Drz1111 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 any pics of radar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Snow in belford coastal Monmouth county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 645 pm Upton update. Looks like increase in totals again I think late tonight. Of the models show north again -- Changed Discussion -- SNOW IS SPREADING NEWD AT AROUND 28 KT PER RADAR TOWARDS THE REGION FROM PA AND NJ. THIS BRINGS THE SNOW INTO THE CITY AND NERN NJ ABOUT 9PM. DRY AIR IS IN PLACE WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. MOST OF THE STEADY AND ACCUMULATING SNOW AFT MIDNIGHT MOST AREAS BECAUSE OF THIS ATTM. WRT THE STORM OVERALL...THE 18Z GFS DID COME IN FURTHER N...SO WILL BE AWAITING THE 21Z SREF PLUS 00Z NAM. NEXT UPDATE MAY BE CLOSER TO 1045 PM TO ALLOW FOR A PEAK AT THE 00Z GFS. ANALYSIS OF GFS/ECMWF/CANADIAN/NAM INDICATES A FASTER ONSET OF SNOW TONIGHT. EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP FROM SW TO NORTHEAST TONIGHT. POTENT TROUGH AND SFC LOW PIVOTS EAST...WITH LOW PRESSURE DEEPENING RAPIDLY OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT. EXPECT SNOW ACCUMS TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES NEAR THE COAST TO LITTLE ACCUMS ACROSS THE INTERIOR BY SUNRISE. -- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Rap and HRRR both don't like accumulating snows anywhere north of Rockland, maybe extreme southern orange gets in on it, north of that no dice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Rap and HRRR both don't like accumulating snows anywhere north of Rockland, maybe extreme southern orange gets in on it, north of that no dice HRRR looks fine to me? or is this not updated. The band on the last frame just offshore is insane http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/HRRRNE_CUR/rloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Don't worry too much about the RAP and HRRR at this range, they'll shift around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Brother just told me it's snowing in brick Nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 HRRR looks fine to me? or is this not updated. The band on the last frame just offshore is insane http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/HRRRNE_CUR/rloop.html Your right I had my setting on 3k... HRRR pivots a great band over he LHV And NYC around 1pm tomorrow... And it just sits pushing moisture off the coast till 3pm and still ripping.. NYC is almost 1.5" LE by 3pm tomorrow and still ripping.. LHV does well on the that run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Snow in belford. It's here!!!! Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
like a storm Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Flurries started in Old Bridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Which run did the NAM see this? the nam has shown that (Sleet) down there for several runs going back to yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 The flurries have commenced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 How's this for a look at 3pm Tomorow boys and girls?... As a northern fringe guy I would kill for this to verify, this band sits and pivots for houuuuuuuurssss... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 The flurries have commenced.early huh? What time were you modeled to start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Your right I had my setting on 3k... HRRR pivots a great band over he LHV And NYC around 1pm tomorrow... And it just sits pushing moisture off the coast till 3pm and still ripping.. NYC is almost 1.5" LE by 3pm tomorrow and still ripping.. LHV does well on the that run I think the overrunning moisture is going to have a tough time moving this far north. But when the coastal really gets going and the moisture starts to move in from the SE, we should at least see a little snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 How's this for a look at 3pm Tomorow boys and girls?... As a northern fringe guy I would kill for this to verify, this band sits and pivots for houuuuuuuurssss...Humuna Humuna Humuna. Sorry. That's the best way to describe this beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I think the overrunning moisture is going to have a tough time moving this far north. But when the coastal really gets going and the moisture starts to move in from the SE, we should at least see a little snow. You guys will really be a nowcast deal I think. You'll just have to see how far north the front end of the storm gets. Hopefully it can get past I-84 and deliver a few inches for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 How's this for a look at 3pm Tomorow boys and girls?... As a northern fringe guy I would kill for this to verify, this band sits and pivots for houuuuuuuurssss... Man that's a monster. Look at that band over Northern NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Man that's a monster. Look at that band over Northern NJ. Snows for nearly 10 hours like that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Snows for nearly 10 hours like that lol Wow, I think we might end up seeing a foot plus here. This thing is pretty amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Low currently off SC coast at 998 mb. Gradient is still loose up here but expect things to shift rapidly in the next 12 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Wow, I think we might end up seeing a foot plus here. This thing is pretty amazing. snows all way back to Elk Mountain, PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 snows all way back to Elk Mountain, PA. Yeah, I'm still surprised this thing shifted North so much. Granted, some on here called it, but I definitely didn't think it'd happen. This should be some of the best snow we've had in quite awhile, and luckily the heaviest will fall during the daytime for us to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Yeah, I'm still surprised this thing shifted North so much. Granted, some on here called it, but I definitely didn't think it'd happen. This should be some of the best snow we've had in quite awhile, and luckily the heaviest will fall during the daytime for us to watch. I wouldn't trust the long range HRRR as gospel... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 How's this for a look at 3pm Tomorow boys and girls?... As a northern fringe guy I would kill for this to verify, this band sits and pivots for houuuuuuuurssss... 24 Hr? I thought the HRRR only went out to 15hr on wxbell. Where do you find the runs out to 24 hr I can only seem to find everything that goes out to 15 hr max no matter which run I choose. I see that's the 20Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 A few of the short range and globals have been showing a heavy band stretching from LI, across NYC into Northern NJ. I'm interested/hoping to see that verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I wouldn't trust the long range HRRR as gospel... Nah I would never lol. It has certainly nailed events before, most being clipper systems though. Warning up now, with 8-12" forecasted totals. It's going to be more of a nowcast event, like many have already said, because the bands will set up a little different I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 24 Hr? I thought the HRRR only went out to 15hr on wxbell. Where do you find the runs out to 24 hr I can only seem to find everything that goes out to 15 hr max no matter which run I choose. I see that's the 20Z run. It's called he HRRRX X stands for extended... It's an experimental, probably not to be trusted, so take with a grain of salt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYGiantsFan99 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 so do you guys think the 0z name holds its ground ? hows southern bergen county lookin? 25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Look at the radar south of Cape May-Intense banding down there. That's where the huge accumulations will come from later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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