Big Jims Videos Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Mandatory evacuations underway n Barnegat southern ocean county. Voluntary evacuations ordered toms River brick Manasquan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I am almost certain that 12-18 will be brought further north... but who cares at this point... Lets enjoy it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Rgem is excellent for NYC/LI and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seth.P Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I am almost certain that 12-18 will be brought further north... but who cares at this point... Lets enjoy it! That! How often do we get a snowstorm that gives us a foot? It feels like it's been awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 350 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016 ...NOR`EASTER TO IMPACT THE AREA WITH SNOW AND WIND TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... CTZ008>012-231000- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0001.160123T1100Z-160124T1800Z/ /O.EXB.KOKX.WS.W.0001.160123T0900Z-160124T1200Z/ NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- 350 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT ALONG WITH ALL OF NEW LONDON COUNTY. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES. * WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE 20S. * TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO STRONG WINDS. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 350 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016 ...NOR`EASTER TO IMPACT THE AREA WITH SNOW AND WIND TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... NYZ069-070-231000- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0001.160123T1100Z-160124T1800Z/ /O.EXB.KOKX.WS.W.0001.160123T0900Z-160124T1200Z/ ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 350 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...ROCKLAND AND NORTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTIES. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE 20S. * TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW IS EXPECTED DUE TO STRONG WINDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. welcome aboard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yikes! I'm suppose to head down to Barnegat on Sunday Morning. Mandatory evacuations underway n Barnegat southern ocean county. Voluntary evacuations ordered tomsRiver brick Manasquan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Rgem is excellent for NYC/LI and south. It's really bothering me that the RGEM isn't quite on board with the higher amounts further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I hope not - I am in Coastal Fairfield County - That happened to us in the 02/10 snowstorm and only ended up with 8I think we'll do OK up here...we usually get some good banding coming in off LI sound...plus things are still trending northward somewhat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Based on the simulated RGEM radar the RGEM actually looks fine for NNJ. Better than 12z in fact. But the QPF sometimes doesn't match up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 someone have latest RGEM, cant access at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyDop Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I am almost certain that 12-18 will be brought further north... but who cares at this point... Lets enjoy it! Why am i not seeing this update ? Anyone else not seeing the updated OKX snow map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 For giggles 4K nam close up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 yes please URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ329 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016...A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION TONIGHT INTO EARLYSUNDAY....STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK TO OUR SOUTH AND EASTTONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT BRINGING HEAVY SNOWFALL...STRONG WINDS AND LIKELY BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO MUCH OF OUR AREA.NJZ010-012>015-230930-/O.CON.KPHI.BZ.W.0001.160123T0500Z-160124T1500Z/SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON329 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO10 AM EST SUNDAY...* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW... GUSTY WINDS AND BLOWING SNOWRESULTING IN TIMES OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...14 TO 20 INCHES.* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM SOUTH TONORTH LATE THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMESOVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF BYEARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND GREATESTPOTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE DURING THE DAYSATURDAY.* WINDS...NORTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOWFALL AND STRONG WINDSWILL PRODUCE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUSTRAVEL. THE SNOW SHOULD BECOME MORE WET FOR A TIME SATURDAYESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. SHOVELING OF HEAVY WET SNOWWILL BE PROBLEMATIC FOR THOSE WITH PHYSICAL AILMENTS. SNOWWILL CLING TO WIRES AND TREES WHICH COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS POWEROUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE DUE TO INCREASINGSNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES IN HEAVIERBANDS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The gates of heaven have opened up. Thank you Mt. Holly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Why am i not seeing this update ? Anyone else not seeing the updated OKX snow map? http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/StormTotalPrecip/StormTotalSnowFcst.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 In what way? As a model or in what they're saying? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk As a model. Been saying this for years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Upton just lowered my amounts. I used to be in the 8-12 bucket, and now it's 6-8. That's very odd...I'm not sure what they are seeing. Used to have .89 of percip and now that's been lowered to .73 as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 NJ issuing mandatory evacuations for the barrier islands of Ocean county. I mentioned this yesterday as being a possibility. The storm surge is gonna be no joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Based on the simulated RGEM radar the RGEM actually looks fine for NNJ. Better than 12z in fact. But the QPF sometimes doesn't match up.The RGEM is playing catchup to everything else. I wouldn't worry about its exact output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I think we'll do OK up here...we usually get some good banding coming in off LI sound...plus things are still trending northward somewhat Ha, I am in Trumbull also - we have done well over the last 5 years with being in the sweet spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 It's really bothering me that the RGEM isn't quite on board with the higher amounts further NW. If the 18z GFS, 21z Srefs and 0z Nam all show major hits, I can almost guarantee you the Rgem comes fully on board. Even as is, the 18z Rgem is on board for NYC/LI and south. I hope we can get a 20 mile bump to involve the northern guys as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyDop Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/StormTotalPrecip/StormTotalSnowFcst.png How did you get to that image? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 If the 18z GFS, 21z Srefs and 0z Nam all show major hits, I can almost guarantee you the Rgem comes fully on board. Even as is, the 18z Rgem is on board for NYC/LI and south. I hope we can get a 20 mile bump to involve the northern guys as well. Amen, Appreciate the love lol I'm riding the 4K nam all the way home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poleshiftnow Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 How did you get to that image? I have a bookmark. The webpage has changed, but it seems the bookmarked image updates more quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Thought you guys might like thgis tibit from CTP NWS office: .SHORT TERM /MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion -- GENERAL CORE GUIDANCE ADVERTISING A SIGNIFICANT SNOW STORM FOR THE MID ATLC CONTINUES WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN OVERALL SOLUTIONS. HOWEVER...AFTER WPC AND REGIONAL COORDINATION CALL THIS AFTN HAVE TO CONSIDER THE MORE NORTHWARD SOLUTIONS OF THE NAM/SREF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AND SLIGHT NWD SHIFT SHOWN BY THE GFS/ECMWF. THIS SHIFT WILL PUSH THE NRN EDGE OF ACCUMULATING SNOW A BIT NORTHWARD...AND NECESSITATE AN INCREASE IN THE TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. THIS WILL PUT A FORECAST OF OVER 2 FEET OF STORM TOTAL SNOW OVER SRN PARTS OF OUR CWA...NAMELY FROM ADAMS COUNTY NEWD ACROSS PARTS OF YORK AND LANCASTER COUNTIES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poleshiftnow Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The 18z GFS has initialized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Right at initialization you can already see the GFS is more amped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The ULL is a bit further North and heights are building quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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