SabreAce33 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 How'd Euro handle the MD/DE coast? Had been rainy in previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 For the past few days the Euro has been bouncing back and forth between the 0Z and 12Z on the northern extent of the heavy snow. Did it again here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Winchester lost like 20" since last night heh. IMBY, the ECMWF went from 40"+ to less than 2" in one run, LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Still solid but a bit worrying heh. Doesn't take much from the free maps to tell where the best totals are, but what do we finish at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 So, since I can't see it, let's see if I have this right. The best model in the world has waffled yet again. It has take a place like State College from 2 feet to nothing to 1 foot to 2 feet and now back to nothing. Meanwhile, the GFS has pretty much had the same solution for about 5 days. And we are supposed to put all of our faith in the "best" model? Exactly how are we supposed to trust this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I think at this point there aren't any more valid excuses...I think Amwx needs to purchase a ton of bandwidth for this event...If the board doesn't work when you really need it to, what is the point? Deleting or modifying records en masse kills DB performance and causes deadlocks.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 LOL. 1" in Hagerstown. 20" at DCA. 15" at BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I mentioned the Euro Para yesterday was a HUGE red flag and i got laughed out of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 For the past few days the Euro has been bouncing back and forth between the 0Z and 12Z on the northern extent of the heavy snow. Did it again here. Exactly. We noticed that yesterday when I was at work. Let's wait until we see the 12Z EPS, mean and individual solutions, before we freak out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 So, since I can't see it, let's see if I have this right. The best model in the world has waffled yet again. It has take a place like State College from 2 feet to nothing to 1 foot to 2 feet and now back to nothing. Meanwhile, the GFS has pretty much had the same solution for about 5 days. And we are supposed to put all of our faith in the "best" model? Exactly how are we supposed to trust this? Yeah..I think this is the furthest south we will see a run go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 If the parallel euro shifts north again with the precip like last night 0Z, then D.C. is in serious business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 What is the EURO seeing that clues it towards a progressive solution? Up until the last EURO run, the 500 mb low was holding the surface low in place near the coast. It's not a progressive solution as much as the euro buries the closed ull down in NC vs central VA with the 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Doesn't take much from the free maps to tell where the best totals are, but what do we finish at? According to EuroWx maps you still get 18". Eta: actually closer to 22" for your location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 2.0" DC, 1.4" Balt, 3.3" EZF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 Exactly. We noticed that yesterday when I was at work. Let's wait until we see the 12Z EPS, mean and individual solutions, before we freak out.ThisSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Make that 16" for BWI. 10" for Winchester. 33" for Fredericksburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I mentioned the Euro Para yesterday was a HUGE red flag and i got laughed out of here. I think it was an outlier...it was worse than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 The cutoff is brutal - to the south Asheville to Greensboro to Richmond gets just destroyed with snow - at the MD/PA border it is a few inches, tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Doesn't take much from the free maps to tell where the best totals are, but what do we finish at? wxbell snowmap: 20 DCA 11 IAD 16 BWI 1 HGR 30+ Fredericksburg and south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxtogo Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Cheeznado, on 19 Jan 2016 - 1:22 PM, said: Wow, >32" near Richmond- This is going to be painful to watch from afar..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Even if this happens I'll still take 15-20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I mentioned the Euro Para yesterday was a HUGE red flag and i got laughed out of here. And (hopefully not banter), I'd rather be on the colder side at this point. Hard to believe with the anomalously warm Atlantic shelf waters and such a dynamic system we won't see a nudge back northward. At least for the cities on east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 in some ways, this is kinda where you want to be at. we now have a "cold" storm. that's a good thing. i got tired of tracking this thing from 6-7 days out. now we're in the meat of the model runs. every model run is important now, so let's see where this thing ends up. realistically, do you really want to be in the jackpot 3 days out? i don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 It's not a progressive solution as much as the euro buries the closed ull down in NC vs central VA with the 0z run. So, curious now. Why does it do that? The upstream flow is still strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 It's not a progressive solution as much as the euro buries the closed ull down in NC vs central VA with the 0z run. trough is deep and keeps the sort south. it doesn't get into TN/KY like the GFS and then go east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 wxbell snowmap: 20 DCA 11 IAD 16 BWI 1 HGR 30+ Fredericksburg and south How about Nokesville....Ji wanted me to ask Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 And (hopefully not banter), I'd rather be on the colder side at this point. Hard to believe with the anomalously warm Atlantic shelf waters and such a dynamic system we won't see a nudge back northward. At least for the cities on east. You know a ton more than me. I am praying you are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 wxbell snowmap: 20 DCA 11 IAD 16 BWI 1 HGR 30+ Fredericksburg and south SBY? Sometimes I feel like we don't exist over here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 So, curious now. Why does it do that? The upstream flow is still strong. I just digs deeper early on and keeps everything south. It's the same solution synoptically just in a different place. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 wxbell snowmap: 20 DCA 11 IAD 16 BWI 1 HGR 30+ Fredericksburg and south one for the ages! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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