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Continued Winter Banter.


Ericjcrash

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I think he meant if DCA gets 20, within 10% would be 18...

 

I figured that was out, but I'm not so sure now, looking at the mesoscale modeling - they may underperform the crazy globals if the heaviest snow is N and W of them and they get more mix. It wouldn't take too much to get you guys close.

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The water vapor loop on this thing is awesome. To me it looks March '93ish, just not negatively titled yet. I am pumped that Forky is all over this. When a Met, who hammers the snow weenies with regularity, is all in on a storm threat, how can you not be?

Yes, I notice the water vapor loop injecting right up the coast towards NYC, although there seems to be a dry slot inside it.  Very encouraging, but I think the snow may have a slow time moving into the dry air (judging by the radar).  However, my now casting skills are not as reliable as they used to be.  Of course the obvious statement is this storm can over produce in NYC metro or greatly under produce.

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I need serious advice

I need to be at work In Manhattan by 6am leaving LI at 445 In a 4wd truck. Is it going to be snowing hard that early? Should I tell my boss I need to come in earlier?

What part of LI? I'm going from jersey city to Manhattan at 5am but don't nearly have as far to go as you. Anyway parkway should be fine with a few inches. Coming home is a different story
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Yeah they've been doing a great job since last year with storm coverage. Almost like the good 'ole days.  Just need Kocin to appear now. ha ha ha

Agree. They are actually putting science behind things and talking about weather nerd stuff. 

 

Signing out for the Sabbath. Not going to be watching any more models or radar.

Going to enjoy it the old fashioned way.

Enjoy all!

Enjoy the storm Morris

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smoke%2Bweed%2Beveryday.gif

 

 

 

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
501 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

PAZ065-066-231015-
/O.UPG.KCTP.WS.W.0001.160123T0000Z-160124T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KCTP.BZ.W.0001.160123T0000Z-160124T1200Z/
YORK-LANCASTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YORK...LANCASTER
501 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A
BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.


* ACCUMULATIONS...15 TO 20 INCHES WITH UP TO 2 FEET ALONG THE
MARYLAND BORDER.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THE PERIOD OF HEAVIEST
SNOW WITH RAPID ACCUMULATION RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR
WILL BE AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL TAPER
OFF SATURDAY NIGHT AND END BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...FROM THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
AROUND 40 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. SOME ROADS
WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE BY SATURDAY MORNING WITH NEAR WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS FROM SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
 
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