84 Hour NAM Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 These things almost always arrive with precip earlier than progged. I still think 10am-2pm is a good guess on first flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Well its official 12z euro was a DUD Euro is still moving around. Looks like the GEM-GFS-NAM combo have this thing well handled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 OMG! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Nails Baltimore at 90 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 How does the South Carolina UKmet compare? I'm gonna let this one slide by since dude came in here to troll us. Ok, no more freebies with banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=h96&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h96&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Epic deform continues at 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The time discrepancy is the only thing throwing me off. I mean, as long as that's the only difference between the rest of the models and the Euro, I'll accept it. Wonder why the Euro is so slow. More southern track initially. Lagging energy behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The time discrepancy is the only thing throwing me off. I mean, as long as that's the only difference between the rest of the models and the Euro, I'll accept it. Wonder why the Euro is so slow. its that holding back thing in the desert that i like to apply to everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 It looked like it tried to trend towards the GFS but is having issues down S.....I honestly would toss the EURO to an extent right now, I feel like it is having a really tough time with this storm for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The time discrepancy is the only thing throwing me off. I mean, as long as that's the only difference between the rest of the models and the Euro, I'll accept it. Wonder why the Euro is so slow. Part of it I think is that its been moving away from the idea of a Miller B transfer and back towards a Miller A, which it had beyond 5 days or so before joining the GFS with the Miller Bish transfer. So it doesn't have the thump that comes in like a train like the GFS. I think that's the main timing difference but I could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 Ok, I know we're excited, but can anyone calm down a little and give us some temp info when you get a chance. I know beggars can't be choosers so we can wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Well its official 12z euro was a DUD Euro is still moving around. Looks like the GEM-GFS-NAM combo have this thing well handled We will probably see little shifts here and there over the next 24-48 hrs but this event is a lock now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 that backside pummeling tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm pretty sure Winchester just went up like 30" from the 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 More southern track initially. Lagging energy behind. It's actually morphing into a more classic track with the southerly start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Ok, I know we're excited, but can anyone calm down a little and give us some temp info when you get a chance. I know beggars can't be choosers so we can wait My friggin EuroWx is like 24 hours behind everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=700&va=rhum&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h96&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=rhum&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h96&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 oh my god this run is straight porn. jesus Hoco Moco death band We have QPF yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 8" in DC by 7 a.m. Saturday 15" by 1 p.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 It's actually morphing into a more classic track with the southerly start. It is classic for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 We have QPF yet? I dont but DC has 20" before the deform completely destroys all of central MD and portions of NOVA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Wow hr 102 deform band Is destroying everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm pretty sure Winchester just went up like 30" from the 12z run Euro 850 temps get as high as -1 at JYO at 18z...thats a bit close for comfort Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I dont but DC has 20" before the deform completely destroys all of central MD and portions of NOVA AA county as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'm pretty sure Winchester just went up like 30" from the 12z run The runs tonight are pd2 level stuff out here. Im in shock really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Through 6z Sunday 2.5" DC to Balt. 3.0" Winchester. 2.0" just south of the M/D line. 2.4" EZF. Not done yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 24" by 7 p.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Has similar whacked out 6 hr precip totals on backside. 1" in 6 hrs. heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Its a pummeling for the whole area. Thng of beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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