F5TornadoF5 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT And winter storm watches have been posted to north as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 4km NAM since 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowyCane22 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Id image them raising those totals today if everything stays on par Yeah I'm down in toms river and I know it's mount holly not Upton but they only are still at 10-14 with blizzard warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 4km NAM since 12z Thanks for the side by side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Heights look to be higher at h12 on the GFS so far. Otherwise, looks relatively the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 A little north at 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Mixing issues at hour 36 on the GFS for the city and south shores of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Same story by 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Looks a tad north by 10 miles or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Mixing issues at hour 36 on the GFS for the city and south shores of LI Not that I'm seeing - 850's are welllll south and 925 is up to ACY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Mixing issues at hour 36 on the GFS for the city and south shores of LI No mixing on the panels I'm looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 At 10m Jersey coastline has some mixing issues, maybe south shore as well. City is fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 NYC goes from 3 inches to 7 inches verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 No mixing on the panels I'm looking at. This is what I was looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 A tiny bump north. It basically held serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This is what I was looking at. No mixing on wxbell maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 GFS does nudge north noticeably, but wut a weird precip depiction....5-6" QPF in va? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 GFS does nudge north noticeably, but wut a weird precip depiction....5-6" QPF in va? Definitely north. A lot more noticeably north when you compare it to 12z or 18z. Still think it's not handling the eastern convection correctly. Mid run it looks like it breaks half the storm apart lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 .75-1in of precip in city. A bit more than 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jets Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Convective feedback?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Inch plus for much of long island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The 06Z NAVGEM has a huge hit for the Tri-State Area and NW of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 EPS mean LHV 6 KNYC 12 CNJ 18 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The NAVGEM could easily be up to 2 feet of snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 EPS mean LHV 6 KNYC 12 CNJ 18 . PB do you have 00z euro op qpf or snowfall #s for those locations? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The ensemble mean of the 00z Para Euro is slightly better in our area than even the ensemble mean of the operational EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The ensemble mean of the 00z Para Euro is slightly better in our area than even the ensemble mean of the operational EC.The ensemble mean of the parallel Euro? Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I still dont like GFS/Euro having the same solution.... Deadly combo 90% of the time IMO... And it should throw a red flag that nams out to lunch, when the 12k, and 4K are so drastically different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yes. This morning's ensemble mean of the parallel Euro is more robust in our area than even the ensemble mean of the operational run. The ensemble mean of the parallel Euro? Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I still dont like GFS/Euro having the same solution.... Deadly combo 90% of the time IMO... And it should throw a red flag that nams out to lunch, when the 12k, and 4K are so drastically different Except they don't have the same solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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