Ltrain Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Tony stopped the RPM future cast at 12 midnight friday. He didnt extend it into to Saturday so I have no idea what it showed. He then said he needs to see one more model run before going all in ( assuming he was referring to the Euro ). He feels the bullseye will be towards DC but Baltimore will get into the heavy snow accumulations. Seemed conservative but never mentioned he expects drastic changes in future model runs. He mentioned the change on Twitter. Not on TV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I can't believe you neglected to mention Westminster. I know how disappointed you'll be if we don't jackpot. Sparky will report 24 inches no matter what happens. So Westminster's place on the next snowmap is secure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Final call: BWI: 12-15 DCA: 14-16 IAD: 14-16 Don't care about other cities. Someone maybe near CHO will hit 20-24. Storm will last a long time but much of the later stages will be light to moderate snow. A week ago we would've been thrilled to see these totals #perspective Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 A week ago we would've been thrilled to see these totals #perspective Yeah I think those are reasonable starting points at this range. I might go 12-18 for the entire corridor, that is enough to imply a crippling storm for the public but means you won't have to worry about walking back from historic numbers if it doesn't pan out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 A week ago we would've been thrilled to see these totals #perspective I agree. I think we allowed ourselves to be taken in by the model hype. We started to believe those runs showing 24-36 across the whole area. I now think we'll see 20+ be restricted to a small lollipop area while everyone else gets a foot or so. I really hope I am wrong and probably am. If Euro dumps all over the area I will gladly eat crow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I agree. I think we allowed ourselves to be taken in by the model hype. We started to believe those runs showing 24-36 across the whole area. I now think we'll see 20+ be restricted to a small lollipop area while everyone else gets a foot or so. I really hope I am wrong and probably am. If Euro dumps all over the area I will gladly eat crow snow. A lame attempt at fyp humor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
va_ghost Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I vote for e13. Let most have a snowpocalypse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 what is the current start time around bwi? Is a 730pm landing on Friday too late? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 A lame attempt at fyp humor. I will do that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Looks like a little appetizer for some places tonight. Both RAP and HRRR have a dusting up to maybe an inch for I-95 and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 AmWx word usage report/1.20.2016/5:45z "mixing" 72,893 times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Did Palka get angry yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Anything below 18" would be a gut wrencher for most after we have been spoiled with a week of model runs in 20" range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Were people here, or should I say EasternWx doubting the insane totals a couple days beore Feb 5-6, 2010? Or was that storm just modeled better overrall? Btw, I'm not trying to hate on anyone. You guys who think this are probably correct anyway. I was just wondering what people's reactions were to those totals compared to this storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Anything below 18" would be a gut wrencher for most after we have been spoiled with a week of model runs in 20" range If Dca go 17 or 16 nobody would be surprised.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Anything below 18" would be a gut wrencher for most after we have been spoiled with a week of model runs in 20" range lol. I haven't seen over 8" in a single event since 2010. Just give me a foot. Anything else is a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Between ltrain mixing posts , tony pann, Phin's worrying, DT tweeting south trend, I am pretty sure we can just go ahead and cancel storm. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Looks like a little appetizer for some places tonight. Both RAP and HRRR have a dusting up to maybe an inch for I-95 and east. I'm going to take that as an early positive indicator that the upper levels are more moisture-laden than earlier modeling assumed. In other news, Euro is running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 If Dca go 17 or 16 nobody would be surprised.... I could see DCA reporting 17 inches while the surrounding stations are all 22-26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Should be an interesting next 20 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I think I'll start a thread for tonight's mini event. Wheres R94? I am sure there is a way to get 3 inches out of this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Should be an interesting next 20 minutes. Euro is going to rip some hearts out I think... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Between ltrain mixing posts , tony pann, Phin's worrying, DT tweeting south trend, I am pretty sure we can just go ahead and cancel storm. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Roger that. Just wait till the Euro. Whatever it portrays DT will have some wacky map and the words SOUTH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Euro is going to rip some hearts out I think... You're not usually this "let me flood the thread"ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I am nervous about the Euro for some reason. not sure why but that model just scares me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I am nervous about the Euro for some reason. not sure why but that model just scares me Well it is GOD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 man, Phin is being a Deb for this storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 what is the current start time around bwi? Is a 730pm landing on Friday too late? Yeah, I wouldn't risk that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kat Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Biggest euro run in MA history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
66degreesnorth Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 We need Wes to come here quickly and give all us weenies the "you can act like a man" speech from godfather Sent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.