snywx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Yeah, last year we nickel and dime'd our way to 35" or so around here. I think the biggest storm was 9 inches. It was an okay Winter if you love consistent snow and snow cover, or extreme cold, otherwise it wasn't that good. What? lol.. Last year was a very good year all around if you are a winter lover. Long lasting snowpack, Above average snows, cold frigid temps. You had way more than 35". Prob closer to 55-60". Go check out Toms (Isotherm) website.. He has an excellent website for NJ snowfall dating back a good 15 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 What? lol.. Last year was a very good year all around if you are a winter lover. Long lasting snowpack, Above average snows, cold frigid temps. You had way more than 35". Prob closer to 55-60". Go check out Toms (Isotherm) website.. He has an excellent website for NJ snowfall dating back a good 15 years. Ehh, yeah well I don't like winter that much lol. If cold and snowpack were your thing then I guess it was great. I added up my totals and I got 45" here. Half asleep, so it's probably off a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 What? lol.. Last year was a very good year all around if you are a winter lover. Long lasting snowpack, Above average snows, cold frigid temps. You had way more than 35". Prob closer to 55-60". Go check out Toms (Isotherm) website.. He has an excellent website for NJ snowfall dating back a good 15 years.Yea he's from my town and my totals were 54 inches with snowpack lasting from late January all the way into mid MarchHere is toms website http://www.lightinthestorm.com/nj-snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Last year could have been that much better if we hadn't tossed seven potentially good weeks at the beginning. I had 10" the day before Thanksgiving and then nothing until the third week of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Last year could have been that much better if we hadn't tossed seven potentially good weeks at the beginning. I had 10" the day before Thanksgiving and then nothing until the third week of January. That's why NYC still hasn't been able to challenge the 95-96 snowfall season with all the record snowfall of the 2000's. Even with all the historic snowfall of 2000's so far, it's very difficult to get wall to wall snowfall from late November through March. But the 30 to 60 day snowfall streaks have been off the charts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 That's why NYC still hasn't been able to challenge the 95-96 snowfall season with all the record snowfall of the 2000's. Even with all the historic snowfall of 2000's so far, it's very difficult to get wall to wall snowfall from late November through March. But the 30 to 60 day snowfall streaks have been off the charts. Good Point. During the 2013/2014 Winter, NYC had 57 inches by mid February. That's a fantastic pace for snowfall in NYC. Barely an inch of snow fell after mid February though. Many thought we were going to break the seasonal record...no dice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 what a surprise for morris county That death band sat right over Southern Morris County for hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Good Point. During the 2013/2014 Winter, NYC had 57 inches by mid February. That's a fantastic pace for snowfall in NYC. Barely an inch of snow fell after mid February though. Many thought we were going to break the seasonal record...no dice. Yup two years in a row that we also tossed the end of met winter. Just once before I move away from here I'd like to see a wall to wall winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Yea he's from my town and my totals were 54 inches with snowpack lasting from late January all the way into mid March Here is toms website http://www.lightinthestorm.com/nj-snowfall Those are nice maps. I probably measured less because I can't record every event, especially since some happened while I wasn't even home.Or maybe we have some kind of a micro climate going on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 JFK needs only 8.5 inches to reach 40 inches for the winter. JFK : 31.5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Good Point. During the 2013/2014 Winter, NYC had 57 inches by mid February. That's a fantastic pace for snowfall in NYC. Barely an inch of snow fell after mid February though. Many thought we were going to break the seasonal record...no dice. We have been seeing plenty of extreme snows focused over 30 to 60 day periods in the 2000's. Even 09-10 had a long gap in snowfall between the later December storm and amazing February run before the warmth cut things off in March. And then we had the extreme front-loaded 03-04, middle- loaded 10-11, and back-loaded 14-15. This year so far has some similarity with 05-06 in that an historic blizzard followed record to historic warmth which coexisted in the same DJF period. I guess a fantasy year would be putting all the best runs together in a make believe single season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 I would watch the period after that cutter. There could be a big low that forms along the boundary. It all depends on where that stationary boundary sets up. I think there's some potential there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mriceyman Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Pack refresher incoming!! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Hoping we can squeeze out another winter with the warm water along the West Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Hoping we can squeeze out another winter with the warm water along the West Coast. cahgt_anom.12.gif casst_anom.12.gif snowman says you`re crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Blizzard on the GFS at hour 288 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 snowman says you`re crazyYour hero Bastardi said the North Pacific is flipping to -PDO this year, not me. He's been touting that idea since 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Actually 54 inches was our total last year How much at your place in this last storm? That's why NYC still hasn't been able to challenge the 95-96 snowfall season with all the record snowfall of the 2000's. Even with all the historic snowfall of 2000's so far, it's very difficult to get wall to wall snowfall from late November through March. But the 30 to 60 day snowfall streaks have been off the charts. 95-96 was remarkable for giving NYC double-digit snowfall in all 4 months DJFM, I think the only time that's happened. However, the white stuff came in bursts with snow droughts (and often major thaws) in between. In general, the first 2-3 weeks of those months were snowy and the ends snowless, except for the late 4" dump in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Blizzard on the GFS at hour 288 lol Let the good times roll! Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Your hero Bastardi said the North Pacific is flipping to -PDO this year, not me. He's been touting that idea since 2015 Did you ever grade your Jan forecast ? How are we looking for Feb ? AN temps ? NO SNOW ? I am curious ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Did you ever grade your Jan forecast ? How are we looking for Feb ? AN temps ? NO SNOW ? I am curious ... Hahahahahaha!!!! Classic!!! February is going to rock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Pouring snow right now. Looks nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Hahahahahaha!!!! Classic!!! February is going to rock We'll see. Snow is never a guaranteed thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Did you ever grade your Jan forecast ? How are we looking for Feb ? AN temps ? NO SNOW ? I am curious ... you can lay into long range guesses all you want but you missed the biggest storm of the season within 48 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 you can lay into long range guesses all you want but you missed the biggest storm of the season within 48 hours Are you seriously insane ? 8 days out I posted that there was the potential for a BLIZZARD . Don`t make me pull out your posts 6 days and 8 days out while we said the GEM was a crusher , you said , take a pic OTS , progressive . LOL 2 days out I was 10 plus KNYC when the EPS HAD.6 at the park and was 20 in CNJ 2 days out - you said " what if we get 15 " ? I did not post a lot here prior to the BLIZZARD I was busy away . Saying Ignore the 30 inches on the NAM but buy the 10 -20 on the GEFS/UKMET 2 days out was a miss ? Dude , I know I have kicked your a$$ in here over and over again . I know it sucks .I am sorry but you need to sharpen your game with me . Like I said you have these guys fooled not me . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Are you seriously insane ? 8 days out I posted that there was the potential for a BLIZZARD . Don`t make me pull out your posts 6 days and 8 days out while we said the GEM was a crusher , you said , take a pic OTS , progressive . LOL 2 days out I was 10 plus KNYC when the EPS HAD.6 at the park and was 20 in CNJ 2 days out - you said " what if we get 15 " ? I did not post a lot here prior to the BLIZZARD I was busy away . Saying Ignore the 30 inches on the NAM but buy the 10 -20 on the GEFS/UKMET 2 days out was a miss ? Dude , I know I have kicked your a$$ in here over and over again . I know it sucks .I am sorry but you need to sharpen your game with me . Like I said you have these guys fooled not me . you spit out model numbers while telling people to ignore the best performing model. all while never giving any meteorological reasoning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 you spit out model numbers while telling people to ignore the best performing model. all while never giving any meteorological reasoning that is called modelrological reasoning was using........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 you spit out model numbers while telling people to ignore the best performing model. all while never giving any meteorological reasoning Mike , I really think you`re sick . I ignored the best skill score model 2 days out that was only showing .6 and said follow the number 2 UKIE and 3 GEFS both were 1 inch KNYC 2 in CNJ . 2 DAYS OUT I use the RGEM inside 36 hours and ignore the NAM because of its DECADE over over inflating QPF . The EPS mean 3 days out at KNYC was 12 then scaled it back to 8 . The NAM had no support . Every model was jumping the SLP to the convection so after seeing it for 5 days many did not think it was CF . We all saw that there were wasn`t a - 5 SD NAO blocking this like FEB 10 , that`s why 10 - 20 2 days out was still a bigger call than most . 6 DAYS OUT , I said a blizzard was on the table , you said OTS . Almost all my posts were done away the 4 days prior . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 THIS IS WHAT WE ARGUED AWAY . JAN 18 - CHRIST On 1/18/2016 at 9:16 PM, PB GFI said: JB s idea tonite. I will leave it in banter. 1 to 2 ft from DC to Boston. 2 ft plus max around DC and just N and NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Did you ever grade your Jan forecast ? How are we looking for Feb ? AN temps ? NO SNOW ? I am curious ... My forecast has done very well. We are above normal in temps and there was an extreme luck storm that threaded the needle with perfect timing. January will be above normal in temps. As for February, more of the same, above normal month, there will be a transient cold shot week 2 followed by a big warmup again. Think roller coaster, no sustained arctic outbreaks. Also, minus another luck storm, snowfall will be below normal for February. El Ninos make winters so easy to forecast. It's a beautiful, wonderful thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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