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Summer Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - 2016


snywx

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  On 1/20/2016 at 8:58 PM, snywx said:

Lol @ the NAM.. We are all partly cloudy while 30 miles south is buried under 18+"

How's that tight of a heavy QPF gradient even possible? Have we ever seen an instance where on a 30 mile drive, you go from 18+ to 15, to 12, to 8 down to 4 then 0?

Just curious... I don't see how this heavy bands and CCB, just absolutely die out that close together

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  On 1/20/2016 at 9:04 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said:

How's that tight of a heavy QPF gradient even possible? Have we ever seen an instance where on a 30 mile drive, you go from 18+ to 15, to 12, to 8 down to 4 then 0?

Just curious... I don't see how this heavy bands and CCB, just absolutely die out that close together

Suppression and cold dry air. I think that happened last year too.

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  On 1/20/2016 at 9:04 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said:

How's that tight of a heavy QPF gradient even possible? Have we ever seen an instance where on a 30 mile drive, you go from 18+ to 15, to 12, to 8 down to 4 then 0?

Just curious... I don't see how this heavy bands and CCB, just absolutely die out that close together

It's happened a few times.. This is the early feb 2010 storm all over again just further north

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  On 1/20/2016 at 11:11 PM, Morris said:

Take a look at the para euro and you can all jump off a cliff.

Will it be sunny?

Why should we be looking at data that is more than 12 hours old on an experimental product? Most of us here are realists with this system. We also do not live and die by each model run.

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  On 1/20/2016 at 11:25 PM, IrishRob17 said:

Jump off a cliff...yea, like we're 12 years old.

I was 12 years old once... in the 80's. I also jumped off a cliff once into Lake Erie, but I think I was 13. And obviously it was the summer, so it had nothing to do with snow.

Unrelated, pretty much every GFS ensemble member is a miss this time around.

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