40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 It's going to come close to rival 96. hard to do everything has to break right but man it sure looks good so far. enjoy it man. It won't touch it on the NESIS scale. I had 18" and so didn't Boston. SNE will kill the NESIS rating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 It's going to come close to rival 96. hard to do everything has to break right but man it sure looks good so far. enjoy it man. Here's a little technical banter for you guys. Will this storm hit 4.5 on the NESIS scale? 5.5? 6.5? 7.5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 It won't touch it on the NESIS scale. I had 18" and so didn't Boston. SNE will kill the NESIS rating. Nah, was just saying this will be close to rival 96 for Mahk Websta in Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Here's a little technical banter for you guys. Will this storm hit 4.5 on the NESIS scale? 5.5? 6.5? 7.5? Need weenie bands to get up to Boston for high number i think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Need weenie bands to get up to Boston for high number of think. We need a Hail Mary deform band and some James level end of times OES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 We need a Hail Mary deform band and some James level end of times OES James dove into the gulf stream at 22z to lead the north jog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 James dove into the gulf stream at 22z to lead the north jog. He's got a tow cable attached to the band on LI because dammit they need a Monster Blizzard in Harwich Cape Cod MA USA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Actually managed to sleep...kept having this dream that I looked outside and it was snowing but not accumulating, everything was green. I had to force my eyes open. We are lightening up and near the dry slot but I think hope that will be short-lived. Gong out shortly will take some pics. Looks like 10-12 and alot of drifting. HRRR I think gives me another 12-15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 It's been absolutely brutal...hardcore toaster bath material around here lately. At least I can commiserate with you and all of the other WNE weenies. Now with the meso models tantalizingly close with that northern deform band tomorrow... The past several winters have all been subpar around here with big coastal storms either missing or just brushing us. The last genuinely good winter was '10-'11. It seems the more common small to medium snowfalls that make up the bread and butter of a typical winter's snowfall around here (i.e. SWFEs and Alberta Clippers) have all but vanished in favor of the these occasional goliath coastal storms that have been giving the deep interior a big middle finger. Is it climate change related? Maybe, but something appears to be out of whack. Whether it be related to luck or something more sinister like global warming is hard to say. Yes and no. '02-'03 was a good winter here and that was a Nino. '09-'10 wasn't great, but it was better than this year so far. '97-'98 was only a little below average here, even though the south coast got skunked. The only winter that I think was similar or worse as far as snowfall is concerned up through this point is '06-'07. That one did have a bit of a late turnaround with the Valentine's and St. Patty's day storms and some elevation events in April. In general, I think we tend to do a bit better during Ninas as long as the SE ridge isn't too strong and there's some semblance of blocking downstream. This pretty much sums it up... Nino's like 02-03, 97-98, even 09-10 were acceptable up here. 97-98 was huge. 02-03 was solid. There has been a multi-year trend though to have storms track ENE off the coast, rather than NNE, which is what we need in western New England. You have coastal huggers than are exiting east way too early, too. We also haven't had a true big upslope event here since 2012, which also has to do with that predominate ENE track of coastal storms. We had a 30-incher in 2010-2011, a 36-incher in 2011-2012, and I remember a few years ago J.Spin's data was showing like an average of multiple storms over 18" per year. But that's sort of fallen off a cliff. I think its all related to the average track we've seen the past few years of not being able to amplify into a full negative tilt trough ripping a storm due north up the coast. Both our synoptic snow and big upslope events have to do with getting a strong low pressure over like FVE. For that it has to rain in downeast Maine and that certainly hasn't happened. If they get big snow, it ain't happening in western New England. And also as you said, there's been a dearth of SWFE or even good clippers, too. What ever happened to those clippers where you see precip explode over PA/NY state as it amps up and you get a half inch QPF across most of eastern NY into western New England. Lately they are exploding but not until they are far enough off-shore to crush BOS, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 This pretty much sums it up... Nino's like 02-03, 97-98, even 09-10 were acceptable up here. 97-98 was huge. 02-03 was solid. There has been a multi-year trend though to have storms track ENE off the coast, rather than NNE, which is what we need in western New England. You have coastal huggers than are exiting east way too early, too. We also haven't had a true big upslope event here since 2012, which also has to do with that predominate ENE track of coastal storms. We had a 30-incher in 2010-2011, a 36-incher in 2011-2012, and I remember a few years ago J.Spin's data was showing like an average of multiple storms over 18" per year. But that's sort of fallen off a cliff. I think its all related to the average track we've seen the past few years of not being able to amplify into a full negative tilt trough ripping a storm due north up the coast. Both our synoptic snow and big upslope events have to do with getting a strong low pressure over like FVE. For that it has to rain in downeast Maine and that certainly hasn't happened. If they get big snow, it ain't happening in western New England. And also as you said, there's been a dearth of SWFE or even good clippers, too. What ever happened to those clippers where you see precip explode over PA/NY state as it amps up and you get a half inch QPF across most of eastern NY into western New England. Lately they are exploding but not until they are far enough off-shore to crush BOS, lol. Maybe we can start a support group. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 About 10 not sure how much more. Light snow and a fleet sleet pellets occasionally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 NYC rammed and jammed by the NAM hey good band remember the song old black betty, see ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Wasn't 09-10 bad for you up there as well? The Berkshires usually do better in non-Nino seasons. 09/10 had some snow in Dec but with the exception of Arctic squalls 1/27/10 the stretch between late Dec 09 through Boxing day was the most difficult to bear. Seemed we managed to find every which way to get hosed. Dec 06/Jan 07 was awful but much like this Dec, you almost resign yourself to the pattern and it allows you to take advantage of it... particularly if you have outdoor work that can be done... warm Dec wx is the best time for brush clearing and the like. Productivity is an opiate for the pain of no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 About 10 not sure how much more. Light snow and a fleet sleet pellets occasionally Purdy Where are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Imagine what might have been, were it not for the ScooterStreak TM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
walthsnow Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 After last years epic 4 week stretch it's hard to be disappointed, especially since DC and NYC didn't get slammed. However, it is really hard to not be jealous of what is unfolding down there. I'm super happy for those areas, just wish we could squeeze out a few inches up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 That NWS map may be the funkiest looking thing Ive seen in a while from them. Beige over lapping pink winter storm colors with Blizzard orange colors scattered throughout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I was excited to use my lightning ap to track thunder snow...but so far this storm has failed to produce...there have been some strikes, but not like what was forecasted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 NYC rammed and jammed by the NAM hey good band remember the song old black betty, see yalol my man Mulen, hows the black fishing this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Imagine what might have been, were it not for the ScooterStreak TM. Wouldn't have made a difference up here I bet lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 As much as I love a good storm, and having one on the weekend would be ideal, I'm not too bummed about the miss here. Last winter is still fresh in my mind and somewhat glad to be getting a breather from the almost constant snow removal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Connecticut Appleman Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I'm really beginning to hate this storm. It has been a constant roller coaster only to get to this point and ultimately the dry air looks like it is winning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Connecticut Appleman Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Looking like it might be a good time to be a toaster salesman in northern CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I was excited to use my lightning ap to track thunder snow...but so far this storm has failed to produce...there have been some strikes, but not like what was forecasted Does it do flashes or just CGs? Because CGs are even more rare during snow events. That could be the issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I'm really beginning to hate this storm. It has been a constant roller coaster only to get to this point and ultimately the dry air looks like it is winning.t I'm in Brattleboro and the sun is breaking out. Not a great sign for the mass pike crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Does it do flashes or just CGs? Because CGs are even more rare during snow events. That could be the issue. It does both, at least I think it does both, I have two...I tried one and all I was picking up was stuff near Florida, I switched to another and it picked up strikes off the Carolinas last night, and picked up stuff in PA between 8-10am this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Mostly cloudy skies here a little west of VT and NWMass. Never even remotely in the game here, but still par for the course the past several years. Folks may want to start moving up here to escape the brutal SNE climate Born and raised in CT, and family reporting mostly light snow down there so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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