Superstorm Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Philly just went to Blizzard Watches Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Out to h48, very very slight improvements on the 12z GFS. But looking like they might be short-lived, as the storm is already a bit further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Overall, the 12z GFS is just a tiny, tiny bit better than the 06z GFS was. But nowhere near enough for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neff Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 Blizzard watch up for philly/jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Am I seeing it right, the GFS seems to have around 12" in southern Dauphin county and maybe 2-4" in northern Dauphin County? That's f'n crazy. Impossible to forecast. Harrisburg might see barely anything yet could just as easily see a foot. Don't see that every winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 4:11 PM, canderson said: Am I seeing it right, the GFS seems to have around 12" in southern Dauphin county and maybe 2-4" in northern Dauphin County? That's f'n crazy. Impossible to forecast. Harrisburg might see barely anything yet could just as easily see a foot. Don't see that every winter. 2009,2010 had crazy tight gradients as well. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 4:14 PM, Superstorm said: 2009,2010 had crazy tight gradients as well. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk 2010 absolutely. And in a way, this reminds of February 9/10, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 3:43 PM, Mallow said: In this case, it was because he was looking at the output from yesterday's model at the wrong time. yea, in fairness I was mostly saying what I did because I was over in the NYC thread and it was a hot mess. Its north, its south, its more amped but less. You had no idea what was going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 3:44 PM, Superstorm said: Philly just went to Blizzard Watches Oy vey. Wrapped by blizzard watches for DC, New York, and now Philly while I walk the gradient tightrope. Un-freaking-real. How can this crap keep happening over and over again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neff Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 4:22 PM, Voyager said: Oy vey. Wrapped by blizzard watches for DC, New York, and now Philly while I walk the gradient tightrope. Un-freaking-real. How can this crap keep happening over and over again? Please take this kind of stuff to the complaints thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I'm better hanging out with the MA crowd this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 4:31 PM, neff said: Please take this kind of stuff to the complaints thread. There's been a boatload of banter in this thread and you're going to call ME out? So what if what I posted was a bit of a complaint? It's been hell sitting on the wrong side of the gradient for every single HECS since 2009. Give me a break... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 4:36 PM, Voyager said: There's been a boatload of banter in this thread and you're going to call ME out? So what if what I posted was a bit of a complaint? It's been hell sitting on the wrong side of the gradient for every single HECS since 2009. Give me a break... Lol I've avoided looking at it completely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neff Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 4:36 PM, Voyager said: There's been a boatload of banter in this thread and you're going to call ME out? So what if what I posted was a bit of a complaint? It's been hell sitting on the wrong side of the gradient for every single HECS since 2009. Give me a break... And you've whined nonstop since 2009. The whining is a big reason I left for several years (and I know it's been a factor for others leaving, as well). It's the whole reason the complaint thread was started years ago. So whiners would have a place to vent and the rest of us (me, Jamie, mods, etc) wouldn't have to deal with it. If you want to banter, banter away. But the pity party is both irrational and tiresome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 4:31 PM, neff said: Please take this kind of stuff to the complaints thread. Chill out. There has been a lot of bitterness on here from some. I like this thread because it has a good balance between analysis and banter, and also since the volume of posters isn't huge we can get away with it unlike the MA forum that gets overrun with it. You also aren't a mod last I checked... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Goddamnit, my popcorn is burned... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 4:42 PM, Atomixwx said: Goddamnit, my popcorn is burned... That takes some skill. Lol Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neff Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 4:45 PM, psunate1977 said: That takes some skill. Lol Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk ironically, pressing the "popcorn" button on the microwave usually does it, in my experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 4:34 PM, Cashtown_Coop said: I'm better hanging out with the MA crowd this storm.It does suck to be fringed and miss out in an epic blizzard. I understand people's frustration Our locations are right on the state line so in large coastal storms we have the MA qpf and get hit just as hard if not harder more often than not but with the benefit of PA temperatures. In marginal events people like PSU in Manchester, you, and myself get accumulating snow while 10 miles south of us it's rain. In a marginal event our climo is more PA but for huge dynamic coastal storms we are pure MA climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Again, I am not sure why the panic with the 12z GFS for MDT on south. Canderson GFS is an improvement from 6z this morning and 0z last night for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 4:50 PM, I-83 BLIZZARD said: It does suck to be fringed and miss out in an epic blizzard. I understand people's frustration Our locations are right on the state line so in large coastal storms we have the MA qpf and get hit just as hard if not harder more often than not but with the benefit of PA temperatures. In marginal events people like PSU in Manchester, you, and myself get accumulating snow while 10 miles south of us it's rain. In a marginal event our climo is more PA but for huge dynamic coastal storms we are pure MA climo. Yep, same out here. We get tons of 2-4 inch events from clippers and sometimes LE, but for miller a's they are usually too far south and east, and miller b's, the low most always runs straight over us and we change to slop even after models show it staying south till the last minute. Getting 6+ inch storms here is difficult, and not sure if this storm is considers an a or be since the transfer is so far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Please calm down everyone. Let's not yell at anyone here - this forum is ground zero for weenie heartbreaks with the cutoffs. No one should be spoken down to for frustration IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowalot Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Winds according to CTP are supposed to be 25 to 35 on Sat. Any thoughts of us in southern PA going to a blizzard watch? I know criteria is 30 mph winds and visibility .25 mile or less I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Being in Lancaster, it's tough. When I hear "classic snowstorm for central PA)", I know it's going to change to sleet or rain for us. When I hear i95 snowstorm, we generally do better...especially with the deformation band. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 5:01 PM, canderson said: Please calm down everyone. Let's not yell at anyone here - this forum is ground zero for weenie heartbreaks with the cutoffs. No one should be spoken down to for frustration IMO. Agreed. We all have our share of getting screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neff Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 5:01 PM, canderson said: Please calm down everyone. Let's not yell at anyone here - this forum is ground zero for weenie heartbreaks with the cutoffs. No one should be spoken down to for frustration IMO. I didn't think a request to move complaints to the thread created specifically for complaints was unreasonable. It seems like I may have been wrong. And if that's how it is, I'll be exiting this forum once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 On 1/21/2016 at 5:02 PM, snowalot said: Winds according to CTP are supposed to be 25 to 35 on Sat. Any thoughts of us in southern PA going to a blizzard watch? I know criteria is 30 mph winds and visibility .25 mile or less I believe. I texted a few CTP Mets and they said they were looking into it and it was a posibilty. This would be for Adams , York and Lancaster counties. Prob not watches but upgrade to blizzard warnings if needed. We won't sustain at 35moh but frequent gusts into the 30's is very possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 UK looks good for turnpike south Laurels east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neff Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 No updates to CTP's probabilistic snow map since 5 am. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I have a question, and I'm not sure how we could go about this. I don't know where some of you guys are in relation to the state. I know State College, for instance, but not specifically where you are Voyager or 2001 (I know Tamaqua and Clearfield, but not WHERE they are really), when looking at a map. Would it be possible for someone to create a map and pinpoint posters' locations? Is that even doable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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