Ltrain Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:13 PM, Grothar of Herndon said: Almost all mix for AA county Ltrain house. Oh no!!!!! What will I do. I see you joined the gang to beat up on me. Cool Cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:13 PM, WxUSAF said: MoCo/HoCo death band represent on ellinwood's map! Boo he has me like 5 miles out of the zone. I can't believe i am only getting 18-24". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:15 PM, Ltrain said: Oh no!!!!! What will I do. I see you joined the gang to beat up on me. Cool Cool You have only asked that same question every time for every model run in the past week. I thought you were looking for a different answer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:05 PM, leesburg 04 said: It's gonna snow...alot...I'm happy No, It's GON' Snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 It is so funny to read the other forums. EVERYBODY thinks the Euro looks better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:16 PM, ravensrule said: Boo he has me like 5 miles out of the zone. I can't believe i am only getting 18-24". please, you will somehow manage 32" when all is said and done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Strong winds will make measuring the snow challenging for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:16 PM, ravensrule said: Boo he has me like 5 miles out of the zone. I can't believe i am only getting 18-24".Welcome to the screw zone! Does it matter? How will any of us measure with that kind of wind. I'm sure one part of my yard will have 8 inches while the other 9 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:18 PM, Jebman said: Strong winds will make measuring the snow challenging for sure. Duh, go to the deepest part and measure and tell your friends you got 48 inches. Then go to the lowest part and complain on the board that you only got 4 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 hey ellinwood: mind popping into the phl thread and posting your map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Ellinwood's map made my day. Same with CWG's forecast. It's really just an awesome storm all around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:17 PM, Grothar of Herndon said: You have only asked that same question every time for every model run in the past week. I thought you were looking for a different answer. I asked a couple times, not every model run. And today I just asked after Wes mentioned the GFS not showing it even down where he lives. There is a ignore button if you don't like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 My father-in-law is asking me about gfs vs. euro. Dear god lets get on with the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:17 PM, mappy said: please, you will somehow manage 32" when all is said and done we need a like button Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:23 PM, Fozz said: Ellinwood's map made my day. Same with CWG's forecast. It's really just an awesome storm all around. Was CWG's forecast posted today? I saw yesterday's article.. if its a new one, could I get a link to it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I wonder if Tony Pann thought the Euro showed something different like the RPM and shut off precip at 7am Saturday in Baltimore? I like Tony but I think that hunch was wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Just saw ellinwood's map... Oh. My. GAWD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:27 PM, yoda said: Was CWG's forecast posted today? I saw yesterday's article.. if its a new one, could I get a link to it? 12-20" I-95 and east, 15-25" N/W https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/01/20/how-much-snow-are-local-forecasters-and-computer-models-predicting/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 6:47 PM, H2O said: I've really tried to clean that up. i think we are at fault some for letting too much go but ho lee shyt some people just don't want to not post crap You've done a damn good job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Mark's maps are the real deal. Props! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Wow...Ellinwood with a big area of 2'+ I'm impressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I don't know about everyone else but the biggest reason I was pretty thrilled with the euro was it basically removed all fears of a Lucy. I know everyone has had that in the back of their mind since the euro blip yesterday. We have back to back runs with awesome solutions and we're really close in. Heck snow starts in just over 48 hours. I wouldn't be surprised to see things bump up a little over the next 48 hours. I'm kind of expecting it. I never believed the 30" stuff around DC. Too much against statistical odds. But 2.5" QPF over a wide area with some little jacks spread around? Sure. Totally reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltimoreguy Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 @TonyPannWBAL 1m1 minute ago Ok...after digesting 12z runs, I'm all in. 12"- 18" for Baltimore Metro, with Bulls-Eye near DC. Most of that comes on Saturday. Dry Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:35 PM, Bob Chill said: I don't know about everyone else but the biggest reason I was pretty thrilled with the euro was it basically removed all fears of a Lucy. I know everyone has had that in the back of their mind since the euro blip yesterday. We have back to back runs with awesome solutions and we're really close in. Heck snow starts in just over 48 hours. I wouldn't be surprised to see things bump up a little over the next 48 hours. I'm kind of expecting it. I never believed the 30" stuff around DC. Too much against statistical odds. But 2.5" QPF over a wide area with some little jacks spread around? Sure. Totally reasonable. Good post. We forget that qpf is about the least reliable thing a model predicts, but we care about it most. The models are locked in when you consider the statistical noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:37 PM, baltimoreguy said: @TonyPannWBAL 1m1 minute ago Ok...after digesting the 12z euro run, I'm all in. 12"- 18" for Baltimore Metro, with Bulls-Eye near DC. Most of that comes on Saturday. Dry Friday. Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:35 PM, Bob Chill said: I don't know about everyone else but the biggest reason I was pretty thrilled with the euro was it basically removed all fears of a Lucy. I know everyone has had that in the back of their mind since the euro blip yesterday. We have back to back runs with awesome solutions and we're really close in. Heck snow starts in just over 48 hours. I wouldn't be surprised to see things bump up a little over the next 48 hours. I'm kind of expecting it. I never believed the 30" stuff around DC. Too much against statistical odds. But 2.5" QPF over a wide area with some little jacks spread around? Sure. Totally reasonable. PTI, but what is a "Lucy"? Never seen that expression/allusion before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:39 PM, Don Cherry said: PTI, but what is a "Lucy"? Never seen that expression/allusion before. Lucy pulling the football from Charlie Brown when he is going to kick it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:39 PM, Don Cherry said: PTI, but what is a "Lucy"? Never seen that expression/allusion before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:39 PM, Don Cherry said: PTI, but what is a "Lucy"? Never seen that expression/allusion before. Peanuts comic where Lucy yanks the football away from Charlie Brown at the last minute when he tries to kick it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 7:37 PM, baltimoreguy said: @TonyPannWBAL 1m1 minute ago Ok...after digesting 12z runs, I'm all in. 12"- 18" for Baltimore Metro, with Bulls-Eye near DC. Most of that comes on Saturday. Dry Friday. How is that "all in"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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