Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 00z Wednesday was/is my call when we should start looking at this as a serious threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 00z Wednesday was/is my call when we should start looking at this as a serious threat. Yeah, Most of the s/w should be onshore tonight, Still think your area and of course further south are in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Yeah, Most of the s/w should be onshore tonight, Still think your area and of course further south are in the game Yup, I have had zero expectations up to this point on outcome although my confidence level was steadily rising into 12z today. I would not completely discount the 12z Euro since we are getting into day ~4 range but it is now a southern outlier compared to the other globals now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Keep on diggin baby. I might be in the game if this continues.... What a turd run. Here yesterday, gone today, back tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 00z Wednesday was/is my call when we should start looking at this as a serious threat. No one ever listens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Could you all please stop crashing the board. thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Could you all please stop crashing the board. thanks Stop hitting refresh ever 5 seconds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 Shattered our record number of users online at one time during the Euro run...over 3400...old record was a bit over 3,000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Stop hitting refresh ever 5 seconds. for a second I thought the backup site would have the model thread you deleted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Disturbing run, but not unexpected once I heard what the UKMET did. Still plenty of time for things to change though. This is why I wasn't going to invest myself until 12z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 Disturbing run, but not unexpected once I heard what the UKMET did. Still plenty of time for things to change though. This is why I wasn't going to invest myself until 12z tomorrow. Even the Ukie looks great compared to the Euro...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Whiff is definitely possible. It would be disappnting but would also make me laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Even the Ukie looks great compared to the Euro...lol. Yea, I was more expecting it to look like the UKIE..the EURO took it to another level. Right now it's in the SE envelope of solutions, and hopefully not onto something. If this were 72 hours out, I'd be very worried..but lets wait couple more cycles to see if it was an over-correction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Yup, I have had zero expectations up to this point on outcome although my confidence level was steadily rising into 12z today. I would not completely discount the 12z Euro since we are getting into day ~4 range but it is now a southern outlier compared to the other globals now. As Will and Scott have mentioned though, Its not only the s/w over the pacific, But its also the one from hudson bay moving south as well, Every run so far has this feature in different spots so its going to affect the outcome as well, That's why this is still going to take some time to resolve, I would say at least another day or so and even then, There will probably be some late game changers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 Whiff is definitely possible. It would be disappnting but would also make me laugh. It's why I was cringing a bit at the expectations being portrayed at 5+ days out. This isn't saying everyone was doing it...but the thread certainly had a feel of much more certainty to it than actually existed. But we should remember that same virtue right now as well after a dud Euro run...it's still 4+ days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Time frame can not be over emphasized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Time frame can not be over emphasized Correct. I'd say up until 12z Thursday we should expect meaningful changes..whether they are positive or not remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 As Will and Scott have mentioned though, Its not only the s/w over the pacific, But its also the one from hudson bay moving south as well, Every run so far has this feature in different spots so its going to affect the outcome as well, That's why this is still going to take some time to resolve, I would say at least another day or so and even then, There will probably be some late game changers And why people should not latch onto fantasies more than 4 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 And why people should not latch onto fantasies more than 4 days out. A lot understand this but some just see blue, yellow and red colors on a QPF map............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Correct. I'd say up until 12z Thursday we should expect meaningful changes..whether they are positive or not remains to be seen. Not that i expect much of anything up here, But south of here definitely should not toss a towel in until at least then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Whiff is definitely possible. It would be disappnting but would also make me laugh. Next.... Shall we move onto the warmup coming week after next? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Now on the tee, your 3pm tee time features the NAM!.....seriously, we know it sucks at 72, 84 hrs etc, but its 48 hour depiction might give us a hint as to how the system behaves as it crosses the Rockies and organizes on the Plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 This has been the most exciting roller coaster ride tracking a big system. I love the thrill. Fill the syringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 This has been the most exciting roller coaster ride tracking a big system. I love the thrill. Fill the syringe. I sometimes wonder if the tracking isn't better than the storm itself! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Does anyone else see the irony? Some of the most excitable posters almost always caution patience when the big ones start to go bad. The piddly storms get hyped but the big dawgs must be afforded patience and respect prior to being declared a "miss". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Game over man,game over! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Meh, still rather deal with the whiff here than, say, southern PA, where it went from 40" to 5" in one run. That would really irritate. Long way to go yet. I just want to pick up like 5" more so that the futility record lives another year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I sometimes wonder if the tracking isn't better than the storm itself! I'm often so sleep deprived by the time a big storm shows up, I can barely enjoy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I sometimes wonder if the tracking isn't better than the storm itself!no, No lasting memories looking out the window. I will never forget being outside in 11 with a 6 per band, 13 with winds stronger than I have experienced in winter. 15 in the middle of the night with temp near zero and also a day where I could barely see 10 feet. Tracking is a great hobby but does not compare,at least to me, to the visceral immersion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.