hooralph Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I will say this - absolutely no problem with snow growth. Big fat flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I will say this - absolutely no problem with snow growth. Big fat flakes. No sooner did I say that than it seemed to shift to smaller grains. Can hear them hitting the windows. But it's not sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 What a crazy model...the 84 hour NAM...forecasting over 2 feet of snow for the area. Toss it! don't get me wrong.....I didn't believe it either. Not one bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 At this point it appears the NAM is taking the GFS and Euro to the woodshed, who would have thought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 No sooner did I say that than it seemed to shift to smaller grains. Can hear them hitting the windows. But it's not sleet. Rimed flakes have them here too... Even had some graupel earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Updated Mt Holly: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 MT HOLLY Upped me to 30-36: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 That merges with this in a rather odd way: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 MT HOLLY Upped me to 30-36: Seems to me that UPTON will up as well. 6" inches here already in Pleasantville NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 You can see the radar filling in nicely and condensing moderate snow into bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 That merges with this in a rather odd way: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php Yeah they cut back totals this morning. They might up them again. Who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 MT HOLLY Upped me to 30-36: I have no words... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 That merges with this in a rather odd way: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php Well mt holly just updated... UPTON hasn't since 6:50 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Barley snowing here now, hope the radar fills in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Can anyone post the short range model sim radar for the rest of the day? I'm concerned with dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 The HRRR from last hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Can anyone post the short range model sim radar for the rest of the day? I'm concerned with dry slot. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/HRRRNE_CUR/rloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Dry slots are filling in: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0Q-1-48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 HRRR has snow in the area until 4z. Thats 16 more hours of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 LGA 12" with 2" in last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 LGA: 12" EWR: 13" JFK: 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 NAMO nailed me right... Showed 25-35... and I will easily get the low end of that as I now just hit 14"... picked up 1 inch in 20 min under a 35 dbz band. THUNDER SNOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 HRRR has snow in the area until 4z. Thats 16 more hours of snow. 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Holy crap - 35" is the most ever recorded in NJ at Whitehouse Station during the Jan-96 blizzard. Someone could threaten that. Presumably Upton will upgrade too - otherwise that's a huge discontinuity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Keep in mind even once the snow turns off there is going to be blowing and drifting through tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYStorm Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Latest from Craig Allen: Where we stand....8am.Live all morning on #wcbs880-Very heavy banding since 3am. Perhaps the heaviest of the day with snowfall rates of 2-4" per hour.-But, definite breaks and big dry slot showing up from south & southeast. Precip is pivoting; it's moving counterclockwise, so much less intense snowfall will back in from mid to late morning in some areas.-All models show snow of varying intensity continuing throughout the day. HRRR and RAP are the heaviest and they are very goodtools to use at this point. They continue to show a total of 18-24"but where dry slot(s) set up will determine if that's achieved.-NAM4k has come back down to earth a bit with much more reasonable amounts. Nam12k is still on steroids (Edit- Just saw latest 12 nam; even that has backed off from its 30-40"...more in line with others now.)-Consensus from all other models is 12-18" with pockets and bands of 18-24" from NYC west, south & east.-Amounts decrease markedly with distance north of the City, on up to and beyond I-84.-Started early; will end early. Last bands should pivot away after dark. Most likely done before midnight.-While precip intensity will vary from that point on, the wind will remain dangerously strong, gusting over 50 mph all day.-Worst tidal flooding this morning was down the NJ shore. High tide now in L.I. Sound. Next high tide this evening still may produce a 2 to 4 foot surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Nowhere near as heavy as 7 am this morning here is Westbury. Definitely see a breakup in precip and echoes. I think 24 is pushing it for Suffolk County though. About 7-8" at my house in Kings Park as of 9:30 am. Looking at the radar at work (I'm an ATSS with the FAA) definite drop in precip points East of JFK and LGA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Latest from Craig Allen: Where we stand....8am.Live all morning on #wcbs880 -Very heavy banding since 3am. Perhaps the heaviest of the day with snowfall rates of 2-4" per hour. -But, definite breaks and big dry slot showing up from south & southeast. Precip is pivoting; it's moving counterclockwise, so much less intense snowfall will back in from mid to late morning in some areas. -All models show snow of varying intensity continuing throughout the day. HRRR and RAP are the heaviest and they are very good tools to use at this point. They continue to show a total of 18-24" but where dry slot(s) set up will determine if that's achieved. -NAM4k has come back down to earth a bit with much more reasonable amounts. Nam12k is still on steroids (Edit- Just saw latest 12 nam; even that has backed off from its 30-40"...more in line with others now.) -Consensus from all other models is 12-18" with pockets and bands of 18-24" from NYC west, south & east. -Amounts decrease markedly with distance north of the City, on up to and beyond I-84. -Started early; will end early. Last bands should pivot away after dark. Most likely done before midnight. -While precip intensity will vary from that point on, the wind will remain dangerously strong, gusting over 50 mph all day. -Worst tidal flooding this morning was down the NJ shore. High tide now in L.I. Sound. Next high tide this evening still may produce a 2 to 4 foot surge. That dry slot has been filling in all morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYStorm Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 That dry slot has been filling in all morning. Let's hope it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Let's hope it does. It had already started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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