Yeoman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Much colder.. digging.. lobes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 Looks like a 7 to 10 am start time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 tiny closed h5 low in S KY at 78 as well 1002mb SLP over ILM at 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Wes (usedtobe) has been creating threads each time his article gets posted. Look for a new thread today with it. I will post it later today but have to go out and get my boat from the boatyard soit probably wont' be til later this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I will post it later today but have to go out and get my boat from the boatyard soit probably wont' be til later this afternoon. always appreciate the articles, Wes. Thanks for sharing your knowledge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Nearly 2"/hr between 21z and 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 998mb SLP at 87 over HSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 h5 is beautiful on this run. 6z was a blip it seems. Going to be mass destruction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Flipping through the levels on IWM, no temp problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 00Z @ 00Z Sat has 0C 850 line right along Rt. 50 12Z @ 00Z Sat has 0C 850 line on a line from Point Lookout to DE state line Much colder... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 h5 is beautiful on this run. 6z was a blip it seems. Going to be mass destruction. Temp profile for me (city) looks good so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 994mb SLP just NE of HSE at 90 990mb SLP east of VA/NC border at 93 988mb SLP ESE of ACY at 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Looks like a 7 to 10 am start time prob closer to 7 for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 16" already fallen by 06z. That front end is a monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 A little less out west compared to prior runs, but still a good shellacking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 h5 is beautiful on this run. 6z was a blip it seems. Going to be mass destruction. there are way too many models out there now where its hard not to get a blip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 Looking at Skew T...up to hour 93...so far so good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 96hr thrugh 99hr looks like really intense rates! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 "Warmest" it gets is 93, which is all snow for dc. The whole storm is snow. I might faint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Oh my. BWI >30" and DCA not far behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Epic deform 102 from DC east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 A little less out west compared to prior runs, but still a good shellacking! The GFS does funny things with precip. The don't really match up well with what's going on in the mid/upper levels. A SLP/h5 progression and track like that will definitely not be that dry on the west side in reality. Unless there's some sort of convective robbing stuff going on offshore. Which is possible of course but this was a great look on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 This is the wes junker get creamed model run. the deformaion band sets up over me, that rarely ever happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 This is the DC jackpot run, DC and east gets deformation banded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_105.gif Still more to come.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 This run is just silly, deform band still in N VA region at 105 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 h5 is beautiful on this run. 6z was a blip it seems. Going to be mass destruction. Best news of the day Bob Chill! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 The GFS does funny things with precip. The don't really match up well with what's going on in the mid/upper levels. A SLP/h5 progression and track like that will definitely not be that dry on the west side in reality. Unless there's some sort of convective robbing stuff going on offshore. Which is possible of course but this was a great look on the gfs. Thank you Bob. This has been my issue with the storm. I feel like the west side is going to be rocking. I really don't think there will be a precipitation minimum when you have a system like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McQuackleton Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 114hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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