air360 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Anyone got a decent image of theses insane snow totals in hearing about on the euro para for central va? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercurial Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 This is insane. Spitting image of 18z nam. Is this really possible. A metro DC bullseye with 24-30 inches? GFS/NAM blend sounds good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Anyone got a decent image of theses insane snow totals in hearing about on the euro para for central va? Are we allowed to post the para images? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Are we allowed to post the para images? No Euro including Para. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18z RGEM at 54 has heavy snow knocking on DC's door: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Anyone got a decent image of theses insane snow totals in hearing about on the euro para for central va? I think it is 0z run so a little stale....12z not out yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 0z para has the sharp northern cutoff of the yesterday's 12z Euro run, except the heavy precipitation is a bit farther north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 0z para has the sharp northern cutoff of the yesterday's 12z Euro run, except the heavy precipitation is a bit farther north. It initialized 24 hours ago...Hopefully they release 12z soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18z RGEM at 54 has heavy snow knocking on DC's door: Very deep trough, vigorous! Snow rates would be incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I know you guys have seen the NAM but for the archives. Wasn't there a site where we could get similar simulated radar loops? I had the link back in 2014 but I lost it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Wasn't there a site where we could get similar simulated radar loops? I had the link back in 2014 but I lost it. That NAM gif has greens over central MD at onset. Any significance to that? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 WPC latest QPF: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 That NAM gif has greens over central MD at onset. Any significance to that? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Probably not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Jonas... come on Weather Channel... we needs something stronger than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 GEFS mean is downright silly QPF wise hrs 66 and 72... I took a glance just to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 So, out of curiosity, did I miss something earlier this evening? Several of the weather sites online that were previously forecasting 8-12" for Richmond with the snow lasting through most of Saturday, have now backed off quite a bit, and are only calling for 5-8", most of which according to them, comes on Friday, only followed by snow showers or flurries on Saturday? Was there a bad run that freaked the forecasters out or something? I mean, they usually play it safe, so I'd see it as more likely to forecast less snow here than more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The 18z NAVGEM moved NW from its 12z run, I know it's the NAVGEM but sometimes it picks up on slight trends or movements....it pummels DC from what I see. Last night, the 0z NAVGEM barely touched us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 GEFS mean is downright silly QPF wise hrs 66 and 72... I took a glance just to see How silly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 How silly? 0.5+" QPF for DCA for both 66 and 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18z GEFS Mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Many upon Many GEFS look to be wetter then the OP http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRS_18z/ensloopmref.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 28.0". Hey Don thanks. Look at what we got on the way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The Potomac is largely frozen over down to the 14th St. bridge now. After another cold night tonight, Open water surrounding the airport may no longer be an issue.pIt really never is because a city by a much larger and deeper body of water, Annapolis, infrequently has these issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 You have to tip your hat to all of the models for this event. They locked on days ago and with really only a couple of blips they never wavered. It is pretty amazing to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18Z GFS Cobb data: DCA: 160122/2100Z 51 07009KT 29.7F SNOW 9:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.016 9:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02 100| 0| 0160123/0000Z 54 06015KT 27.2F SNOW 14:1| 2.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.187 13:1| 2.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.20 100| 0| 0160123/0300Z 57 04019KT 27.0F SNOW 15:1| 5.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.341 14:1| 7.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.54 100| 0| 0160123/0600Z 60 04023KT 27.8F SNOW 14:1| 6.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.487 14:1| 14.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.03 100| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---160123/0900Z 63 04023KT 29.4F SNOW 7:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.139 13:1| 15.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.17 100| 0| 0160123/1200Z 66 02020KT 28.1F SNOW 5:1| 2.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.461 11:1| 18.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.63 100| 0| 0160123/1500Z 69 01023KT 27.2F SNOW 6:1| 2.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.318 10:1| 20.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.95 100| 0| 0160123/1800Z 72 01024KT 28.8F SNOW 12:1| 1.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.155 10:1| 21.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 2.10 100| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---160123/2100Z 75 36023KT 29.0F SNOW 10:1| 0.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.072 10:1| 22.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 2.18 100| 0| 0160124/0000Z 78 35021KT 28.5F SNOW 13:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.070 10:1| 23.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 2.25 100| 0| 0160124/0300Z 81 34021KT 26.9F SNOW 22:1| 3.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.154 11:1| 26.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 2.40 100| 0| 0160124/0600Z 84 34020KT 25.4F SNOW 10:1| 1.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.176 11:1| 28.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 2.58 100| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---160124/0900Z 87 35016KT 25.2F SNOW 6:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.050 11:1| 28.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 2.63 100| 0| 0 IAD: 160122/2100Z 51 08005KT 27.4F SNOW 8:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.033 8:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.03 100| 0| 0160123/0000Z 54 06008KT 25.4F SNOW 13:1| 2.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.213 13:1| 3.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.25 100| 0| 0160123/0300Z 57 05010KT 25.1F SNOW 13:1| 3.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.288 13:1| 6.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.53 100| 0| 0160123/0600Z 60 04013KT 25.1F SNOW 12:1| 3.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.299 12:1| 10.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.83 100| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---160123/0900Z 63 02012KT 25.6F SNOW 11:1| 2.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.263 12:1| 13.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.10 100| 0| 0160123/1200Z 66 01011KT 25.4F SNOW 11:1| 4.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.350 12:1| 17.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.45 100| 0| 0160123/1500Z 69 36013KT 26.1F SNOW 12:1| 3.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.295 12:1| 20.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.74 100| 0| 0160123/1800Z 72 36014KT 27.4F SNOW 10:1| 2.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.223 12:1| 22.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.97 100| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---160123/2100Z 75 35014KT 27.4F SNOW 10:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.083 12:1| 23.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 2.05 100| 0| 0160124/0000Z 78 34013KT 27.2F SNOW 15:1| 1.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.091 12:1| 25.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 2.14 100| 0| 0160124/0300Z 81 34012KT 26.3F SNOW 17:1| 3.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.181 12:1| 27.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 2.32 100| 0| 0160124/0600Z 84 34012KT 24.7F SNOW 7:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.121 12:1| 28.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 2.44 100| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---160124/0900Z 87 33010KT 22.7F SNOW 10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.012 12:1| 28.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 2.45 100| 0| 0 MRB: 160123/0000Z 54 06006KT 24.9F SNOW 14:1| 1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.089 14:1| 1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.09 100| 0| 0160123/0300Z 57 05007KT 24.9F SNOW 12:1| 2.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.163 13:1| 3.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.25 100| 0| 0160123/0600Z 60 05009KT 24.3F SNOW 10:1| 1.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.146 12:1| 4.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.40 100| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---160123/0900Z 63 03009KT 24.7F SNOW 12:1| 1.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.132 12:1| 6.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.53 100| 0| 0160123/1200Z 66 01009KT 25.2F SNOW 20:1| 5.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.268 14:1| 11.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.80 100| 0| 0160123/1500Z 69 36011KT 25.4F SNOW 20:1| 7.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.393 16:1| 19.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.19 100| 0| 0160123/1800Z 72 35011KT 25.6F SNOW 18:1| 4.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.239 17:1| 23.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.43 100| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---160123/2100Z 75 34010KT 26.3F SNOW 21:1| 3.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.185 17:1| 27.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.61 100| 0| 0160124/0000Z 78 34010KT 26.5F SNOW 19:1| 3.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.161 17:1| 30.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.78 100| 0| 0160124/0300Z 81 32007KT 25.8F SNOW 18:1| 2.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.109 17:1| 32.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.88 100| 0| 0 BWI: 160123/0000Z 54 06016KT 28.5F SNOW 13:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.064 13:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.06 100| 0| 0160123/0300Z 57 05022KT 27.6F SNOW 14:1| 3.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.252 14:1| 4.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.32 100| 0| 0160123/0600Z 60 04025KT 28.3F SNOW 13:1| 5.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.425 13:1| 10.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.74 100| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---160123/0900Z 63 05037KT 29.7F SNPL 3:1| 0.5|| 0.08|| 0.00|| 0.160 12:1| 10.5|| 0.08|| 0.00|| 0.90 76| 24| 0160123/1200Z 66 04028KT 29.0F SNOW 7:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.134 11:1| 11.4|| 0.08|| 0.00|| 1.04 100| 0| 0160123/1500Z 69 03030KT 29.0F SNOW 6:1| 1.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.302 10:1| 13.3|| 0.08|| 0.00|| 1.34 100| 0| 0160123/1800Z 72 02024KT 30.1F SNOW 8:1| 1.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.207 10:1| 14.9|| 0.08|| 0.00|| 1.54 100| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---160123/2100Z 75 36027KT 30.3F SNOW 9:1| 1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.123 10:1| 16.1|| 0.08|| 0.00|| 1.67 100| 0| 0160124/0000Z 78 35026KT 29.7F SNOW 14:1| 2.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.151 10:1| 18.2|| 0.08|| 0.00|| 1.82 100| 0| 0160124/0300Z 81 35029KT 27.8F SNOW 21:1| 4.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.216 11:1| 22.6|| 0.08|| 0.00|| 2.03 100| 0| 0160124/0600Z 84 35028KT 26.9F SNOW 16:1| 4.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.290 12:1| 27.2|| 0.08|| 0.00|| 2.32 100| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---160124/0900Z 87 35025KT 27.0F SNOW 6:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.074 12:1| 27.7|| 0.08|| 0.00|| 2.40 100| 0| 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I found this odd. Maybe a glitch? Higher percentage of seeing 18" along the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I found this odd. Maybe a glitch? Higher percentage of seeing 18" along the bay. Yeah Dundalk is at 75% for 18 or more. Found that weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 FWIW, the transition zone in VA/NC/SC is going to be a disaster -- up to and over 1" of ZR from CLT to RDU up towards Petersburg and south of RIC on top of heavy wet snow. Snow may be THE headline but watch central NC / SE VA become a skating rink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 It's 2+ for all of extended DC-Balt Metro Textbook storm, cold air, vorticity, moisture and historically well predicted, with about eight days lead time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I found this odd. Maybe a glitch? Higher percentage of seeing 18" along the bay.Nope. They know where we live. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.