IrishRob17 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 1:15 AM, BxEngine said: Doubtful, youre old. Eyes are the 2nd thing to go.Someone is gonna get knocked out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 1:22 AM, IrishRob17 said: Someone is gonna get knocked out Im rubber youre glue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 1:23 AM, BxEngine said: Im rubber youre glueChrist! I'm done here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigfoot Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 My Guess is this thing swings back our way...Its too early to nose dive just yet...models like swinging mor than a swingset sometimes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 1:29 AM, Bigfoot said: My Guess is this thing swings back our way...Its too early to nose dive just yet...models like swinging mor than a swingset sometimes..Well everything seemed to swing to the north and east last winter but what that means this year I have no idea. Zip it BxEngine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 Umm the GFS lol. I guess the 84 hr NAM wasn't on crack.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/19/2016 at 10:15 PM, snywx said: Well it was fun while it lasted lol.. 18z GFS was the beginning of the end for us. On 1/19/2016 at 11:16 PM, snywx said: Agreed. No one should have bought into those 18"+ totals the earlier runs were printing out. As it stands now I see this as an advisory event for most, Low end warning snows down in NNJ. On 1/19/2016 at 11:19 PM, snywx said: lol.. 6z gave me over 1" of LE... This run gives me half of that. Not even close. I appreciate your enthusiasm but its quite obvious whats happening right now. On 1/20/2016 at 12:29 AM, snywx said: Me?? Never lol.. Sit back, relax and enjoy the 0z suite. If it shows what we had 24 hours ago I would be shocked Still think its obvious what's going on here? GGEM leads the way P.s all in good fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 4:03 AM, snywx said: I guess the 84 hr NAM wasn't on crack..Let's not go too far here, LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I think I might just ignore model runs until Friday night lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 That was nice, though the daily "awesome at 00z, abysmal at 12z" shtick is starting to get old. Hopefully we've seen the worst of the whiff solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 4:04 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Still think its obvious what's going on here? GGEM leads the way P.s all in good fun lol.. I still don't believe it. If the Euro caves tonight I will give kudos to you and the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 4:14 AM, snywx said: lol.. I still don't believe it. If the Euro caves tonight I will give kudos to you and the GGEM You think the euro caves? I personally don't think it will jump that much in 1 run.. If it does cave, it will be tomorrow or Thursday IMO.. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Man that's interesting. Curious to see what the Euro shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 4:14 AM, snywx said: lol.. I still don't believe it. If the Euro caves tonight I will give kudos to you and the GGEM If it plays out like that I'm going to refer to this storm as Ulsters Canadian Storm, or simply the UCS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaGrangewx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 It'd be quite awesome and reassuring if it caved tonight yet the past two nights I get great gfs and cmc runs only to be disappointed by the euro. Sounds like a little different sampling of data can cause a huge difference on euro which could cause a large shift in one run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 4:24 AM, IrishRob17 said: If it plays out like that I'm going to refer to this storm as Ulsters Canadian Storm, or simply the UCS Already sent an email to Albany NWS.. They're concidering it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 4:23 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: You think the euro caves? I personally don't think it will jump that much in 1 run.. If it does cave, it will be tomorrow or Thursday IMO.. Thoughts? GGEM crushes NYC/NJ but man what a cut off up here. Doesn't sit well with me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer67 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 4:38 AM, snywx said: GGEM crushes NYC/NJ but man what a cut off up here. Doesn't sit well with me What's it show for Putnam/Orange? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab94 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 4:42 AM, sn0w said: What's it show for Putnam/Orange? http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2016012000&fh=132&xpos=0&ypos=328 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 4:38 AM, snywx said: GGEM crushes NYC/NJ but man what a cut off up here. Doesn't sit well with meAgreed on that sharp cutoff not far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer67 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 4:46 AM, lab94 said: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2016012000&fh=132&xpos=0&ypos=328 Thanks...will bookmark this page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab94 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 4:49 AM, sn0w said: Thanks...will bookmark this page. Here is another http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=GGEM&p=24hrsnow&rh=2016012000&fh=102&r=ne&dpdt= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 while ggem is decent for me i dont like the cut off so sharp to my nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer67 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 4:50 AM, lab94 said: Here is another http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=GGEM&p=24hrsnow&rh=2016012000&fh=102&r=ne&dpdt= Awesome like this one even better...thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 4:38 AM, snywx said: GGEM crushes NYC/NJ but man what a cut off up here. Doesn't sit well with me I posted the 500H maps comparing GFS and GGEM... I'm almost certain the GGEM had an issue with that double low, the upper levels don't support that kind of sharp cutoff, the confluence is gone in plenty of time on the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The GEFS look marginally better up this way, but nowhere near what the GFS gives us. It definitely seems like the models are picking up on a tight gradient of precipitation. They sometimes correct as the storm draws closer, but I continue not to get my hopes up too high for this one. We'll see what the Euro does in a few. I'm working this weekend, otherwise I might have taken a road trip to DC before the storm hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Looks like we get shafted once again while the coast gets clobbered. Wash, rinse, repeat..... Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Still a bit of time to go. Storms this season have shifted NW as time approaches. Stay away from the Mid-Hudson bridge. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Why stay away from the bridge? Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 On 1/20/2016 at 12:36 PM, White Gorilla said: Why stay away from the bridge? Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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