WintersGrasp Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 To me, the biggest deal with the changes over the last day or so is the fact that Philadelphia might now see close to 2 feet of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Jesus, I think some of these trolls need some ban time..... Stirring the pot without offering an ounce of genuine input... I could name 3 people that only post negative comments, with 0 science, after every run, then disappear the remainder of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CiBill Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I'm yet to see a single post that hugs the nam? Or see a met do the same... Explains what the nam shows.. Is not hugging it... Nobody on here said the nams correct in its solution.. I'd rather not name names, but believe me, you'll find them. Either your definition of model hugging is off, or everyone here talking about the veracity of the NAM, and how the NAM should be taken seriously because it's in it's "range", (even though it's showing massive amounts while other models show much less) isn't model hugging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 To me, the biggest deal with the changes over the last day or so is the fact that Philadelphia might now see close to 2 feet of snow I'd love to see them get dry slotted in all honesty. That's just me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Congrats on finding the banter thread. Oh please I see the same 6-8 people weenying out in that thread constantly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I'd rather not name names, but believe me, you'll find them. Either your definition of model hugging is off, or everyone here talking about the veracity of the NAM, and how the NAM should be taken seriously because it's in it's "range", (even though it's showing massive amounts while other models show much less) isn't model hugging Everyone hugged this model too... How did that work out for most? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I think you might need to refresh. This is what I see: snow 16.PNG I know what happened, there imagine wasn't updated but the date had been lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Oh please I see the same 6-8 people weenying out in that thread constantly What is this f*cking kindergarten? Stop justifying your posts by others bad posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I'd love to see them get dry slotted in all honesty. That's just me. I want to see D.C get dry slotted because most of there posters didn't care about the sharp cutoff north. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CiBill Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Jesus, I think some of these trolls need some ban time..... Stirring the pot without offering an ounce of genuine input... I could name 3 people that only post negative comments, with 0 science, after every run, then disappear the remainder of the day It's pointless to back up posts with science when even a few miles can mean going from 15 inches to getting nothing more than a dusting. There are too many factors in play with this storm to just say "A little confluence here, trough digs there, a CCB at the northwest edge, and boom, we get 10-15 inches." It'll be best to just let the models play out, and determine the most likely from how much agreement there is. It's never smart to jump on one model and hope for the rest to follow suit. That's called weenieism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 It's pointless to back up posts with science when even a few miles can mean going from 15 inches to getting nothing more than a dusting. There are too many factors in play with this storm to just say "A little confluence here, trough digs there, a CCB at the northwest edge, and boom, we get 10-15 inches." It'll be best to just let the models play out, and determine the most likely from how much agreement there is. It's never smart to jump on one model and hope for the rest to follow suit. That's called weenieism. And what your referring to is called modeloligy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Some of the posts in the forums are just comical. Its amazing how much people get worked up over snow, turns a 45 year old man into a 15 year old child. lol Then again, I guess we all have a little weenie in us including myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 In Homer’s Odyssey, Circe warned: …you will come to the Sirens who enchant all who come near them. If anyone unwarily draws in too close and hears the singing of the Sirens, his wife and children will never welcome him home again, for they sit in a green field and warble him to death with the sweetness of their song. There is a great heap of dead men's bones lying all around, with the flesh still rotting off them. Therefore pass these Sirens by, and stop your men's ears with wax that none of them may hear… Circe could well have been serving warning about the NAM. Although the NAM’s QPF and snowfall amounts are unparalleled for their “sweetness,” if one looks at past outcomes, “there is a great heap” of busted forecasts “lying all around.” Bitter memories of snowfall that never materialized, stinging tears, and piercing heartbreak linger among those who relied on such forecasts. Therefore, at least until some of the more reliable models lend support, one should “pass” the NAM’s forecasts “by” and, if necessary cover one’s eyes to the NAM’s seductive maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 What is this f*cking kindergarten? Stop justifying your posts by others bad posts. Just wondering why outright weenism is allowed there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CiBill Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 And what your referring to is called modeloligy Well, it's certainly better than riding the model with the most snow. It's best to rely on the most model agreement until the storm is close enough to nowcast in cases like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Craig Allen the most senior and respected met in nyc calling the Nam putrid is all you need to know about that last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Time for the GFS to bring us back down to earth. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 It's 50 F in Charlotte, NC. They are expected to get more frozen liquid then us. That's just incredible that they will drop a good 20 degrees. If it was us, most likely we would be looking forward to a rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Just wondering why outright weenism is allowed there Its not. But until you start paying me, youll have to deal with me deleting stuff as quickly as i can, and occasionally blatant trolling catches my eye moreso than some kid getting a little too excited about a NAM run. Veterans who should know better dont get the same benefit of the doubt as newer posters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Its not. But until you start paying me, youll have to deal with me deleting stuff as quickly as i can, and occasionally blatant trolling catches my eye moreso than some kid getting a little too excited about a NAM run. Veterans who should know better dont get the same benefit of the doubt as newer posters.The voice of reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 The voice of reason Youre on the list pal, watch yo self. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GFS gives some hope of 10+in snows for NYC. Good nudge! Give me 2 more and I'll be delighted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Youre on the list pal, watch yo self.This is bull dookie! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 This is bull dookie! Dookie is such an underrated word. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 we have been tracking this storm for the longest time now and with all the twisting and turning some have been doing I'm surprised no one got hurt...I expect more back and forth on the models until tomorrow...until then don't forget to wear your seat belt... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GFS seems to be acknowledging that NAM is onto something! The NAM is onto nothing. This is embarrassing. How many times do you guys need to see the NAM in this time range blow up and tuck in a storm close to the coast giving us a ton of snow (while the globals show something completely different) and be dead wrong?? AUTO-TOSS!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 The SREFs,ARW, NMM, NAM and RPM are the worst of the worst. There really is no debating it. Just bc a model got something right once doesn't mean it should be considered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 NMM heads due west at HR 47/48, hugs coast hard.. You see that? Who cares. It an awful model no one even knows exists except us weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SN21 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Party pooper over here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Party pooper over here lol Keepin it real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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