Animal Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 That band has reached me. Snowing about 1" per hr. So far there is 1" accumulation at Canistear reservoir, just south of Highland Lakes. thank you. I don't think some idiots know how we snow in our area. ** was not SNywx my anger was directed, but rather that strap hanger who chimed in Matt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 SPECIAL BALLOON SOUNDINGS CONTINUE AND HAVE BEEN QUITE BENEFICIALWITH THIS FORECAST THUS FAR. OUR 00Z AND 06Z SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TOSUPPORT A VERY DRY LOWER LEVELS OF THE TROPOSPHERE /FROM SFC-550MB/ WITH EVER SLIGHT INCREASES IN THE PWATS /0.12 TO 0.15/.FURTHERMORE...NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS CONTINUE WHICH TOO IS HAVINGAN IMPACT WITH DEWPOINTS REMAINING BETWEEN 5-10F WITH DEWPOINTDEPRESSIONS OF 10-15F. LATEST RADAR SCANS SHOW THE LEADING EDGE OFTHE SNOW CONTINUING TO EVAPORATE ACROSS THE MID HUDSON VALLEY WITHA DECREASE IN REFLECTIVITY`S OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. A REGIONALRADAR MOSAIC/MRMS DATA REVEAL A VERY INTENSE BAND OF SNOW SLOWLYMIGRATING NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL NJ AND ALONG THE SOUTH-SHORE OFLONG ISLAND. PER THE LATEST HRRR/RAP13 REFLECTIVITY ANDDEFORMATION AXIS FORECASTS...THIS BAND OF SNOW WILL LIKELY STALLACROSS NORTH NJ AND NEAR THE SOUTHERN SHORELINE OF CT LATER THISMORNING. QUESTION IS JUST HOW MUCH OF AN IMPACT WILL THE SNOW HAVEMIGRATING INTO THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHWEST CT? PER ANENSEMBLE APPROACH OF THE QPF FIELDS FROM THE NCEP MODEL SUITEALONG WITH WPC WWD...ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD OCCUR WITH THE BESTPOTENTIAL ACROSS LITCHFIELD COUNTY AND NEAR THE I84 CORRIDOR INTODUTCHESS COUNTY. AS SUB 990MB SURFACE LOW TRACKS ENE...THEDEFORMATION AXIS MAY IMPACT THE ADVISORY AREA. BUT IF THE LOWLEVEL AGEOSTROPHIC FLOW INCREASES...THESE AMOUNTS MAY BE TOO HIGH.WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS VERY CLOSELY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Moderate snow here. About 2 to 2.5". Bands losing some intensity as they reach / pass I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 SPECIAL BALLOON SOUNDINGS CONTINUE AND HAVE BEEN QUITE BENEFICIAL WITH THIS FORECAST THUS FAR. OUR 00Z AND 06Z SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A VERY DRY LOWER LEVELS OF THE TROPOSPHERE /FROM SFC- 550MB/ WITH EVER SLIGHT INCREASES IN THE PWATS /0.12 TO 0.15/. FURTHERMORE...NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS CONTINUE WHICH TOO IS HAVING AN IMPACT WITH DEWPOINTS REMAINING BETWEEN 5-10F WITH DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS OF 10-15F. LATEST RADAR SCANS SHOW THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SNOW CONTINUING TO EVAPORATE ACROSS THE MID HUDSON VALLEY WITH A DECREASE IN REFLECTIVITY`S OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. A REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC/MRMS DATA REVEAL A VERY INTENSE BAND OF SNOW SLOWLY MIGRATING NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL NJ AND ALONG THE SOUTH-SHORE OF LONG ISLAND. PER THE LATEST HRRR/RAP13 REFLECTIVITY AND DEFORMATION AXIS FORECASTS...THIS BAND OF SNOW WILL LIKELY STALL ACROSS NORTH NJ AND NEAR THE SOUTHERN SHORELINE OF CT LATER THIS MORNING. QUESTION IS JUST HOW MUCH OF AN IMPACT WILL THE SNOW HAVE MIGRATING INTO THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHWEST CT? PER AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH OF THE QPF FIELDS FROM THE NCEP MODEL SUITE ALONG WITH WPC WWD...ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD OCCUR WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL ACROSS LITCHFIELD COUNTY AND NEAR THE I84 CORRIDOR INTO DUTCHESS COUNTY. AS SUB 990MB SURFACE LOW TRACKS ENE...THE DEFORMATION AXIS MAY IMPACT THE ADVISORY AREA. BUT IF THE LOW LEVEL AGEOSTROPHIC FLOW INCREASES...THESE AMOUNTS MAY BE TOO HIGH. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS VERY CLOSELY. HI, . Just read deformation band stalls in NNJ. I get it..LHV looks to a strange location. Tough forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Moderate snow here. About 2 to 2.5". Bands losing some intensity as they reach / pass I-80. Send it my way. My yard will get the final 1/4 to 1/2 inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 thank you. I don't think some idiots know how we snow in our area. ** was not SNywx my anger was directed, but rather that strap hanger who chimed in Matt Canistear rd corridor along with 515 is the snow capital of NJ. Thats right. Better than High Point.Perfect local with high elevation, we almost always cash in. Matter of fact, most snow on the ground in NJ Ever recorded was at Canistear Reservoir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 thank you. I don't think some idiots know how we snow in our area. ** was not SNywx my anger was directed, but rather that strap hanger who chimed in Matt Matt to be fair saying u have 2 and an area just to your south has 1 is probably what he means . N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 dry slot moving into Philly. Our band will form soon, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Canistear rd corridor along with 515 is the snow capital of NJ. Thats right. Better than High Point. Perfect local with high elevation, we almost always cash in. Matter of fact, most snow on the ground in NJ Ever recorded was at Canistear Reservoir. my yard still was covered in snow today. got 1.4 inches of snow the past week. 150 feet below..no snow. appreciate the support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 dry slot moving into Philly. Our band will form soon, I wish there wasn't any dry slot lol. Never know where it goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 my yard still was covered in snow today. got 1.4 inches of snow the past week. 150 feet below..no snow. appreciate the support. shaded areas here still had snow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Canistear rd corridor along with 515 is the snow capital of NJ. Thats right. Better than High Point. Perfect local with high elevation, we almost always cash in. Matter of fact, most snow on the ground in NJ Ever recorded was at Canistear Reservoir. I am up on grandview drive in HL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I wish there wasn't any dry slot lol. Never know where it goes Hopefully it form the NNJ and southern NY snow band this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 HI, . Just read deformation band stalls in NNJ. I get it..LHV looks to a strange location. Tough forecast. It's ok. I'm sure my snow that's falling 5,000 feet up is every bit as breathtaking as yours on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I am up on grandview drive in HL. where's that, north of Breakneck? By Lonaconing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Heavy snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Finally ripping here. Was very poor snow growth before...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Finally ripping here. Was very poor snow growth before...... Nice. Zippo here thus far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 It's been snowing and blowing (hard) for a few hours but still just a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rogue Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 my yard still was covered in snow today. got 1.4 inches of snow the past week. 150 feet below..no snow. appreciate the support. You've been exagerrating snowfall numbers forever. I'm right next to you. People are on to you. Grow up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I wouldn't be overly concerned with the dry slot up here. The storm is slowly getting into position to pivot. Any open areas will back fill and get smoked. Btw 6" in Chester, NJ. Game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Nice. Zippo here thus far Not coming down as robust as radar would lead you to believe though. Still fighting dry air. About a half inch so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Sky just puking snow right now. Guesstimate would be at least 3". This one's gunna be tough to measure. Plow just came through, I'm surprised so early on the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Watch the snow get beaten back by dry air http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=ENX-N0Q-1-96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Sky just puking snow right now. Guesstimate would be at least 3". This one's gunna be tough to measure. Plow just came through, I'm surprised so early on the weekend Plow just came by me too. Dont know why. Ripping good now. Just wish flake size was bigger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Plow just came by me too. Dont know why. Ripping good now. Just wish flake size was biggerFlake size has increased here in last half hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Watch the snow get beaten back by dry air http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=ENX-N0Q-1-96 You live or die on the northern side of these storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I'm up to 1/8"! Woot!! It's actually snowing pretty hard right now but I still have about a quarter mile visibility and the wind is ripping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 It's ripping Leaves. The wind is ripping leaves here. But the Mets still got Cespedes back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 We need that dry slot to get close to LI and the death band should set up somewhere up here. On the other hand, people around it are going to have subsidence issues so maybe it's a gamble to want that. Interesting how the dry punch that went into Philly earlier, spread right up the Delaware to Port Jervis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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