Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 BECS for DC and northern Virginia folks. Congrats.What about BWI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kat Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 For those of us in the east we mix on this run, but there's always going to be a chance of that. I'll happily take my 2' and watch as others revel in their 4'+. This very well may be a once-in-a-lifetime event. Agreed. I just hope we don't see another 30 mile move west. Sick run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016012000/gfs_asnow_neus_19.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 i wasn't talking any specific location just the overall evolution I figured...just thought I'd ask. I was looking at kind of low res quality and a bit hard to see. But looking at the descriptions from others, even with any mixing it's a bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 We do pretty good I think. Can't tell from those maps the exact amount. But if you notice it's all DC and NOVA folks going nuts lol. We're more than fine - we should be going nuts too. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonathanW Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 That's what the model run is saying Am I seeing this right? 27" in DC and 36-40 in nova?!? I mean...can that really happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Well. I don't even know what to type at this point.moment of silence for the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 What about BWI? 23" at BWI. It's all about where that deform band sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Seriously folks, if there is a single complaint about this run then I don't know what to say. An explosive progression like this typically has much higher mix, dryslot, and whatever concerns. But this particular solution is about as epic as you can ever draw on paper. Insanity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 We're more than fine - we should be going nuts too. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Until Dr No says something else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 If by some stretch of the imagination the other models like this amount of snow, and have it as well... we may see some PDS Blizzard Watches eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 We're more than fine - we should be going nuts too. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Yes, BWI area may not be in that unreal deformation banding, but still upwards of 2 feet total it appears on those snow maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The 500 evolution is just model porn. It captures the SLP at pretty much the perfect time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Umm. Yeah. Thats going in the storm folder. This area would be shut down for a week if that happens. It's actually kinda scary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Absolutely wicked run for NVA! If it verifies ya'll will be digging out for days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 This is like the 15th straight run the GFS has given DCA 22+ inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 the differences @ H5 between the 18z GFS and 0z GFS are pretty staggering, considering we're inside 84 hours. The ULL is going to the EURO timing, but higher height rises along the coast do the trick.Helluva run for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Seriously folks, if there is a single complaint about this run then I don't know what to say. An explosive progression like this typically has much higher mix, dryslot, and whatever concerns. But this particular solution is about as epic as you can ever draw on paper. Insanity I am not happy with my 2 feet. I want this 50 miles NE please . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Still showing single digits Monday AM. Delicious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Not to rain on the parade, but Masco saying there may have been a feedback error and the low may be too far north during transfer to coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Ensembles should be astounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonathanW Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Maybe NWS ran a test instead of a real GFS run? Seriously folks, if there is a single complaint about this run then I don't know what to say. An explosive progression like this typically has much higher mix, dryslot, and whatever concerns. But this particular solution is about as epic as you can ever draw on paper. Insanity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Seriously folks, if there is a single complaint about this run then I don't know what to say. An explosive progression like this typically has much higher mix, dryslot, and whatever concerns. But this particular solution is about as epic as you can ever draw on paper. Insanity Trust me, Ji will find a way! Agree with what you say here. I've said before that given the choice of something like today's 12Z Euro in which we would rely upon banding in the CCB area...or getting hammered but risk some period of sleet in there (then get hit with banding)...I'd take the latter. We still would get crushed even those areas that mix with sleet for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Not to rain on the parade, but Masco saying there may have been a feedback error and the low may be too far north during transfer to coast Who is Masco?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Well. I don't even know what to type at this point. we better never start a thread for a 1-2 inch clipper ever again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The 500 evolution is just model porn. It captures the SLP at pretty much the perfect time. That's like what... a 4 contour bowling ball? O.o Also, we still don;t really know where the deform band is gonna set up obviously, but it seems like a good bet that it will be over our area and stay for quite a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I'd probably move the heaviest snow amounts NW a little. And then expand the QPF periphery north/northwest. We'll have to see what the euro says, but even if this were our only piece of guidance and we were <24 hours out, I would have the max snow lollipop run from OKV to MRB to West of FDK and then down to IAD. In that quadrant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I am not happy with my 2 feet. I want this 50 miles NE please .Snow greed definitely kicks in here, lol I too want a little ENE!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Trash the gfs over the euro all you want. It has barely wavered for 12+ runs in general besides wobbles. If it busts to "the king" then let the trashing continue for years. But you can't deny the consistency. I've never seem the gfs do this Pre upgrade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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