Fozz Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I remember how dead on the srefs were for us for Boxing Day storm... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Yep, they nailed it to a T.... showing 6" while it was already bypassing us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I don't think I have every seriously used the SREF to make a forecast. Ever. It's flawed. MIC DROP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 I don't think I have every seriously used the SREF to make a forecast. Ever. It's flawed.Oh SNAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Not that it matters - but this storm is electric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 For anyone and everyone ---getting apprehensive--- Open this link, loop the HRRR simulated radar in 1 km mode http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model%20Guidance&model=hrrr&area=east-us&cycle=20160122%2000%20UTC¶m=sim_radar_comp&fourpan=no&imageSize=M&ps=area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The SREF talk has to stop. Weenies unite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 TerpWRF run from 18z today (initial/boundary conditions from GFS)....WET: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The SREF talk has to stop. Weenies unite. NAM debate in 3...2...1... Its already out to hr 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 NAM debate in 3...2...1... Its already out to hr 12 I wish they didn't even bother making products from the parent 12km domain and we could only look at the 4km hires run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kat Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The sref mean snowfall for DC jumped to over 20 inches. Not sure what the panic is about except that ppl just don't want to share the snow love with some neighboring northern cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I wish they didn't even bother making products from the parent 12km domain and we could only look at the 4km hires run. YES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Not that it matters - but this storm is electric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neff Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Didn't know that discussing a model, however reliable it may be, in the model thread was against the rules. And mappy, GFY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Didn't know that discussing a model, however reliable it may be, in the model thread was against the rules. And mappy, GFY Hey, thanks for that. Appreciate it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Didn't know that discussing a model, however reliable it may be, in the model thread was against the rules. And mappy, GFY You came into the forum and claimed the SREFs shifted the jackpot from the MA into PA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Foolishly used the magic of my "powder hound" boxers for last weekend's flurry-fest. I guess penguins will have to do tonight. #powerpanties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grhqofb5 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The sref mean snowfall for DC jumped to over 20 inches. Not sure what the panic is about except that ppl just don't want to share the snow love with some neighboring northern cities.There's a guy named Neff in the model thread stirring up a bunch of the guys in there. Claims to work in MD but his tag says he lives in PA. This is why we don't want to share.Edit: see he's been here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neff Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 You came into the forum and claimed the SREF shifted the jackpot from the MA into PA... Bob said he wasn't concerned unless there was a twist. There seemed to be a twist, and I was hoping for some decent discussion about it. Instead, I was told to GTFO, even though I have legitimate reason for wanting to discuss the potential cause of and potential implications of the change in guidance. Sure, the SREF may be unreliable. But there is another variable: new data from soundings. I'm certainly not a met, but from a scientific standpoint, when there are two variables, you can't just throw one out because "oh, well that's always this way." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Didn't know that discussing a model, however reliable it may be, in the model thread was against the rules. And mappy, GFY Don't play dumb. It was the way you presented it. Now you are pretending to just be an interested weenie. Posting a precip panel that cuts off half the storm with an uh oh north trend?? tagline was just troll bait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neff Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Claims to work in MD but his tag says he lives in PA. This is why we don't want to share. Commute 1.25 hours to work. 30W to 83S to Padonia Rd, left on Beaver Dam, work 0.25 miles up the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neff Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Don't play dumb. It was the way you presented it. Now you are pretending to just be an interested weenie. Posting a precip panel that cuts off half the storm with an uh oh north trend?? tagline was just troll bait. Dude, gfy. I have no interest in trolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
orangewx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I know this may be a silly question, but does anyone know where I can grab the actual audio file/clip for EAS warnings for certain counties in Virginia? You know, those creepy broadcasts that interrupt the radio or television and read out weather bulletins? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I know this may be a silly question, but does anyone know where I can grab the actual audio file/clip for EAS warnings for certain counties in Virginia? You know, those creepy broadcasts that interrupt the radio or television and read out weather bulletins? That would be pretty cool, actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Don't play dumb. It was the way you presented it. Now you are pretending to just be an interested weenie. Posting a precip panel that cuts off half the storm with an uh oh north trend?? tagline was just troll bait. Bingo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neff Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 If I wanted to troll, I'd have posted something along the lines of "hahahaha, sucks to be you guys, ****ers!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 If I wanted to troll, I'd have posted something along the lines of "hahahaha, sucks to be you guys, ****ers!" Well, not to have it get out of hand......but you sorta did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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