WhiteoutMD Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 can someone tell me how long this event id 30, 40 hours just curious thanks talking dc/ Annapolis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 On 1/19/2016 at 5:44 PM, Bob Chill said: About the same in the 1029-30 range. I ran the loops. I'm not worried about what they are showing. 2 of them take the low across the deep south and off the SC coast. Basically no latitude gain. That aint happening. One was just squashed enough but followed the general op ideas. Until we actually see an op move substantially in that direction there is absolutely no fears based on a couple outliers.Thanks Bob! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 On 1/19/2016 at 5:44 PM, WhiteoutMD said: can someone tell me how long this event id 30, 40 hours just curious thanks talking dc/ Annapolis I think the model consensus would be starting in DC around 8-10 AM Friday and ending like early Saturday evening? Which is an insane 36+ hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Fun with maps. GEFS ens minimum plot shows a 976mb low off the coast. It's ens #10 in case you want to know how much it dumps...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 On 1/19/2016 at 6:01 PM, Bob Chill said: Fun with maps. GEFS ens minimum plot shows a 976mb low off the coast. It's ens #10 in case you want to know how much it dumps...lol gefsensmin.JPG I'd prefer e13. Pretty sure it would cripple the area for a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 On 1/19/2016 at 6:01 PM, Bob Chill said: Fun with maps. GEFS ens minimum plot shows a 976mb low off the coast. It's ens #10 in case you want to know how much it dumps...lol gefsensmin.JPG Those are some tightly packed isobars. I don't think I want 50 MPH sustained. I'm too old for those kinda wind chills while I'm shoveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Thinking of flying up to DC for this. Prices are ridiculous. But there are a few options for a late thursday night arrival. When do you think airlines will start cancelling flights across the board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Euro slow again...precip still 100 mi SW of DC at 15z Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Euro looks a good bit south at 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 On 1/19/2016 at 6:07 PM, Terpeast said: Thinking of flying up to DC for this. Prices are ridiculous. But there are a few options for a late thursday night arrival. When do you think airlines will start cancelling flights across the board? Depends on the airline and if they mind getting their planes stuck here. An airline like Southwest who turns their planes around quicker usually cancels flights closer to the storm than most airlines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Precip just getting to DC at 4pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 On 1/19/2016 at 6:09 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: Precip just getting to DC at 4pm Just like Feb of 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 On 1/19/2016 at 5:31 PM, PhineasC said: Models can never get the banding right. The up-front slug is pretty well locked it seems. That hasn't been my experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 On 1/19/2016 at 6:10 PM, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: Just like Feb of 2010 No.. it was snowing before noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 way south...nervous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 On 1/19/2016 at 6:10 PM, RidingTheModelWithMostSnow said: Just like Feb of 2010I was in Baltimore and that started around 11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 L placement didn't seem much different than 0Z. On 1/19/2016 at 6:08 PM, Yeoman said: Euro looks a good bit south at 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Def south/slower... see if it matters a ton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 4am Sat, about .3" has fallen in DC..less north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 On 1/19/2016 at 6:09 PM, ravensrule said: Depends on the airline and if they mind getting their planes stuck here. An airline like Southwest who turns their planes around quicker usually cancels flights closer to the storm than most airlines. How about American Airlines? I see one option going to PHL for a 45 minute layover and then to DCA thursday night ar 11:45 pm. Is that too risky in that I may get stuck at PHL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Congrats NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Still solid but a bit worrying heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Way way south, congrats west of Richmond. A disaster run for pretty much everyone DC and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Well now we have to wait 12 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 There was a cluster that was S and OTS on last night's EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Winchester lost like 20" since last night heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 On 1/19/2016 at 6:13 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: 4am Sat, about .3" has fallen in DC..less north What is the EURO seeing that clues it towards a progressive solution? Up until the last EURO run, the 500 mb low was holding the surface low in place near the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Not what I wanted to see from the euro today. Concerning for sure. Which para run yesterday showed a slider? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Max zone is southern VA, but D.C. still gets 1-2'+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 On 1/19/2016 at 6:24 PM, winterymix said: What is the EURO seeing that clues it towards a progressive solution? Up until the last EURO run, the 500 mb low was holding the surface low in place near the coast. It see the Euro para solution from yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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