10:30 pm, when we just had a dusting on the ground.  As of midnight, we now have 1.25" on the ground, which is about an inch over the last 1.5 hours.  Snow falling moderately now.  24F and gorgeous out there.  
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Eyeballing 2-3" on the ground in Hockessein. Good stuff incoming.

Looking at latest trends...suspect heaviest banding to set up just to north here. You guys in the W Philly Burbs looking get buried.

When will the strongest winds start to blow Mr Windcredible that is my primary interest

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mcd0057.gif MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0057

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1108 PM CST FRI JAN 22 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EASTERN PA...CENTRAL/NORTHERN NJ...AND

THE NYC METRO

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 230508Z - 231015Z

SUMMARY...MODERATE/HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES WILL GRADUALLY LIFT

NORTHWARD...IMPACTING EASTERN PA...NORTHERN/CENTRAL NJ...NYC...AND

WESTERN LONG ISLAND OVERNIGHT. SNOWFALL WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY

OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...ESPECIALLY TOWARDS MORNING. RATES UP

TO 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...AS AN 850-700 MB LOW CONTINUES TO DEVELOP/DEEPEN EAST

TOWARDS THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE TONIGHT...INTENSIFYING

ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL COMBINE WITH DEFORMATION ALOFT TO SPREAD

MODERATE/HEAVY SNOWFALL NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE TRI-STATE AREA. SNOW

HAS ALREADY OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING...BUT GENERALLY

HAS REMAINED LIGHT/MODERATE IN INTENSITY. NONETHELESS...THE KDOX VWP

EXHIBITS A LARGE/CYCLONICALLY LOOPED HODOGRAPH...INDICATING STRONG

WARM-AIR ADVECTION WITHIN THE APPROXIMATE 1-4 KM LAYER TO THE SOUTH

OF THE REGION. MOREOVER...SFC OBS ACROSS SOUTHERN NJ SHOW PRESSURE

FALLS AROUND 2-2.5 MB/HR...LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO THE AMPLIFYING

WARM-AIR ADVECTION ALOFT. THUS...AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT FURTHER

STRENGTHENS AND 850-700 MB FLOW INCREASES ACROSS THE DISCUSSION

AREA...IMPROVED ICE CRYSTAL GROWTH/AGGREGATION PROCESSES WILL FAVOR

SNOWFALL RATES UPWARDS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR LATE TONIGHT...MOST

LIKELY AROUND 07-10Z.

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Midnight. Snow light/moderate with 5.0", temp. 31, up 6 in last hour, DP 26, pressure 29.82", wind NE18G39mph but a gust of 44mph while composing this. Looks like I'm in for that gut-wrenching changeover to start soon. The Hurricane/Sheena future radar had me in all snow through the night. I will still hold out hope.

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