Jebman Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Steady snow, 20 degrees, NNE winds gusting to 26 mph. Drifting is evident. Noticed some quarter inch graupels mixed in with the snowflakes. I remember one of the mets mention a rime layer below the dendritic growth layer yesterday while we were all examining the model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 19 degrees. Wind has picked up and good band of snow incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJ3 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Just got back from a nice Jeb walk as the rates are picking up. But I did not expect that stiff of a wind this early in the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RixeyvilleWX Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Mod/Heavy Snow 7.5" thus far. (NW Culpeper) Start time 12:15. 14mph winds. Peak of 19mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 It's absolutely ripping out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Is it just me, or is that mix zone getting closer to NOVA per the latest CC loops? *snip* -SNPL in RIC. So, it is a >0C layer. Not sure how much farther north it will get, more likely to pivot east and across before attacking from the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 HRRR keeps upping the game. 20"+ the next 15 hours for 95 corridor. More for NoVA.The radar makes be believe it. Absolutely floored. Humbled again.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 My guess is N and NW of DC is where 3' potential lies. How far N and NW - I'm like just north of DC but I always do better than the city in elevation events - I guess I'm far enough away. But I think the jackpot is probably NW of me still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amc Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 What's the best radar app out there? RadarScope, costs like $10 but it's worth it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 61 at Hatteras, SE winds 30-40 -- development potential looks awesome to me. 1.89" (measured earlier, daily record) rain at ATL has turned to wet snow, Just two clues in the puzzle, cold air holding strong, sky's the limit on this snowstorm. RIC probably will oscillate all night with bands shifting but I think they will settle into heavy snow by morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 8:20 measurement 5" total and snow board swept Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 The heavier stuff to our south looks to be moving just about due north. That would be good for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Exactly... that is beyond the predictability of the high resolution guidance. However, the fact that you see such an impressive band run after run gives you confidence it will develop at some point, and somebody is in for near record accumulations, and possibly >3" per hour snowfall rates. It may be more useful to think of it probabilistically... where a large region in N VA, MD, and PA has the chance (30-50%) of getting under the 3" per hour snowfall band. As the band begins to set up, it will become more clear who really is going to jackpot from this event. This guidance is available from the NCAR ensemble, which showed the highest probabilities of such a band off to the north and west of DC metro... but DC proper still has a 20-30% chance of getting under it. url: http://www.image.ucar.edu/wrfdart/ensemble/images.php?d=2016012200&f=snow_neprob_3.0&r=MATL that's usually the case because of the steady increase in elevation to the northwest from the fall line between dc and bmore. i think part of that is just due to the orographics of this region, but i could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Yes, that's where it always is no matter what the models show. They always jackpot unless it is a southern storm that is already fringing DCA. A huge band will set up over the northern tier tomorrow and dump for hours and hours while DCA and SE gets moderate snow. Eventually the band will swing through and give DC some sloppy seconds but by that time it will have blown its load. If the storm kicks out a bit further east, that area will too. Just my guess based on what I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 What's the best radar app out there? Radarscope (iOS and Android). $10, but the best $10 on a app you will spend in your life. #1 app for a weather enthusiast, bar-none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonathanW Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Is it just me, or is that mix zone getting closer to NOVA per the latest CC loops? I'm seeing that, too, but haven't been paying attention to the longer term trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Been sitting under a nice band for 45 mins in Sterling, rates have picked up big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 It will get a bit further north and have everyone panic, but as the mid level lows nuke near and east of DC, that will then collapse east later tonight. rgem showed it stalling there right around there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spinguru1661 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 4.25" at 8:20 in Annandale/Lincolnia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Wind driven heavy snow currently. Big flakes. Looks much like that mega squall from last winter out there right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I am getting crushed right now. Coming your way Trix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I'm seeing that, too, but haven't been paying attention to the longer term trends. those are just giant dendrites Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Who cares where the death band sets up at this point. We are all getting pounded now and will be all night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Wind is picking up in Eastern AACo... lots of blowing snow. I have no doubt we'll verify the Bliz Warning here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Moderate Snow. Temp 24.0 Storm Total: 3.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 19.7 SN and winds really picking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Sleet hasn't progressed north....last couple of frames of the loop show it collapsing slightly. DC/NOVA will be all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Guys, forget about the sleet to the south. No chance it gets here like that. It will come in from the east during the pivot. How far east? IMHO- the fall line is prob the furthest. Might not make it past the bay. For next 8 hours just enjoy the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Shoveled 2nd time. Heavier icy snow this time. Rimed flakes falling now. Too tired to take more than a half dozen measurements but we here in PW have between 5.5-6. Thats what I got. Leesburg, Jeb or Bristow confirm? 6-7" over here...it is wet though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Notice the greens taking over as more and more flakes develop. That's what that statement ment. RAD_KFCX_N0X_ANI.gif I'm in this, rates and flakes are most impressive.gonna measure in a sec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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