MillvilleWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Reasonable forecast IMO 635889904453328233-120-Hand-Drawn-Snow-Totals-Storm-Total.png That is pretty reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Reasonable forecast IMO 635889904453328233-120-Hand-Drawn-Snow-Totals-Storm-Total.png I think that is a safe map based on historical probability and climo. The GEFS you posted suggest to me that 24+ will be east of that current placement by about 25 miles. But a this point this whole thing seems crazy as we normally argue and pray for 3-5 over 2-4. thanks for doing the model pbp...it's one of my favorite aspects of tracking. You do nice job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Actually it was hail. There was an ultra powerful deformation axis over southern CT that had rapid vertical motion over the region. The CC from the radar was showing values around 0.85-0.92 signifying large and non-uniform Hydrometeor. When reviewing the storm afterwards, there had been overshooting tops to 25-30k and a reflectivity gradient of 45-50 dbz on a 1.9 degree tilt. That is a classic low top thunderstorm signature and hail sig for the setup. That band alone dropped 6"/hr rates and small hail stones due to the intense lift aloft. Parts of CT had 13" in 2.5 hrs. 40" fell in a few spots. I did a case study on it for my Radar Met class back in my junior year in college. That is awesome and very informative. I just feel like he has been trolling a bit lately thus my respone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I have obtained cheez its. Game on. Helluvagood dip and chips FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Caps game start time was moved to 5 p.m. on Friday. That might still be a mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Same here! It brings the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
philliesmd Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Trying to follow and get a good start time, so need some help here. Working til 8 or 9 in Leesburg and need to travel back to Frederick, no 4 wheel drive. Odds that I can get out before and arrive home before it gets to nasty. Don't really want to spend the weekend stuck in Leesburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 https://twitter.com/RandyLegette/status/690315528619954176 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I have obtained cheez its. Game on. I have beer, pnut butter, chips, wings, chocolate. I need nothing else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hey guys. Seriously take it all in. Enjoy man. This is why we are who we are. It's what we do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 https://twitter.com/RandyLegette/status/690315528619954176 If you get an answer please post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Before attacking me, please read up about what I'm referring to. Hail or graupel can fall along with snow in extremely heavy convective scenarios. An example of this is in February 2013 in SW connecticut where areas reported more than 6" per hour rates along with thunder and hail. Yeah, my folks live in Hamden, which saw close to 40" in that. My mother called me and cried, "It's hailing here!" and I rolled my eyes and said it was called sleet. Turns out it was actually hail! Still the greatest death band I've ever seen. I hope to see something like that down there on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Helluvagood dip and chips FTW! Yessssss!! What flavor dip? I love the French Onion with Lays Ridges. Yum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Well this is good news What could be better!? Caps hockey while watching a blizzard kickoff outside. Best of both worlds! Really need to lay a beat down on the Ducks though. Have owned us at Verizon Ctr the last few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hail? Wtf dude, it's called sleetThis got a genuine laugh from me. Not just what you posted, but it pretty much sums up what happens on the Board when i see posts from complete strangers the night before a huge storm.Sent from my SM-N920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I have club tickets to that game. Idk what to do Go to the game. They are playing out of their minds and by 7:30-7:45 the game will be over and you can take the metro home and enjoy the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Dogfish 60 minute IPA 2 Porterhouses 3 bags of brussel sprouts chips and dip 2 bottles of red blend Pita chips and smoked salmon Frozen Pizza Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Yeah, my folks live in Hamden, which saw close to 40" in that. My mother called me and cried, "It's hailing here!" and I rolled my eyes and said it was called sleet. Turns out it was actually hail! Still the greatest death band I've ever seen. I hope to see something like that down there on Saturday. This got a genuine laugh from me. Not just what you posted, but it pretty much sums up what happens on the Board when i see posts from complete strangers the night before a huge storm. Sent from my SM-N920V using Tapatalk I guess the new poster was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Dogfish 60 minute IPA 2 Porterhouses 3 bags of brussel sprouts chips and dip 2 bottles of red blend Pita chips and smoked salmon Frozen Pizza You like white dudes, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hey guys. Seriously take it all in. Enjoy man. This is why we are who we are. It's what we do. Thanks coastal. We've been waiting 6 years for one of these. It's electric right now and nuclear snow globes on Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 What could be better!? Caps hockey while watching a blizzard kickoff outside. Best of both worlds! Really need to lay a beat down on the Ducks though. Have owned us at Verizon Ctr the last few years. Screw the ducks. I hope the caps score as many goals as inches that we recive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 If you get an answer please post Damn, he caved way too quick. Ruined that bit of entertainment. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 https://twitter.com/RandyLegette/status/690315528619954176 Major lolz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 This got a genuine laugh from me. Not just what you posted, but it pretty much sums up what happens on the Board when i see posts from complete strangers the night before a huge storm. Sent from my SM-N920V using Tapatalk Uh, ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Thanks coastal. We've been waiting 6 years for one of these. It's electric right now and nuclear snow globes on Saturday Be at work early tomorrow. Will try to let you know my thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Reasonable forecast IMO 635889904453328233-120-Hand-Drawn-Snow-Totals-Storm-Total.png No!!! It only has me in 12-18" when LWX has me 18-24". I'm pissed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hey guys. Seriously take it all in. Enjoy man. This is why we are who we are. It's what we do. Thanks Scott. I want to see your butt in here Friday and Saturday with your expert opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 You like white dudes, right? If he's pretty, in shape...dude could be green with orange stripes. I'm the EOC buddy...Equal Opportunity Commission. But I do pull hella white boys tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Look at that squall line getting going in the Gulf. God I love watching these behemoths take off! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Yessssss!! What flavor dip? I love the French Onion with Lays Ridges. Yum Yup...the "original" French Onion flavor! Though I do like their Buffalo cheese one too (spicy!). With Lay's Ridges is great, but today I got Tostito's Scoops. I'll be troffin'! Even if the power goes out, I can finish the tub I'm sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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