H2O Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 if you aren't adding information to the thread don't post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 It's the only thing out on the RGEM, but here's a link to the vertical motion map at 48 hrs....I see no problem with it http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/770_100.gif Just came out 48 hr. precip map http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=00&stn=PNMPR&hh=048&map=na&stn2=PNMPR&run2=18&mod2=gemreg&hh2=048&comp=1&fixhh=1〈=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Its pretty. Some 40 DBZ stuff over my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Let's forget the 2' vs 3' arguments for a minute.....this has been a remarkable performance by the models. They latched on to this thing IIRC on Friday afternoon and have held it like a rock since. Yeah some shifts here and there but wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I feel like the CWG has gone mainstream, and is less likely to make a higher end call even if guidance supports it. This is unfortunately correct....they really go conservative to avoid screams about a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 It's the only thing out on the RGEM, but here's a link to the vertical motion map at 48 hrs....I see no problem with it http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/770_100.gif The meteocentre maps has the transfer ongoing as of 48H (Friday 7pm)...it looks like the transfer would be complete by the next panel, popping off the SC coast, due south of ILM. Through 7pm, about 0.25" has fallen with a slug of precip inbound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 This is unfortunately correct....they really go conservative to avoid screams about a bust. Only a fool would forecast a record storm 48+ hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Fox 5 "Forecast 3.0": I continue to be impressed with the ability of the news media to represent everything east of Ohio as part of the coastal plain. 6-12" on the Allegheny Plateau, really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 Just came out 48 hr. precip map http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=00&stn=PNMPR&hh=048&map=na&stn2=PNMPR&run2=18&mod2=gemreg&hh2=048&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo RGEM is about to bring it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Just came out 48 hr. precip map http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemreg&run=00&stn=PNMPR&hh=048&map=na&stn2=PNMPR&run2=18&mod2=gemreg&hh2=048&comp=1&fixhh=1〈=en&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo This and the VV map are eye candy. Classic MA mauling incoming on those maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 And commence 0z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Question By all radar representation at 8pm this clipper was to be out of here by 9. Does its slowness to depart in any way indicate that the big snow system will also be slow moving? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 The meteocentre maps has the transfer ongoing as of 48H (Friday 7pm)...it looks like the transfer would be complete by the next panel, popping off the SC coast, due south of ILM. Through 7pm, about 0.25" has fallen with a slug of precip inbound. The 6Z RGEM goes until 60 hours so in the morning we will know everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Question By all radar representation at 8pm this clipper was to be out of here by 9. Does its slowness to depart in any way indicate that the big snow system will also be slow moving? Different so I would not compare. It does show models do not get everything right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 The 6Z RGEM goes until 60 hours so in the morning we will know everything. 54 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 HaHa! 0Z NAM Cobb for MRB. Last 5 hours of precip: 160124/0100Z 73 35017KT 24.3F SNOW 11:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.078 11:1| 31.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 2.89 100| 0| 0160124/0200Z 74 35017KT 24.3F SNOW 10:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.053 11:1| 32.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 2.95 100| 0| 0160124/0300Z 75 35016KT 24.3F SNOW 9:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.033 11:1| 32.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 2.98 100| 0| 0160124/0400Z 76 34016KT 24.2F SNOW 11:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022 11:1| 32.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 3.00 100| 0| 0160124/0500Z 77 34016KT 23.6F SNOW 14:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.043 11:1| 33.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 3.05 100| 0| 0160124/0600Z 78 34016KT 23.1F SNOW 18:1| 0.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.043 11:1| 34.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 3.09 100| 0| 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 54 hrs. I could swear it is 60 but you know better than me, regardless we will be able to see a lot more at 4:30 in the morning. I hope you will be up with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Let's forget the 2' vs 3' arguments for a minute.....this has been a remarkable performance by the models. They latched on to this thing IIRC on Friday afternoon and have held it like a rock since. Yeah some shifts here and there but wow. This is at least the second time you've congratulated the models tonight. That's like congratulating a football team on its win before the game has started! Let's see what actually pans out before congratulating a model. I think you could be singing a different tune when this turns into a Philly special and we get a crusty 6 inches... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 If it could be like tonight's snow with 20" and sustained winds 25+ then it will be the drifting you tell your grandchildren about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GFS is A word. Much more then 18z primary is coming back stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
infekshus Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Question By all radar representation at 8pm this clipper was to be out of here by 9. Does its slowness to depart in any way indicate that the big snow system will also be slow moving? no, this snow moving slower has no relation to why the large storm will be long duration. the storm this weekend is progged mostly to get captured...the upper level low gets cut off from the flow somewhat and then its progged to do something at just the perfect time...the perfect time to turn an 8-12 storm that's 16 hours into a potentially 30+ hour storm of much greater snowfall. the cutoff upper low captures the mid and surface lows and tugs them out of the flow as they try to stack. thus slowing them/the storm down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Holy Hell huge front end thump on GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 The 500 level on this run is just amazing so far. I keep saving them to my storm folder and they just keep getting better every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GFS is A word. Much more then 18z primary is coming back stronger At 45hrs 546 and 540 are closed. Definitely more wrapped up at H5 than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 51 transfer just about complete.... 1000mb SLP over ILM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 54 996mb SLP just SW of HSE 57 994mb SLP over HSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 57 We are all just getting smashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 hour 57 is a crush job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 60 is unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 and before anybody asks, dca and just east is still snow. Skew T is fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.