gwlee7 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 It could be worse, you could live on the coast... Or rocky mount. Light frozen drizzle or minor sleet the whole day so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 we wishcasted the GFS and Euro when we saw confluence last night and COMPLETELY disregarded the NAM. I am as guilty as anybody. The NAM short range should never be tossed and we learned a lesson on the front end with that. We still have a chance at glory, just depends on the warm nose and how long this low spins and sits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 RNK just tweeted me said I might get 2-4 more. lol so I'm gonna be about 5-9 at most (I doubt the 9) far cry from there 12-18 as of 11:00am update! I have about 5 snow/sleet now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 It's not going to be any big snows in the foothills the ULL is to far NORTH. Don't let the models trick you again with this deform band crap. Not happen here. I say Raleigh east might get some heavy precip from coastal (don't know what form)? but here in the foothills scattered showers of whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCHurricane Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 It could be worse, you could live on the coast... Well, the forecast so far had been right on the nose for our area. At least for me anyway. Waiting to see if the backend snow tomorrow is as forecast. I'm waiting on the wind and heavy rain now, maybe even some thunder - lol. The sfc low should pass right over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterhawk Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Curse was on when WOW was jumped and didn't get to create the obs thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 We watch WYFF exclusively. They have said the entire time that I-85 would be the line. I think you hearing things you want to hear. I feel they have done an excellent job with this storm. They didnt say all rain S of 85 , I don't care what y'all say! Still have 1-4" of snow to about Laurens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Curse was on when WOW was jumped and didn't get to create the obs thread... Yep, Mack never has a good track record with bringing the mojo. I think it's because he's south of 85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 From the Jebman himself... "We got us one hell of a firehose powered from three major oceans, it is ALL SNOW, and it is aimed straight at NoVa/DC!" My Son is out on the back 40 surfing the MH Saucer on 2" of fresh powder, I hollered get up here, we're fixing to take a Jeb walk. He said, what's that? I said, an EPIC walk through the snow down to that barn. He said, why? I said, cuz, get your a** up here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 We watch WYFF exclusively. They have said the entire time that I-85 would be the line. I think you hearing things you want to hear. I feel they have done an excellent job with this storm. They did show lots of ice south of 85 too, but they did say that it would be a close call. They circled that area, including where I am and said that we may or may not get hit. I'd say Cessarich and Justis did very well with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 My prediction still spot on of .25 ice and sleet still need that token inch of snow....bahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 My prediction still spot on of .25 ice and sleet still need that token inch of snow....bahahaDeform band incoming! It'll jump us, like always and crush CLT to RAH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCHurricane Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Deform band incoming! It'll jump us, like always and crush CLT to RAH Not on the HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterhawk Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yep, Mack never has a good track record with bringing the mojo. I think it's because he's south of 85. There should be a special ban on thread-creation; top of the list is Mack... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 There should be a special ban on thread-creation post-creation; top of the list is Mack... Fixed your post for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Some of you guys are more bitter than the 40 year old whose husband left her for a 25 year old that he works with. Did she get a lot of money in the divorce? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 There should be a special ban on thread-creation; top of the list is Mack...Because if WOW did it, we would all have a foot now!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Deform band incoming! It'll jump us, like always and crush CLT to RAHThat's what I expect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Fixed your post for you.Enjoy your 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 here's ya coastal for ya. like I said Coastal no good for western areas.... Allan Huffman @RaleighWx 2m2 minutes ago Latest HRRR forecast precip between 2pm-3am, showing very heavy amounts Triangle north. If true extreme icing. #ncwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherheels Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 here's ya coastal for ya. like I said Coastal no good for western areas.... Allan Huffman @RaleighWx 2m2 minutes ago Latest HRRR forecast precip between 2pm-3am, showing very heavy amounts Triangle north. If true extreme icing. #ncwx HRRR is garbage. No way we get that much liquid between now and 3am, I mean dang, compare current radar to that model. If I'm reading it correctly it says around 1" liquid for most of triad still to come? Yeah, I ain't buying it. To your point about the coastal, I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knowledgeispwr Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 here's ya coastal for ya. like I said Coastal no good for western areas.... Allan Huffman @RaleighWx 2m2 minutes ago Latest HRRR forecast precip between 2pm-3am, showing very heavy amounts Triangle north. If true extreme icing. #ncwx Far western areas no, but it looks like substantial precip from a little west of I-77 east. Aren't you in Surry county? Looks like most of Surry on that map is in the 0.75-1.00" QPF zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 here's ya coastal for ya. like I said Coastal no good for western areas.... Allan Huffman @RaleighWx 2m2 minutes ago Latest HRRR forecast precip between 2pm-3am, showing very heavy amounts Triangle north. If true extreme icing. #ncwx yea, we been burned already by model precip output already. There wont be a fool me twice with this system. I'm going to make a sleet man to calm me down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 They did show lots of ice south of 85 too, but they did say that it would be a close call. They circled that area, including where I am and said that we may or may not get hit. I'd say Cessarich and Justis did very well with this one. I agree 100% with this post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Far western areas no, but it looks like substantial precip from a little west of I-77 east. Aren't you in Surry county? Looks like most of Surry on that map is in the 0.75-1.00" QPF zone. Yea, I'm in Surry. But I've been around a long time, seen this song and dance too many times. I guarantee you I don't get 3/4 to 1 of liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 here's ya coastal for ya. like I said Coastal no good for western areas.... Allan Huffman @RaleighWx 2m2 minutes ago Latest HRRR forecast precip between 2pm-3am, showing very heavy amounts Triangle north. If true extreme icing. #ncwx Not better for us out east either. 39 and cold rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 yea, we been burned already by model precip output already. There wont be a fool me twice with this system. I'm going to make a sleet man to calm me down. Yeah, especially looking at the radar. The HRRR is not matching reality at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Tired of the stupid QPF on these models and am ignoring them from now on. Not one of them has been right for my area. Still have some time, but losing patience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Tired of the stupid QPF on these models and am ignoring them from now on. Not one of them has been right for my area. Still have some time, but losing patience. Agreed. The models have been terrible with the qpf. I don't think I would want to be in the bullseye of any of the models right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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