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Continued Winter Banter.


Ericjcrash

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And I've averaged 58.8" in the same time frame! lol.. Whats your point

The point is that you are stuck in the 1980s and 1990s and you think LI averages only 25".

Ask northshorewx what his area averages over the last 16 years.

Ask William, bass28, PSV and the other crew. They all average 35"-45".

Here in Queens my 16yr average is 34".

The 1980s and 1990s skewed the averages.

The new averages for NYC and the coast are 30"-40".

Not 25"-30".

That's all.

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The point is that you are stuck in the 1980s and 1990s and you think LI averages only 25".

Ask northshorewx what his area averages over the last 16 years.

Ask William, bass28, PSV and the other crew. They all average 35"-45".

Here in Queens my 16yr average is 34".

The 1980s and 1990s skewed the averages.

The new averages for NYC and the coast are 30"-40".

Not 25"-30".

That's all.

 

Going by your logic my new average is 55-60".. Awesome!

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The point is that you are stuck in the 1980s and 1990s and you think LI averages only 25".

Ask northshorewx what his area averages over the last 16 years.

Ask William, bass28, PSV and the other crew. They all average 35"-45".

Here in Queens my 16yr average is 34".

The 1980s and 1990s skewed the averages.

The new averages for NYC and the coast are 30"-40".

Not 25"-30".

That's all.

 

It actually annoys me when I see TWC and other area Mets post the NYC average as 25.1. The 30 year average 1981-2010 is actually 25.8 and was corrected by NOAA in 2014 when someone pointed out to them that they couldn't add and divide. Yes I take full credit.

 

The running 30 year average for KNYC is now 28.6, the average since 1991 is 30.6, and the average since 2000 is 33.8 inches. A pretty remarkable rise when also considering the many under measurements in Central Park during that time frame.

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It actually annoys me when I see TWC and other area Mets post the NYC average as 25.1. The 30 year average 1981-2010 is actually 25.8 and was corrected by NOAA in 2014 when someone pointed out to them that they couldn't add and divide. Yes I take full credit.

 

The running 30 year average for KNYC is now 28.6, the average since 1991 is 30.6, and the average since 2000 is 33.8 inches. A pretty remarkable rise when also considering the many under measurements in Central Park during that time frame.

 

I think for many years...when they sort of averaged it back to the beginning...not *the beginning* but sometime in the 1860's when observations began in earnest...the mean was always in the 29.0 - 29.5 inch range by the mid 20th century. 

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The point is that you are stuck in the 1980s and 1990s and you think LI averages only 25".

Ask northshorewx what his area averages over the last 16 years.

Ask William, bass28, PSV and the other crew. They all average 35"-45".

Here in Queens my 16yr average is 34".

The 1980s and 1990s skewed the averages.

The new averages for NYC and the coast are 30"-40".

Not 25"-30".

That's all.

 

This conversation again. 

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Going to be very depressing next week. We will miss both storms, and per the SE forum, Euro absolutely torches the whole eastern CONUS with zonal, Pacific air at Day 7+. Today is our final storm most likely.

 

Ehhh, not too sure about that. Ensembles have been improving in the longer range as of late.

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Welcome back!! :thumbsup:

 

Thank you JM; thank you very much.  I hope you are enjoying your time down in the Sunbelt...though I somehow sense the absence of snow & cold can be a rather unsettling aspect of ordinary winter down there.

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with 29.7" so far NYC needs 0.3" by 2/15 to make the 30" in 30 days list...it's only been done ten times...last year we got 28" from 1/24 to 2/22...2006 was close also...

30" in 30 days...
The short list...
02/24-03/24, 1896.....32.0"
02/06-03/07, 1914.....35.2"
12/26-01/24, 1948.....43.4"
01/15-02/13, 1961.....34.1"
01/16-02/14, 1978.....37.2"
02/02-03/03, 1994.....30.8"
12/14-01/12, 1996.....35.2"
01/28-02/26, 2010.....38.2"
01/07-02/05, 2011.....37.6"

01/21-02/19, 2014.....42.1"

01/17-02/15, 2016.....29.7" as of 2/5

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So much for the warmth being transient...temps overperforming again today and mt holly has bumped me to highs of 45 and 48 for the weekend...that would make 7 days above normal not including the 31th

Lol. 6-12 of snow later on LI and 2-4/3-6 in the metro a few days after this post

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If it lasts a week and then we go below on Monday is it trasient?

Depends on how long the below temps last. The models have been flipping back and forth between cold and warm solutions past the 15-18th, so confidence in a locked in below normal pattern isn't exactly through the roof ATM. Likewise for a AN pattern.

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Based on my Upton forecast (and others) for SE Nassau, next week should be interesting.  The word snow is quite prevalent, and the high temps drift downward over the period.  Somehow seeing a forecast like this, however unlikely it may be, never gets old for some of us.

 

Sunday Night: Slight chance of snow

Monday: Snow Likely

Monday Night: Snow Likely

Tuesday: Snow Likely

Tuesday Night: Snow Likely

Wednesday: A chance of snow

Wednesday Night: A chance of snow

Thursday: A chance of snow

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy

Friday: A chance of snow

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