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1/23-24 Randytastic Snowstorm Part 2 STORM MODE THREAD


BxEngine

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  On 1/23/2016 at 3:29 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said:

I gotta give it to you dude... You held serve on the NAM.. Only one other than some of us northern guys, who were really just wishcasting and got lucky

Thanks brother

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  On 1/23/2016 at 3:30 AM, pazzo83 said:

I think everyone is a little surprised with how this is playing out.

You kind of said it-how Philly was supposed to do on 2/6/10 and how they actually did. This looks to be NYC this time. Same with Boston on PDII-I remember they were supposed to be on the north fringe and have maybe 12", they ended up with an all time record, and beat us all further down the seaboard who were supposed to be the winners. Sometimes it pays off to be on the northern end and wiggle with the confluence zone. 

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The upper level trends have been trending favorably on nearly every model since the global models had that batch of ugly runs 12z Wednesday. Just goes to show you how QPF maps and other surface maps should be used mainly for a very rough idea outside of a day or so.

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  On 1/23/2016 at 3:33 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said:

Lol... Good luck, still don't buy the wetter solution this far...

 

  On 1/23/2016 at 3:33 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said:

Lol... Good luck, still don't buy the wetter solution this far...

Hopefully I'm wrong about the I-84 dividing line. Someone up there might really win if the northern end of the heavy snow shield can make it. Problem is, just north of that likely gets squat due to subsidence. 

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  On 1/23/2016 at 3:42 AM, Seth.P said:

All credit to the NAM here, but I still don't know if I can trust it 100% moving forward. Haha

I still remember the NAM runs last January, 24 hours before Juno that dropped 4 feet on Nassau County, so no, I still don't trust it over more reliable models or a consensus, but this was a huge win. 

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