nj2va Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GEFS Individual snow maps for posterity; OP is the way to go now but the consistency in DC across the members bodes well for forecasts of 18-24". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 kerep in mind the airport is 13 miles EAST of the airport which in this case could be HUUUGE Richmond isn't out of this yet! I have a feeling it's going to be a bust for Richmond... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 where on wxbell is this link ? I cant find it anywhere? GEFS Individual snow maps for posterity; OP is the way to go now but the consistency in DC across the members bodes well for forecasts of 18-24". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GEFS Individual snow maps for posterity; OP is the way to go now but the consistency in DC across the members bodes well for forecasts of 18-24". Even the one or two solutions that had nil last night are gone. All members show at least a significant storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 yeah Sometimes that right ... look at Joaquin EURO is a MEGA outlier with the speed so far. No other model is this slow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 where on wxbell is this link ? I cant find it anywhere? Under the NCEP GEFS Ensembles, click on the "GEFS Precipitation + Type" -- I think he just added it about a month ago to the features. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 where on wxbell is this link ? I cant find it anywhere? Under the NCEP GEFS Ensembles, click on the "GEFS Precipitation + Type" -- I think he just added it about a month ago to the features. http://models.weatherbell.com/gefs/gefs_precipitation.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Even the one or two solutions that had nil last night are gone. All members show at least a significant storm. Yep, the minimum amount is ~16" on a few members and about 12-13 show 2'+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Yep, the minimum amount is ~16" on a few members and about 12-13 show 2'+. yes...mean is around 2.4" for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I was gonna say the individual members dont seem to match up with the map DT posted. But i am guessing they are different products? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 0z Canadian ensemble mean- QPF....2"+ over DC - lighter yellow is 1.75+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 0z Canadian ensemble mean- QPF....2"+ over DC - lighter yellow is 1.75+ Screen Shot 2016-01-21 at 12.37.47 AM.png Huge hit for the CMCens honestly, don't see that kind of QPF on those everyday Matt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Euro is a little faster...3pm start time for DC/NOVA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 This run looks like it is going to be more epic than 12z, vort is stronger, precip is more robust and its farther N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 3z Saturday coastal centered just south of ILM. 6z just SW of Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 7am sat morning about 1" precip has fallen for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 EURO is looking kind of like the NAM did... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Textbook stuff on the euro. All 8 cylinders hitting early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 LOudoun county gets shellacked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Matt's favored areas from earlier are getting it good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Won't need to worry much about mixing if EURO verifies, even along I-95... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Still ripping in DC 3z Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Looks like over 2" QPF for DC. Over 2.5" for the favored areas west of DC in VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 COLDER MORE E AST not SOUTH but east and RIC ALL SNOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Ends around midnight...good run for all, but especially for northern VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 Ends around midnight...good run for all, but especially for northern VA lol NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 STILL MODERATE SNOW DCA IAD CHO RIC 11PM SATURDAY EVENING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Even 2.2-2.4" precip for the corridor and all around it. Great run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 QPF DC: 2.4" IAD: 2.4" Winchester: 2.6" Balt: 2.2" EZF: 2.3" CHO: 2.3" Annapolis: 2.1" 2"+ for basically all of Virginia except the extreme SW corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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