Don Cherry's Jacket Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Lucy pulling the football from Charlie Brown when he is going to kick it. Duh. Thanks. My brain was trying to think of a "hurricane Lucy" event that missed us or something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm telling my relations and friends 16-22" with isolated up to 30" fwiw if people want another forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jviper Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm telling my relations and friends 16-22" with isolated up to 30" fwiw if people want another forecast. This. Now you gotta tell them when it starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 How is that "all in"? what are you talking about? 12-18" is a damn good forecast this far out. Why are you guys nitpicking EVERYTHING? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I don't know about everyone else but the biggest reason I was pretty thrilled with the euro was it basically removed all fears of a Lucy. I know everyone has had that in the back of their mind since the euro blip yesterday. We have back to back runs with awesome solutions and we're really close in. Heck snow starts in just over 48 hours. I wouldn't be surprised to see things bump up a little over the next 48 hours. I'm kind of expecting it. I never believed the 30" stuff around DC. Too much against statistical odds. But 2.5" QPF over a wide area with some little jacks spread around? Sure. Totally reasonable. Well said Bob. I think you also raise what I think is a legit possibility.............that this thing trends a bit north as we get closer. Not sure if that's what you mean by "bump things up", but I am going to be curious to see if this happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 what are you talking about? 12-18" is a damn good forecast this far out. Why are you guys nitpicking EVERYTHING? To paraphrase Geico, if you're a non-met/expert on a weather board, you nitpick everything. That's what you do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 what are you talking about? 12-18" is a damn good forecast this far out. Why are you guys nitpicking EVERYTHING? Easy girl. You, I, and I think a couple of others were accused of bullying yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 @TonyPannWBAL 1m1 minute ago Ok...after digesting 12z runs, I'm all in. 12"- 18" for Baltimore Metro, with Bulls-Eye near DC. Most of that comes on Saturday. Dry Friday. Lol what a tool. I hate that guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 To paraphrase Geico, if you're a non-met/expert on a weather board, you nitpick everything. That's what you do. but you aren't one of those people, you've been around for many years... you should know how this goes. 48 hours before, everyone will make lower initial calls, especially professional mets, and then increase as it gets closer and confidence grows. Just because we see 20" on a modeled snow map, doesn't mean a professional needs to put that on a map two-days out. None of this is new, it happens every storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Boo he has me like 5 miles out of the zone. I can't believe i am only getting 18-24". I'm like two miles from the jackpot. That's some bs right there! Great looking map. Even if he sucked as a met, and he doesn't, he'd still get mad props for his maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm telling my relations and friends 16-22" with isolated up to 30" fwiw if people want another forecast. Do you have a lot of relations?. If so you better start notifying people now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltimoreguy Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 How is that "all in"? Sorry, I'll back off on the Tony Pann stuff. Just not a big fan of his climate change-denying ways in general, and how he as treated this storm so far in particular. I guess for someone who at noon was saying that snow would end Saturday am, now going 12-18" is going "all in" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Easy girl. You, I, and I think a couple of others were accused of bullying yesterday. true. i just think some people enjoy stressing themselves out, being debbie downers and over analyzing every little thing before a storm. ill never understand it. It. Is. Going. To. Snow. please, just enjoy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Easy girl. You, I, and I think a couple of others were accused of bullying yesterday. That's because you are a meanie and you hurt my feeling constantly. Especially with those MD digs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 Do you have a lot of relations?. If so you better start notifying people now.I'm mailing out handwritten forecasts today. Should arrive in Friday's mail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I get pissed when I see people asking questions about mixing. I dont need to ask about mixing. I WILL mix for a time. I am a couple of miles from I 95, and we WILL mix for a few hours. If I can still get 19 inches, as advertised by most of the snow maps, I dont mind some mixing. I'll enjoy my snow and I will boisterously cheer on those who get 42 inches of snow. Unless the winds on Saturday are only 15-25 mph for the most part, you really wont be able to tell the difference between 20 inches and 30 inches. In places where winds gust 40-45mph, the snow will be blown all over the place. How in the hell are you gonna measure it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm mailing out handwritten forecasts today. Should arrive in Friday's mail. Lol, just the stamps alone may cause you to get a second job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jviper Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm mailing out handwritten forecasts today. Should arrive in Friday's mail. Carrier pigeon Friday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm mailing out handwritten forecasts today. Should arrive in Friday's mail. Pony express is pricey these days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Sorry, I'll back off on the Tony Pann stuff. Just not a big fan of his climate change-denying ways in general, and how he as treated this storm so far in particular. I guess for someone who at noon was saying that snow would end Saturday am, now going 12-18" is going "all in" he can still go more "in" after his first "all in". Maybe his first "all in" was just the tip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 LWX went big. http://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 That secondary upper low on the GGEM in the set-up trough says good things about phase being all snow northwest of an Ocean City to Norfolk line and it suggests a bonus 3-5 inches. This is why I am feeling bullish on amounts. The projected storm appears to strike a nearly perfect balance between ocean moisture feed and inland stability. The secondary upper low will rotate into the developing center of the storm and hold back inland encroachment of the Atlantic-arctic boundary which will probably get locked into one location. The heaviest snow bands will probably be 50-100 miles northwest of that boundary anchored by a pseudo-warm front that in days of yore would have been analyzed A2. Back to banter ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Guys get ready here comes the NAM. *Tunes up the Jaws Theme Song* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 LWX went big. http://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter 55% chance of >18" for Dundalk? Sign me up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Why SNO is not 5 posted is beyond me. Give a 16 year old a keyboard who is expelled from school and look what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Anyone notice each model run that Ravens analyzes is more amped than the prior? By tomorrow afternoon he's gonna run out of amps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Anyone notice each model run that Ravens analyzes is more amped than the prior? By tomorrow afternoon he's gonna run out of amps. always use a tube amp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Anyone notice each model run that Ravens analyzes is more amped than the prior? By tomorrow afternoon he's gonna run out of amps. Yes, they are always more amped, more west, and more north than the last. More amps than a large power substation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 always use a tube amp I'd never use it, but I want one. That just LOOKS so damn cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Ravens94 has more amps than a joint concert with AC/DC and Metallica. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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